Gallup: “The president’s party almost always suffers a net loss of U.S. House seats in midterm elections. However, losses tend to be much steeper when the president is unpopular. In Gallup’s polling history, presidents with job approval ratings below 50% have seen their party lose 37 House seats, on average, in midterm elections. That compares with an average loss of 14 seats when presidents had approval ratings above 50%.”
“History, then, is not on the Republicans’ side this fall, as President Donald Trump has a 40% job approval rating two months before the 2018 midterm elections.”
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