October, 2016

Comey’s Bombshell Changes Little In Race

A new Politico/Morning Consult poll finds Hillary Clinton has a slim three-point lead over Donald Trump one week before Election Day, 42% to 39%, with Gary Johnson at 7% and Jill Stein at 5%.

“In a separate poll conducted before Comey’s disclosure, Clinton was leading by three points in the four-way race… Put simply, there is not yet evidence that the revelations have drastically altered the contours of the election.”

For members: A Reality Check

Clinton and Trump Viewed Equally Unfavorable

The latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll finds Hillary Clinton is seen unfavorably by 60% of likely voters in the latest results, a new high. Trump is seen unfavorably by essentially as many — 58%.

Marking the depth of these views, 49% see Clinton “strongly” unfavorably, and 48% say the same about Trump –- unusual levels of strong sentiment.

In the horse race, Clinton edges Trump by one point, 46% to 45%, with Gary Johnson at 4% and Jill Stein at 2%.

Abedin Surprised Emails Were on Husband’s Laptop

Huma Abedin “has told colleagues she was taken aback when she learned that the FBI found her emails on a laptop belonging to her estranged husband Anthony Weiner and doesn’t know how the messages got there,” Politico reports.

“The newly found emails number in the tens of thousands or more, with at least some pertaining to the period when Abedin worked for the State Department from 2009 to 2013, first as a deputy chief of staff to Secretary of State Clinton’s and later as a consultant.”

Undecided Voters Tilt Republican

Wall Street Journal: “Some 30% of undecided voters call themselves Republicans, compared with 21% who call themselves Democrats, an analysis of Wall Street Journal/NBC News national polling shows.”

“In another sign of the Republican tilt of undecided voters, some 42% of those voters say they want the next Congress to be controlled by the GOP, suggesting that they are Republicans at heart. Some 35% say they prefer Democratic control.”

On Meeting Donald Trump

Richard Branson writes about first meeting Donald Trump:

Some years ago, Mr Trump invited me to lunch for a one-to-one meeting at his apartment in Manhattan. We had not met before and I accepted. Even before the starters arrived he began telling me about how he had asked a number of people for help after his latest bankruptcy and how five of them were unwilling to help. He told me he was going to spend the rest of his life destroying these five people.

He didn’t speak about anything else and I found it very bizarre.

Warrant Issued to Review Clinton Aide’s Emails

“Federal investigators have obtained a warrant to begin searching a large cache of emails belonging to a top aide to Hillary Clinton, federal law enforcement officials said Sunday, as prosecutors and F.B.I. agents scrambled to review as much of the information as possible before Election Day,” the New York Times reports.

“It remains unclear, though, whether they can finish their work by then.”

Reid Accuses Comey of Breaking Federal Law

Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV) said that FBI Director James Comey “may have violated a federal law when he disclosed, less than two weeks before the presidential election, that his office was pursuing potential new evidence related to Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton’s use of a private email server as secretary of state,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

Said Reid: “I am writing to inform you that my office has determined that these actions may violate the Hatch Act. Through your partisan actions, you may have broken the law.”

Weiner’s Laptop May Include 650K Emails

“Federal agents are preparing to scour roughly 650,000 emails contained on the laptop of former Rep. Anthony Weiner to see how many relate to a prior probe of Hillary Clinton’s email use, as metadata on the device suggests there may be thousands sent to or from the private server that the Democratic nominee used while she was secretary of state,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The review will take weeks at a minimum to determine whether those messages are work-related emails between Huma Abedin, a close Clinton aide and the estranged wife of Mr. Weiner, and State Department officials; how many are duplicates of emails already reviewed by the Federal Bureau of Investigation; and whether they include either classified information or important new evidence in the Clinton email probe.”

How Clinton Plans to Deal with Comey’s October Surprise

Politico: “In the hours after FBI Director James Comey threw a wrench into Hillary Clinton’s home-stretch plans, her campaign launched into an uncharacteristic frenzy of activity, quickly trying to turn the development into a base-energizing tool. But in her New York headquarters and her battleground state outposts, the news sent shivers down operatives’ spines, and immediately had them scrambling to gauge the effect on voters they need most…”

“Clinton’s strategists have projected a confident front, shrugging off any possible impact from Friday’s bombshell news and pointing to weeks of strong early voting and persistent polling leads, even as they blast Comey for re-injecting the email issue into the race with his cryptic letter to Congress. Their goal is now to convert Democrats’ anxiety over the FBI chief’s move into a fury and a rallying point for a base that has flirted with overconfidence in recent weeks.”

State Poll Roundup: Sunday

Here are the latest state polls from the presidential race:

Alaska: Clinton 47%, Trump 43%, Johnson 7% (Cracium)

Florida: Trump 46%, Clinton 42%, Johnson 4% (NYT/Siena)

Florida: Clinton 45%, Trump 44%, Johnson 5% (NBC/WSJ/Marist)

North Carolina: Clinton 47%, Trump 41%, Johnson 8% (NBC/WSJ/Marist)

Pennsylvania :Clinton 48%, Trump 40% (CBS News/YouGov)

North Carolina: Clinton 48%, Trump 45% (CBS News/YouGov)

Colorado: Clinton 42%, Trump 39% (CBS News/YouGov)

Arizona: Trump 44%, Clinton 42% (CBS News/YouGov)

Utah: Trump 32%, McMullin 30%, Clinton 24% (Dan Jones & Associates)

North Carolina: Clinton 49%, Trump 47%, Johnson 1% (Gravis)

Florida: Clinton 48%, Trump 47%, Johnson 1% (Gravis)

Maine: Clinton 48%, Trump 37%,  Johnson 5% (University of New Hampshire)