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August 08, 2014


GOP Takeover Looking More Likely

James Carville: "Democrats, myself included, tend to respect and value expertise, and find that people who have established a record of accuracy and developed a model that's proven to be beneficial over time should be people accorded great deference when they opine on a topic that they have demonstrated past mastery over."

"You don't hear complaints about skewered polls, global cooling, tax cuts paying for themselves, people riding dinosaurs and other silly crap like that from Democrats. So that is why it's disturbing news that David Wasserman, from The Cook Political Report, who is a smart person's idea of what a smart person sounds like, recently changed his House rating's model toward favoring Republicans. 538.com's Nate Silver's recent commentary that Republicans have a 60 percent chance of a Senate takeover is similarly disconcerting. The reasons are plentiful and valid; the obvious ones are that we're in the sixth year of the presidential term, there's a tepid presidential approval rating, we're seeing high wrong-track numbers, and we're facing an unfavorable map. In the past these numbers have proven to have a great deal of validity."












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