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July 01, 2013

Grimes Has an Uphill Fight

Harry Enten looks at the challenge facing Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) as she attempts to unseat Sen. Mitch McConnell (R).

"Since 1982, when the new wave of polarization took hold, there have been eight midterm elections. These make for some daunting numbers for Grimes, on three counts: 1). McConnell is running when the other party controls the White House. The opposition party successfully defended 18 of 19 seats in 1982; 11 of 12 in 1986; 17 of 17 in 1990; 13 of 13 in 1994; 13 of 16 in 1998; 11 of 14 in 2002; 16 for 16 in 2006; and 18 for 18 in 2010. That's just eight out of 125 races, or 6%, when a seat has flipped to the White House party in a midterm. Most of those were when the president had an approval rating well into the 60s. Obama's approval rating right now is in the mid 40s."

The Fix: "This will be the nastiest race in the country."


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