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July 01, 2014


The Media Ranks the Senate Races

A Smart Politics review of recent U.S. Senate race rankings by PBS NewsHour, The Fix, The Hotline, FiveThirtyEight, and The Upshot finds that all five forecasters were in universal agreement on the rank ordering of only one state for its likelihood to flip in 2014 - South Dakota at #1.
 
An average of forecaster rankings finds Democratic seats holding of the Top 9 slots with South Dakota at #1 (rank average 1.0), West Virginia at #2 (2.2), Montana at #3 (2.6), Louisiana at #4 (4.2), Arkansas at #5 (5.4), North Carolina at #6 (6.0), Alaska at #7 (7.6), Colorado at #8 (8.4), and Iowa at #9 (8.6).












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