Dave Weigel notes President Trump has largely avoided the sort of “dead man walking” analysis that once greeted Jimmy Carter and George W. Bush.
“The reason is the 2016 election, which humbled the president’s smuggest critics and broke the reputation of many election prognosticators. The argument against electoral despair is the same argument Trump makes about rebuilding the post-pandemic economy: He did it once, and he can do it again.”
“There’s a catch. Trump campaign veterans and his supporters have almost completely erased the role of two October surprises that damaged Hillary Clinton, in an election so close that any individual factor could have decided it. The first was a series of hacks into Clinton campaign email, culminating in the release via WikiLeaks of more than 20,000 pages from the personal account of John Podesta. The second was the decision of then-FBI Director James B. Comey to announce, in a letter to Congress, that there would be a probe of emails found on a Clinton aide’s laptop.”