A new Gravis Marketing poll in Kentucky finds Sen. Mitch McConnell (R) leading challenger Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) by just three points, 50% to 47%.
Archives for October 2014
Still Tight in Florida
A new CNN poll in Florida finds Charlie Crist (D) and Gov. Rick Scott (R) tied in the race for governor, 44% to 44%.
A new 0ptimus poll finds Crist with a two-point lead, 41% to 39%.
A new McLaughlin poll finds Scott ahead, 43% to 42%.
A new Gravis Marketing poll finds Scott leading, 44% to 42%.
Another Poll Shows Begich Trailing in Alaska
A new Rasmussen Reports survey in Alaska finds Dan Sullivan (R) with a three-point lead over Sen. Mark Begich (D) in their U.S. Senate race, 48% to 45%.
Michaud Leads in New Maine Poll
A new Bangor Daily News poll in Maine finds Mike Michaud (D) leading Gov. Paul LePage (R) in the governor’s race by six points, 42% to 36%, with Eliot Cutler (I) at 16%.
Lawmaker Predicts Kuster Will Lose Because She is ‘Ugly as Sin’
New Hampshire State Rep. Steve Vaillancourt (R) wrote a long blog post predicting the outcome of the race in the state’s 2nd congressional district on one factor: Rep. Ann McLane Kuster’s (D-NH) looks, CBS News reports.
Said Vaillancourt: “Let’s be honest. Does anyone not believe that Congressman Annie Kuster is as ugly as sin? And I hope I haven’t offended sin.”
By contrast, he wrote, Kuster’s challenger, State Rep. Marilinda Garcia (R), is “one of the most attractive women on the political scene anywhere, not so attractive as to be intimindating [sic], but truly attractive.”
Why Alison Lundergan Grimes Got It Wrong
The following is a guest post from Jeff Greenfield.
During last night’s Kentucky Senate debate, Alison Lundergan Grimes again refused to say how she voted in the Presidential elections of 2008 and 2012–elevating this to “a matter of principle”, meaning the sanctity of the ballot box.
When I tweeted that this answer was “breathtakingly stupid” on the merits and politically, I was hit with a blizzard of Tweets. Some were versions of “who cares?” or “you morons in the media always make a big deal of out nothing.” Some were versions of ‘what about McConnell’s answers on Omamacare or the minimum wage?” Some were variations on the invective that makes Twitter the perfect forum for folks who used to write angry letters in crayon, covering the envelope with colorful phrases.
On further review, as they say in the NFL, it’s worth trying to explain why Grimes’ answer was dead wrong on the merits. And no, it isn’t the key issue in the campaign, and it doesn’t mean, as Chuck Todd said, that she has “disqualified herself” from the office, and it doesn’t mean that McConnell is exempt from explaining, for instance, how you can abolish Obamacare “root and branch” and keep Kentucky’s highly successful health care program. (Hint: you can’t).
Midterm Odds Continue to Favor Republicans
Charlie Cook: “Since March, I have been saying that Republicans had at least a 50 percent chance of retaking a Senate majority this year, and since July, I have upped that chance to 60 percent. There has been the normal ebb and flow of candidates’ fortunes in many individual races since then, but the general direction of this election has remained pretty much the same. While the political environment is bad for Democrats, this is not a wave election. It is simply an election being fought on terrain that is, at the moment, highly favorable to Republicans.”
The GOP Faces a Disaster If They Don’t Take the Senate
Stu Rothenberg says that “if the GOP fails to capture the Senate this year, 2016 could turn into an unmitigated disaster for the party.”
“As one Republican strategist admitted to me recently, if his party fails to take back the Senate next month it will only lead observers to conclude Democratic campaign operatives are far superior to the GOP’s, and Republicans don’t have a chance of winning the White House in 2016. It isn’t hard to imagine what that would do to the party leading up to the 2016 presidential contest.”
Christie Sinks to New Low in New Jersey
A new Rutgers-Eagleton Poll in New Jersey finds a majority of voters now have an unfavorable impression of Gov. Chris Christie (R).
The survey found just 42% had a favorable impression of him – the lowest ever recorded by the poll.
Roberts Skipped Most Agriculture Committee Meetings
Sen. Pat Roberts (R-KS) attended just one-third of Senate Agriculture Committee meetings during the past 15 years of his political career in Washington, D.C, the Topeka Capital Journal reports.
Bonus Quote of the Day
“My reaction is that if she wants to attack a guy in a wheelchair, that’s her prerogative.”
— Texas gubernatorial candidate Greg Abbot (R), quoted by the Washington Post, on the controversial ad released by rival Wendy Davis (D).
GOP Path to Senate Control Gets Clearer
Nate Cohn says that “with three weeks to go, the Senate race might be on the verge of becoming a lot clearer.”
“The polls have shown Republicans faring quite well over the last couple of weeks, and they now appear to lead in the polls in enough contests to win 52 seats, with Iowa, Colorado and the six Democratic-held states won by John McCain in the 2008 presidential election and Mitt Romney in 2012.”
National Journal: “Three weeks before Election Day, Republicans are on the brink of winning the Senate. But their advantage is so slight that a morale-sapping defeat is still very much possible.”
Quote of the Day
“Done. Completely. Not only Mitt and I are done, but the kids are done. Done. Done. Done.”
— Ann Romney, quoted by the Los Angeles Times, ruling out another presidential campaign by her husband.
Grimes Refuses Again to Say She Voted for Obama
Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) “again refused to cede ground on her controversial refusal to reveal whether she voted for President Obama,” The Hill reports.
“The refusal echoed her controversial interview last week with the Louisville Courier Journal where she also dodged three times whether or not she voted for President Obama.”
Jason Zengerle: “Grimes’s gaffe does reveal something genuinely disturbing about her–or at least her candidacy. And that’s why it’s so politically damaging. Grimes’s refusal to say who she voted for is emblematic of her entire campaign, which, for the last 15 months, has been waged in a defensive crouch–evading and obfuscating at every turn.”
Crossroads Will Not Run Ads in 2016 Primaries
“The American Crossroads super PAC and and its nonprofit arm are unlikely to engage in the GOP presidential primaries in 2016, opening the door for another chaotic fight akin to what happened in 2012,” the Washington Post reports.
Gardner Has Edge in Colorado
A new Survey USA poll in Colordao finds Cory Gardner (R) with a small lead over Sen. Mark Udall (D) in the U.S. Senate race, 45% to 43%,
Said pollster Jay Leve: “There has been movement to Gardner that is unmistakable and what had been nominal advantage for Udall has been erased.”
Emanuel Foe Has Brain Cancer
Chicago Teachers Union President Karen Lewis, who just pulled out of a possible run against Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanual, “is suffering from a cancerous brain tumor that was diagnosed shortly after she experienced a severe headache last week,” the Chicago Sun Times reports.
Bonus Quote of the Day
“I would rather die than be in the United States Senate. Okay? I would be bored to death. Could you imagine me banging around that chamber with 99 other people — asking for a motion on the amendment in the subcommittee? Forget it.”
— Gov. Chris Christie (R), quoted by Business Insider.
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