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July 14, 2014


Economic Boost Unlikely to Help Democrats in 2014

Alex Roarty: "This month's surprisingly strong jobs report elicited fresh optimism that at long last, the economy was poised to recover its full strength. And in Washington, naturally, the question quickly became: Would Democratic candidates receive an unexpected boost from a late-in-the-election-cycle economic surge?"

"The short answer? Don't count on it. Even if job gains do spike--and there's plenty of reluctance to predict an accelerating recovery after years of stop-and-start growth--it's unlikely voters will feel demonstrably better about the economy in time for November.... But there's another, more surprising reason a late-developing recovery wouldn't help Democrats. A plethora of political-science research suggests the economy, except in extreme circumstances, doesn't matter much in midterm elections anyway."












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