Get Political Wire by Email:



April 22, 2014


Battle for Senate is a Toss Up

The Upshot: "Every day, our computer churns through the latest polls and reams of historical data to calculate both parties' chances of winning control of the Senate. Although the Democrats currently have a 51% chance, that doesn't mean we're predicting the Democrats to win the Senate -- the probability is essentially the same as a coin flip."

"The Republicans' chances have been declining in recent weeks, falling from a recent high of 54%. This is mostly due to some unfavorable polls in Arkansas and Iowa."

The model behind these projections is called LEO.














POLITICAL WIRE PODCAST

Political Wire Podcast Engaging conversations about elections and the political issues of the day. Subscribe via iTunes or RSS to get episodes automatically downloaded.


FREE NEWSLETTER




TRENDING VIDEO







PARTNERS











FOLLOW US