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DNC to Romney: Don’t Bet Against America

February 16, 2012 at 4:28 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

On the day that General Motors posted a record $7.6 billion profit, the DNC uses a video to remind voters about Mitt Romney’s “let them go bankrupt” line.

[Read more…]

Poll Finds Republicans in Deep Trouble

February 16, 2012 at 3:50 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Democracy Corps (D) survey finds the Republican brand “is in a state of collapse — over 50 percent of voters give the Republican Party a cool, negative rating. The presidential race and the congressional battles are interacting with each other to drive down their lead candidate, the party, and perceptions of the congressional Republicans.”

Meanwhile, Mitt Romney “may be on the edge of political death. The shift against him is one of the biggest in the polls and he now competes with Republicans in Congress for unpopularity. In the summer of 1996, Bob Dole essentially was disqualified in voters’ eyes and never really recovered his footing.”

Most interesting: Voters who gave Democrats their victories in 2006 and 2008 “have returned in a big way” led by “a resurgence and re-engagement of unmarried women.”

Florida Primary Results

January 31, 2012 at 7:16 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

As expected, the television networks called the race for Mitt Romney at 8 pm ET, when all polls were closed.

Exit polls show electability and experience were the most important factors in choosing a candidate.

Top line exit poll results posted by the Drudge Report show Mitt Romney with 52%, followed by Newt Gingrich at 26%, Rick Santorum at 12% and Ron Paul at 8%. If those numbers hold up, it would be a crushing defeat for Gingrich.


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Romney vs. Romney

January 31, 2012 at 6:22 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Mitt Romney debates himself in this hilarious video compilation.

[Read more…]

Obama Bundlers Raised $74 Million

January 31, 2012 at 6:04 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

iWatch News reports that President Obama’s 445 bundlers raised at least $74.4 million last year.

“More than 60 bundlers have now gathered contributions totaling at least $500,000 for the president, a sharp contrast to the campaign’s claims of reliance on small-figure donors. And as with previous bundler disclosures, the list includes a number of individuals who have received appointments and invitations to the White House.”

Bonus Quote of the Day

January 31, 2012 at 3:35 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The winner of Florida is in all likelihood going to be the nominee of our party.”

— Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL), quoted by the AP, endorsing Mitt Romney without actually endorsing him.

Flashback of the Day

January 31, 2012 at 3:04 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Amazingly enough, Mitt Romney’s role in George W. Bush’s 2004 re-election campaign was to call challenger John Kerry a flip-flopper.

[Read more…]

Economic Recovery in Midwest May Boost Obama

January 31, 2012 at 2:26 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“From northern Michigan’s iron mines to Pennsylvania’s natural-gas fields, the industrial heartland of America is humming with jobs again as a region once left for dead recovers faster than the rest of the U.S.,” Bloomberg reports.

“The turnaround may shape this year’s race for the White House as President Barack Obama seeks to reverse Republican gains in the Midwest… The economies of Michigan, Indiana, Ohio and Pennsylvania — all states Obama won in 2008 — have improved faster than that of the U.S. since the recession’s depth in April 2009, according to the Philadelphia Federal Reserve. Michigan is expected to lead all 50 states during the next six months.”

Obama’s Dog Whistle

January 31, 2012 at 1:44 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

When David Axelrod tweeted a photo of President Obama and his dog in a car with the caption, “How loving dog owners transport their dogs,” it was clearly shot a Mitt Romney who once put his dog in a crate on top of his car for a family vacation road trip.

But, as Michael Scherer points out, it’s part of a broader strategy of using a dog whistle to paint Romney as uncaring and out of touch.

“Over the weekend, the campaign rolled out the Pet Lovers For Obama Facebook page, which among other things promotes all the Obama dog swag for sale from the campaign. There is the Bo ‘I Bark For Barack’ car magnet, the Obama leash, the Obama dog collar, the Obama dog bowl… It goes on.”

Romney Claims He Was Outspent in South Carolina

January 31, 2012 at 12:34 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Mitt Romney now says he was “vastly outspent” in South Carolina and that’s why he lost to Newt Gingrich.

Said Romney: “You know, in South Carolina we were vastly outspent with negative ads attacking me and we stood back and spoke about President Obama and suffered the consequence of that.”

But Politico notes independent analyses show that Romney’s campaign and associated Super PACs “spent nearly double what Gingrich’s forces did in the state.”

