JP Morgan warns that if Iran’s blockade of the Strait of Hormuz continues for another couple weeks, it may lead to nationwide gas prices above $5 a gallon, Yahoo Finance reports.
Trump’s Working Class Support Is Waning
A new survey finds that approximately 20% of 2024 Trump voters may not vote Republican in 2028, and that almost 57% of voters who switched from Biden in 2020 to Trump in 2024 are considering abandoning the Republican party in 2028.
Trump Raises Greenland Dispute as He Assails NATO
Bloomberg: “President Donald Trump revisited his grievances with the North Atlantic Treaty Organization over Greenland as he expressed fresh frustration with the security alliance’s stance on the Iran war.”
Said Trump: “It all began with, if you want to know the truth, Greenland. We want Greenland. They don’t want to give it to us. And I said, ‘bye, bye.’””
Bonus Quote of the Day
“If I had my choice, what would I like to do? Take the oil, because it’s there for the taking. There’s not a thing they can do about it.”
— President Trump, quoted by Bloomberg.
Why Attacks on Iran’s Infrastructure Will Backfire
Eurointelligence: “The notion that intensified pressure on civilian infrastructure will force Iran to concede fundamentally underestimates the regime’s tolerance for damage.”
“Repeated instances where diplomatic efforts occurred in the shadow of U.S. attacks have only strengthened hardline arguments that the U.S. cannot be trusted to negotiate in good faith, narrowing the space for compromise.”
“Also, the regime’s instinct for symmetry means retaliation on similar targets would be near certain – an approach that already visible in the wake of Karaj bridge attack, when Iranian state media quickly released a list of bridges in Arab countries and Israel as potential targets for future strikes.”
Utility Board Elections Face Surge of Attention
“Rising household electricity prices and controversy over data centers are reshaping low-profile elections for control over utilities that build power plants and power lines — and then bill people for the cost,” the AP reports.
Is A Blue Wave Coming to Wash Away Trump?
Dan Pfeiffer: “In a world of non-stop bad news for America and the world, the political news for Democrats has been quite upbeat. Everywhere you look, there are positive signs for the upcoming midterms.”
“Democrats are flipping seats in districts Trump won, and even when we don’t flip the seat, Democratic candidates are dramatically overperforming Kamala Harris’s 2024 numbers. Dems even flipped the Florida state house district that includes Mar-a-Lago. Turnout in Democratic primaries has been through the roof. In Texas, more Democrats voted in the primary than Republicans, even though Republicans outnumber Democrats in the state and there was a high-profile Senate primary on the GOP side. Trump’s poll numbers are putrid. His approval is now under 40%.”
“From a political — or frankly any — perspective, things couldn’t be going worse for Trump and the Republicans. This is the least popular Trump has ever been, and it’s the worst political environment he has faced in his career.”
Virginia Split on Abigail Spanberger
Despite her landslide win in last year’s election, new Virginia Gov. Abigail Spanberger (D) is barely polling above water, according to a new Washington Post-Sshar School poll.
No Labels Arizona Wants to Change Its Name
New York Times: “Democrats and Republicans alike have waged legal and rhetorical war over the name of the would-be Arizona Independent Party, underscoring the tension in the state as it enters a midterm election season with a lot on the line, including the governorship, the attorney general’s post and at least two U.S. House seats.”
“The fight centers on the use of the I-word, independent, the most common way to refer to the state’s many politically unaffiliated residents, who make up more than a third of its electorate.”
Regime Change
Coming soon: Regime Change: Inside the Imperial Presidency of Donald Trump by Maggie Haberman and Jonathan Swan.
“A riveting, intimate, and revelatory account of the most radical and consequential presidency of our time.”
Trump Threatens to Wipe Out Iran
President Trump threatened to wipe out the entirety of Iranian civilization if Tehran doesn’t cede to his demands by 8 p.m. Tuesday.
Said Trump: “A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again. I don’t want that to happen, but it probably will.”
What Happens When Trump Feels Cornered
David Graham: “The president’s most inflammatory remarks tend to come when he gets frustrated—which might explain his recent outbursts.”
Quote of the Day
“I think anyone that follows politics can tell there are no principles left in my party. Even for people who agree with some of the stuff the president is doing, if you are honest with yourself, you know it is not based on principle. He wakes up every morning and tries to figure out, what is the best thing for him to do in his self interest that day. But the real lack of principle is on display every day in the House and Senate. These people have become lemmings.”
— Former Gov. Chris Christie (R), in an appearance at Harvard.
Trump Is the Most Hawkish Voice on Iran
Axios: “Trump might be the most hawkish person in the top echelons of his administration on Iran, according to a U.S. source who spoke to him several times in recent days.”
Said one U.S. official: “The president is the most bloodthirsty, like a mad dog.”
“Trump has started sounding out advisers and confidants about the plan to strike power plants and bridges by asking them, ‘What do you think of Infrastructure Day?'”
Trump Calls Artemis II Astronauts
New York Times: “President Trump spoke with the astronauts of the Artemis II mission hours after their spaceship swung around the far side of the moon and took them farther from Earth than any humans on Monday.”
“The roughly 12-minute call offered a chance for levity and unity for Mr. Trump, who had only briefly acknowledged the mission since its launch on April 1.”
JD Vance Heads to Hungary to Support Viktor Orbán
Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán has President Trump’s “complete and total support” — but is on course to lose the country’s elections, which are shaping up to be one of the most important and contentious in Europe this year, CNBC reports.
On Tuesday, U.S. Vice President JD Vance will touch down in Hungary to offer Orbán his support and address an election rally at a soccer stadium in Budapest ahead of Sunday’s elections.
Some Republicans Set Their Own Deadline on Iran War
Wall Street Journal: “As President Trump threatens a major escalation in Iran by a Tuesday night deadline, the Republican-led Congress is out of the picture. Lawmakers are on a holiday recess, and won’t return to Washington until next week.”
“But some Republican lawmakers have set a deadline of their own that is approaching at the end of this month: They say federal law requires the president to seek approval from Congress if military operations in Iran last longer than 60 to 90 days.”
Trump’s Iran Deadline Draws Closer
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