“President Trump has lost significant ground in the six battleground states that clinched his Electoral College victory in 2016, according to New York Times/Siena College surveys, with Joe Biden opening double-digit leads in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.”
“Mr. Trump’s once-commanding advantage among white voters has nearly vanished, a development that would all but preclude the president’s re-election. Mr. Biden now has a 21-point lead among white college graduates, and the president is losing among white voters in the three Northern battleground states — not by much, but he won them by nearly 10 points in 2016.”
“Mr. Biden would win the presidency with at least 333 electoral votes, far more than the 270 needed, if he won all six of the states surveyed and held those won by Hillary Clinton four years ago. Most combinations of any three of the six states — which include Florida, Arizona and North Carolina — would suffice.”
Here are the numbers:
- Michigan: Biden 47%, Trump 36%
- Wisconsin: Biden 49%, Trump 38%
- Pennsylvania: Biden 50%, Trump 40%
- Florida: Biden 47%, Trump 41%
- North Carolina: Biden 49%, Trump 40%
- Arizona: Biden 48%, Trump 41%