Crist Could Run as a Democrat

January 31, 2012 at 12:26 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former Florida Gov. Charlie Crist (I) — who left the Republican Party during his unsuccessful 2010 U.S. Senate bid — told Chuck Todd that he’d consider voting for President Obama in November.

Said Crist: “Consider? Sure, I would consider that. I really think he’s sincere and genuine. I think we have a lot time, a lot of issues to talk about, but I think, in his heart, he’s trying to do what’s right for the country overall.”

Crist also said he wouldn’t rule out running for office as a Democrat himself in the future.

What If Florida Isn’t Winner-Take-All?

January 31, 2012 at 12:16 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Republican leaders in Florida, determined to give the state a big say in picking the nominee, decided having their delegation slashed from 99 to 50 was worth it and set Florida’s primary for Jan. 31. The RNC has said Florida will be a winner-take-all primary, but that decision is still subject to challenge,” the Tampa Bay Times reports.

The challenge could come this summer.

Jim Geraghty notes that if the results “are in line with recent polls, Mitt Romney will win 50 delegates and everyone else will win none. (Thus, Rick Santorum and Ron Paul spent a limited amount of time and resources in Florida.) But if it were proportional, Romney would win about 20-25, Gingrich would win about 14-16, Santorum would win about 5-7, and Paul would win 5-6. In other words, Newt Gingrich may have enormous incentive to file protests and perhaps even legal challenges to the RNC to make Florida allocate its delegates proportionally.”

The Twitter Election

January 31, 2012 at 11:53 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Twitter CEO Dick Costolo predicted that 2012 will be “the Twitter election,” reports Tech Crunch.

Said Costello: “Candidates who don’t participate on Twitter while the debates are going on will be left behind because the next morning is too late to respond.”

Iowa GOP Chairman Steps Down

January 31, 2012 at 11:34 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Embattled Iowa Republican chairman Matt Strawn will leave his post at the end of next week, the Des Moines Register reports.

“Strawn has come under heavy fire recently from presidential candidate Rick Santorum’s backers who think he deliberately refused to acknowledge Santorum’s victory in the caucuses… In his resignation announcement this morning, he doesn’t mention the controversy over Iowa’s excruciatingly close caucus count — an omission that could further irritate Santorum’s backers.”

Burton Will Retire In Face of Tough Primary

January 31, 2012 at 10:52 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Dan Burton (R-IN) announced in Indiana that he is retiring at the end of his current term, the Indianapolis Star reports.

National Journal: “Burton was first elected in 1982 but was facing another serious primary challenge: A poll earlier this month showed Burton narrowly leading a GOP primary field, but only pulling 29% support. Burton won a five-way primary in 2010 with just 30% of the vote.”

Quote of the Day

January 31, 2012 at 10:29 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“You mean those who said I was dead in June? Those who said I was dead in December? They are about as accurate as they were the last two times they were wrong.”

— Newt Gingrich, quoted by ABC News, refuting predictions the presidential race would be effectively over if he lost in Florida.

He said the race would go on for “six or eight months” and then added: “unless Romney drops out earlier.”

Paul Focuses on Caucus States

January 31, 2012 at 9:41 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“While his GOP rivals duke it out in a bloody Florida primary on Tuesday, Ron Paul will continue stumping for votes in the caucus states that dominate the political calendar over the next week,” ABC News reports.

“Paul does well in caucus states, where superior organization and passionate supporters play to his strengths and could allow the Texas congressman to pick up more delegates than Gingrich and Santorum combined this week.”

CNN: “Although Paul is charting an unconventional path to capture his party’s nomination, the Texas congressman and champion of libertarian ideals, said he intends to stay in the race through the fall convention.”

Gingrich Consulting Seen as Bigger Liability

January 31, 2012 at 9:39 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new ABC News-Washington Post poll finds neither Mitt Romney’s nor Newt Gingrich’s private sector experience “is playing particularly well with the American public, although Gingrich’s consulting work draws far more criticism than Romney’s background buying and restructuring companies.”

“Americans by a broad 54% to 24% hold an unfavorable opinion of Gingrich’s work as a consultant for companies with an interest in federal policymaking after he left elective office. The division on Romney, while not positive, is much closer: Forty percent see his work experience negatively, vs. 35% positively.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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