Nate Silver: “Nowadays, of course, it’s become common to hear talk about the ‘blue wall’ — the set of 18 states that, along with the District of Columbia, have voted for the Democrat in each of the most recent six presidential elections, from 1992 through 2012. Together, they represent 242 electoral votes. Many pundits, ignoring the lessons of history, claim the ‘blue wall’ or some close variation of it puts the Democratic nominee (likely Hillary Clinton) at a substantial advantage for 2016.”
“The error that these commentators are making is in attributing the Democrats’ recent run of success to the Electoral College. In fact, the Electoral College has been a minor factor, if it’s helped Democrats at all, and one probably best ignored until the late stages of a close presidential race.”
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