New York Times: “Mr. Rubio’s focus on the campaign trail has been different from many of his Republican opponents. He has largely focused on a message more suited to a general election than he has on one that conservative primary voters would find appealing… Mr. Rubio has been testing this message lately, too, telling audiences that he is the candidate that Democrats fear most.”
Archives for January 2016
Ballot Battles
This is interesting: Ballot Battles: The History of Disputed Elections in the United States by Ned Foley.
“The 2000 presidential race resulted in the highest-profile ballot battle in over a century. But it is far from the only American election determined by a handful of votes and marred by claims of fraud. Since the founding of the nation, violence frequently erupted as the votes were being counted, and more than a few elections produced manifestly unfair results.”
Sanders Is Now a Real Threat to Clinton
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Paul Ryan Wants a More Substantive Republican Party
Politico: “So as Ryan tries to reassert the party’s substantive side with a series of policy rollouts in the coming months — a conservative replacement to Obamacare, tax reform, a criminal justice bill — he’s also looking to give the House GOP its own identity. The speaker’s effort could also provide his 246 members a layer of insulation from the mess playing out on the national stage.”
“With the presidential candidates sparring over whether to bar Muslims from the United States and discussing the merits of spanking children, top House leadership aides say Ryan is trying to give his party something to run on. There’s almost no chance the GOP will lose the House, but significant double-digit losses are possible if the top of the GOP ticket flounders.”
Obama Hopes to Set Campaign Agenda
“For the final time, President Obama will mount the rostrum in the House chamber on Tuesday to deliver a State of the Union address. But this time, aides said, he will not bring with him a long list of proposals that will languish in Congress — after all these years, a victory of experience over hope,” the New York Times reports.
“Instead, Mr. Obama plans a thematic message that effectively will be as much a campaign agenda as a governing document. While not on the ballot himself, Mr. Obama hopes to use what may be the largest television audience left in his presidency to frame the debate about who should replace him and where the country should go from here.”
Bonus Trump Quote of the Day
“Well, I don’t want to say it’s a threat. But it is a threat. She’s married to an abuser. A woman claimed rape, and all sorts of things. I mean, horrible things.”
— Donald Trump, in an interview on Meet the Press, about bringing former President Bill Clinton’s past into the 2016 race.
Cruz’s Courting of Evangelicals Is Paying Off
Ted Cruz’s “success in consolidating evangelical Christians, which has helped propel him to front-runner status in Iowa, reflects how he has methodically and painstakingly pursued the Christian right here since he announced his candidacy last March at Liberty University in Virginia, the evangelical institution founded by Jerry Falwell,” the New York Times reports.
“He has sewn up endorsements of crucial Iowa evangelicals; deployed his pastor father, Rafael Cruz, as a surrogate; and activated networks of faith-driven voters like pastors and home-school families, which in a caucus state like Iowa are important in turning out voters.”
Clinton Escalates Gun Control Feud with Sanders
“Hillary Clinton continued to thrash Bernie Sanders, her top rival for the Democratic presidential nomination, over his past support for legislation cheered by the NRA that protects gun manufacturers from liability for shootings,” Politico reports.
Said Clinton: “I think he has been consistently confusing to say that he would vote to repeal this absolute immunity from any kind of responsibility or liability.”
Meanwhile, Politico reports former Rep. Gabby Giffords (D-AZ), who was shot by a gunman, will endorse Clinton soon.
Cruz Defends His Eligibility to Run for President
Sen. Ted Cruz “defended his eligibility to be president, saying Donald Trump and other Republicans are raising questions about his birth only because he is becoming a serious threat in early primary states,” the Washington Post reports.
Said Cruz: “The substance of the issue is clear and straightforward. As a legal matter, the Constitution and federal law are clear that the child of a U.S. citizen born abroad is a natural-born citizen. Three weeks ago, almost every Republican candidate was attacking Donald Trump. Today, almost every Republican candidate is attacking me. That kind of suggests maybe something has changed in the race.”
Trump Quote of the Day
“He was born in Canada. Whether we like it, don’t like it, he lived there, he was there, he was born in Canada, I guess his parents voted in Canada, a lot of things, I mean a lot of things happened here. So if you’re born in Canada, it’s immediately a little bit of a problem.”
— Donald Trump, quoted by BuzzFeed, escalating his attacks on Cruz.
Hillary Clinton Says Focus on Bill’s Scandals Won’t Work
Hillary Clinton told CBS News that the Republican focus on her husband’s sex scandals is a “dead end” which hasn’t derailed her in the past and “won’t work again,”
Said Clinton: “it’s been fair game going back to the Republicans for some years, they can do it again if they want to, that can be their choice as how to go on in this campaign.”
Obama Will Not Make Endorsement
White House Chief of Staff Denis McDonough said that President Obama will not publicly endorse a candidate before the 2016 Democratic primary election, Reuters reports.
Trump Up Big In New Hampshire
A new NBC/WSJ/Marist poll in New Hampshire finds Donald Trump leading the GOP presidential race with 30%, followed by Marco Rubio at 14%, Chris Christie at 12%, Ted Cruz at 10%, John Kasich at 9% and Jeb Bush at 9%.
“That means that the four Republicans vying in the establishment lane of the GOP contest – Rubio, Christie, Kasich and Bush – are dividing up 44 percent of the total vote.”
In the Democratic race, Sanders is ahead of Clinton by four points among likely primary voters, 50% to 46%.
Cruz Holds Edge in Iowa
A new NBC/WSJ/Marist poll in Iowa finds Ted Cruz leading the GOP presidential race with 28% among likely voters, followed by Donald Trump at 24%, Marco Rubio at 13% and Ben Carson at 11%. No other Republican candidate gets more than 5% of the vote.
Key finding: “Yet among the larger universe of potential Iowa caucus-goers, Trump actually leads Cruz by two points, 26% to 24%, suggesting that a larger turnout could benefit Trump in the state.”
On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton holds just a three-point lead among likely voters over Bernie Sanders, 48% to 45%.
Supreme Court Has Full Election Year Agenda
“The Supreme Court starts the new year Monday with a politically charged battle over organized labor, only one of the controversies that are putting the ideologically divided and aging justices at the center of the presidential campaign,” the Washington Post reports.
“Already on the docket are abortion, affirmative action, the rights of religious objectors to opt out of legal obligations, and a clutch of election-law disputes that could benefit one political party over another. The court will probably soon add a review of President Obama’s executive actions aiming to shield millions of undocumented immigrants from deportation.”
“The agenda provides a dramatic confluence of a Supreme Court term with a presidential election.”
Trump Quote of the Day
“I’m going all the way. If I don’t win, I don’t win.”
— Donald Trump, in an interview with NBC News, on whether he would drop out of the GOP presidential race before the convention.
Trump Raises Doubts About Cruz’s Citizenship Again
Donald Trump says it would be a risky move to give Sen. Ted Cruz the Republican party’s nomination for president amid questions about his eligibility, The Hill reports.
Said Trump: “It’s not a settled matter. He was born in Canada. And I say to Ted, and as a Republican I say it, because I think it’s very important, you gotta get it straightened out.”
Clinton Says Only She Can Stop Republicans
Hillary Clinton has released an aggressive new attack ad, fanning fears about the main Republican presidential candidates to make the point that she, and no other Democrat, “can stop them,” the New York Times reports.
Dan Balz: “The more the Republican candidates have amped up their rhetoric, the more they have triggered a sharp response from the Democrats. Hillary Clinton, who said last fall that she is proud to think of Republicans as enemies, never seems happier on the campaign trail than when she is denouncing the other party as one captured by extremists.”
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