From the political dictionary: “pen and pad briefing”
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A new Suffolk University/7NEWS poll in New Hampshire finds Mitt Romney way ahead of the GOP field with 41%, followed by Ron Paul and Newt Gingrich at 14%.
All other candidates were in single digits, including Jon Huntsman at 9%, Herman Cain at 8%, Rick Santorum at 3%, Rick Perry at 2%, and Michele Bachmann at 1%.
Notes pollster David Paleologos: “Every Republican candidate that surges in the national polls hits a firewall in New Hampshire. We’ve seen this with surges from Bachmann, Perry, Cain and now Gingrich. A Romney loss here is highly improbable, and Romney’s best insurance policy in New Hampshire is Ron Paul, whose fixed support takes 14 percent off the table.”
“No, not, not interested… Done… What part of it am I not getting across?”
— Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel (D), in an interview on NBC’s Rock Center, repeatedly denying any interest in running for higher office.
As the Republican presidential prospects arrive in Washington, D.C. for
tonight’s CNN debate focused on national security, President Obama will
travel to New Hampshire to push Congress to extend the payroll tax cut,
according to The Hill.
White House brushed off suggestions the president’s trip to the Granite
State, which holds the nation’s first presidential primary in seven
weeks, was being made with an eye toward 2012… New Hampshire will be
an important swing state next year. Obama won it by nine points in 2008,
but Romney is practically a favorite son. He was governor of
neighboring Massachusetts, owns a summer home in the Granite State and
is campaigning heavily to win its primary… As it stands, the payroll
tax cut and other provisions, like a patch for the Alternative Minimum
Tax and benefits for the unemployed, are set to expire at year’s end.”
A new Quinnipiac poll finds Newt Gingrich jumping to the front of the GOP presidential field with 26%, followed by Mitt Romney at 22% and Herman Cain at 14%.
Key finding: 48% of Republican voters say that that among all GOP contenders he has the knowledge and experience necessary to be president, compared to Romney’s 22%.
Said pollster Peter Brown: “When it comes to the Republican horse race, the scenario hasn’t changed much over the past few months – just the players. Speaker Newt Gingrich is the latest GOP contender to rise to the top, powered by conservatives who remain skeptical about Gov. Mitt Romney.”
Meanwhile, in general election match ups, President Obama edges Romney, 45% to 44%, beats Gingrich, 49% to 40%, and crushes Cain, 50% to 37%.
Fox News obtained a copy of Donald Trump’s forthcoming book, Time To Get Tough, in which he writes he was so close to running for president that he had already prepared to disclose his finances, something many suggested he would never do.
In an afterword section, Trump claims a net worth of just over $7 billion, of which $3 billion he calls “brand value.”
Sarah Palin infuriated Fox News chief Roger Ailes because she didn’t make the announcement she wouldn’t run for president on Fox News, Gabriel Sherman reports.
Instead, she made the October 5 announcement on Mark Levin’s radio program with Fox getting a follow-up interview on Greta Van Susteren’s 10 p.m. show.
Said Ailes: “I paid her for two years to make this announcement on my network.”
Newt Gingrich had some tough words for the Congressional Budget Office, CNN reports.
Said Gingrich: “The CBO is a reactionary socialist institution which does not believe in economic growth, does not believe in innovation and does not believe in data that it has not internally generated.”
Former CBO director Douglas Holtz-Eakin, a Republican, called the allegation “ludicrous.”
Said Holtz-Eakin: “I think if you parse that phrase carefully, he got one out of three
right. I do agree it is an institution. If you’re
playing baseball, that’s a decent batting average.”
Herman Cain reversed himself and will sit down for a taped interview with the editorial board of the New Hampshire Union Leader, caving to pressure after skipping his previous interview.
“Just last week, Cain backed out of a Union Leader interview because
the paper insisted on a 60-minute interview, as opposed to the
20-minute, camera-free conversation Cain hoped for. The newspaper
blistered Cain in a Monday missive titled, ‘Recording Cain: What’s he afraid of?‘”
“The biggest single threat to our economy is not Europe’s instability or China’s monetary policy or anything else. It is this partisan paralysis and political cowardice that I think is defining Washington and we just cannot afford to have that continue.”
— New York City Michael Bloomberg, quoted by the New York Daily News, on the failure of the congressional supercommittee.
As expected, the congressional deficit-reduction committee said it had “failed to reach an agreement on slashing the U.S. budget gap, a move that triggers mandatory cuts to military spending and some social programs starting in 2013,” the Wall Street Journal reports.
According to National Journal, President Obama “warned that he will veto any attempt to eliminate the automatic spending cuts that go into effect with that failure.”
He added: “There will be no easy off-ramps on this one.”
Marc Ambinder: “President Obama would have preferred the super committee produce a
bipartisan deal, but what remains is not so bad: the prospect of up to
$6 trillion in debt reduction if Congress does nothing, and the
certainty of sharply defined election-year contrasts with Republicans.”
A new CNN/Opinion Research poll confirms what many other recent national polls have found: Newt Gingrich is the new GOP presidential frontrunner.
Gingrich leads with 24%, followed by Mitt Romney at 20%, Herman Cain at 17%, Rick Perry at 11%, Ron Paul at 9%, Michele Bachmann at 5%, Rick Santorum at 4% and Jon Hunstman at 3%.
Said pollster Keating Holland: “But don’t think that Gingrich has risen in the polls simply because other alternatives to Romney have fizzled. The number of Republicans who would be pleased or enthusiastic if he won the party’s nomination has grown from 51% in May to 70% now — not the kind of numbers you would expect if voters were ‘settling’ for Gingrich.”
“I tasted a beer and tried a cigarette once, as a wayward teenager, and never did it again.”
— Mitt Romney, in a forthcoming People magazine interview.
Said Romney: “Well, I think in government we should follow the law. And there has never been an administration that has provided to the opposition research team, or to the public, electronic communications. So ours would have been the first.”
David Gergen: “It’s difficult to remember a Congress that has put the nation so much at risk in the service of ideology and to hold onto office. Partisans on both sides are grievously failing the country.”
A new Fairleigh Dickinson PublicMind Poll finds that the Sunday morning political shows on television “do the most to help people learn about current events, while some outlets, especially Fox News, lead people to be even less informed than those who they don’t watch any news at all.”
“For example, people who watch Fox News, the most popular of the 24-hour cable news networks, are 18-points less likely to know that Egyptians overthrew their government than those who watch no news at all (after controlling for other news sources, partisanship, education and other demographic factors). Fox News watchers are also 6-points less likely to know that Syrians have not yet overthrown their government than those who watch no news.”
These results mirror a University of Maryland study published last year.
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A new American Research Group poll in New Hampshire finds Mitt Romney leading the Republican presidential field with 33%, followed by Newt Gingrich at 22% and Ron Paul at 12%.
Support for Romney has remained steady for months. In April, support for Romney was at 32%. Romney was at 29% in June and 30% in September.