A new Fox News poll in South Carolina shows Donald Trump leading the GOP presidential race with 48%, followed by Nikki Haley at 14%, Ron DeSantis at 13%, Tim Scott at 10% and Mike Pence at 4%.
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Why the Polls Might Be Underestimating Harris
Nate Silver: “Chastened by their errors in 2016 and 2020, many pollsters are applying what until now had been a relatively uncommon technique: weighting their samples based on how people…
San Francisco Chronicle Launches Kamala Harris AI Bot
The San Francisco Chronicle launched an AI-powered “Kamala Harris News Assistant.” The tool compiles 29 years of Chronicle reporting via an AI-powered chat interface to address readers’ queries about the…
Chris Christie Sounds Alarm Over Trump’s Mental Decline
Chris Christie told the New York Times that he has seen a “significant” change in Donald Trump’s mental capabilities. Said Christie: “He wasn’t as good in 2020 as he was…
Migrants Aren’t Taking Jobs from Blacks and Hispanics
“Donald Trump promises the biggest deportation event the U.S. has ever seen if he is elected — a promise he has predicated, in part, on the notion that immigrants in…
Polls Aren’t Going to Help Us
Nate Cohn: “You may find this unsatisfying — I do too — but it does yield an important insight: With less than four weeks to go, the polls don’t offer…
Trump Is Avoiding the Media
Dan Pfeiffer: “Trump hasn’t done a mainstream press interview in a month; and his last 26 interviews were with conservative media and podcasters. Trump’s newfound reticence is in particular contrast…
The Economy Under Trump vs. Biden
Wall Street Journal: “Comparing exactly how the economy has done during the Biden administration versus the Trump administration is less than straightforward. The pandemic severely disrupted the country during Trump’s…
Harris Is In ‘Excellent Health’
Vice President Kamala Harris is in “excellent health” and “possesses the physical and mental resiliency” required to serve as president, her doctor said in a letter released Saturday that summarizes…
Trump Plans to Amp Up His Violent, Bigoted Rhetoric
“There’s less than a month left in the presidential election, which will not only shape Donald Trump’s political legacy and the nation’s trajectory, but also likely decide whether he’ll face…
Trump In Better Polling Spot Now Than Last Two Races
“If polls are any guide – and there are many questions about them – Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump is in better shape now than he was at this time…
For Your Weekend Listening
The latest episode of Trial Balloon is live for members. Does bashing immigrants really work? Trump and Harris embark on two very different strategies to reach their voters. . You’ll…
Trump Lashes Out Behind Closed Doors Over Money
New York Times: “The rant, described by seven people with knowledge of the meal who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss private conversations, underscored a reality three weeks…
Black Voters Drift From Democrats
“Kamala Harris has improved her party’s standing among Black voters since President Biden left the presidential race, but she still significantly trails Mr. Biden’s 2020 share of that vital Democratic…
Iran Engages in Urgent Diplomacy as it Braces
“Iran’s government is extremely nervous and has been engaging in urgent diplomatic efforts with countries in the Middle East to gauge whether they can reduce the scale of Israel’s response…
Harris Will Release Her Medical Information
“Kamala Harris’s campaign plans to release a report on her medical history and health information, a move to contrast the 59-year-old Democrat with Donald Trump, her 78-year-old rival, who has…
Inside Donald Trump’s Shadow Presidency
New York Times: “In the nearly four years since he left the White House, Mr. Trump has acted as something of a shadow president on international affairs operating out of…
Harris and Trump Take Divergent Paths in Tied Race
Washington Post: “Internal polls on both sides roughly match the public numbers that show the race in the seven battleground states within the statistical margin of error and mostly unchanged…
Trump Has Clear Edge on Handling Israel, Ukraine Wars
With wars in Ukraine and the Middle East looming over the U.S. election, voters give Donald Trump the edge over Kamala Harris on who would better navigate the country through…
Trump Leads in Arizona, Harris Up in Pennsylvania
New New York Times/Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena polls of likely voters: “Both campaigns see Pennsylvania as the most pivotal battleground in this election, and are putting more money, time and energy there…
Trump Rally in Aurora Is Marked by Nativist Attacks
“Donald Trump escalated the nativist, anti-immigration rhetoric that has animated his political career with a speech Friday in Aurora, Colo., where he repeated false and grossly exaggerated claims about undocumented…