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U.S. May Be Drastically Overstating Jobs Numbers

December 10, 2025 at 9:31 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Fed Chair Jerome Powell pointed on Wednesday to a job-market risk that economists have been worried about for months: Official statistics could be drastically overstating recent hiring,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Powell said that Fed staffers believe that federal data could be overestimating job creation by up to 60,000 jobs a month. Given that figures published so far show that the economy has added about 40,000 jobs a month since April, the real number could be something more like a loss of 20,000 jobs a month.”

Did Texas Republicans Overplay Their Hand?

December 10, 2025 at 9:29 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“When Texas Republicans redrew the state’s congressional map over the summer, they aimed to flip five districts held by Democrats and were guided by the 2024 presidential election results, which showed voters moving to the right,” the New York Times reports.

“But winning all five of those seats under the new map is far from a lock for Republicans next November.”

“With Hispanic voters showing signs of souring on President Trump in special elections this year and concerns mounting over the cost of living, Democrats believe they could hold on to as many as three of the redrawn seats in Texas, two in the Rio Grande Valley and possibly a third centered in and around San Antonio. The party is also looking at flipping a Republican seat in the Valley, little changed in its partisan makeup by the new map, where a popular Tejano music star is running as a moderate Democrat.”

Trump Says CNN Should Be Sold as Part of Any Deal

December 10, 2025 at 9:29 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump on Wednesday further inserted himself into the drama around the sale of Warner Bros. Discovery, saying he believes CNN — one of several cable networks owned by WBD — should be sold as part of any deal,” Axios reports.

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Price of Beef Soars

December 10, 2025 at 9:26 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “For steakhouses like Halls, December is the biggest month of the year. It’s when companies rent out private back rooms for lavish parties; corporate expense accounts cover two-martini lunches; and families treat themselves to a night of steaks, bottles of cabernet sauvignon and sides of creamed spinach, truffle mac and cheese and au gratin potatoes.”

“But this holiday season, many steakhouses — from fine-dining restaurants to midpriced chains like Texas Roadhouse and LongHorn Steakhouse — are walking a tightrope. They have to balance raising menu prices enough to cover at least some of their expenses, but not so much that consumers stop walking through their doors.”

Trump Hates Socialism—Except When He’s Doing It

December 10, 2025 at 5:14 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Tara Palmeri: “Trump made a quiet admission that his tariffs aren’t working as intended: he rolled out a $12 billion bailout for farmers.”

“The irony is hard to miss. This is a president who loves the word ‘tariffs,’ but ‘socialism’ is one of his harshest insults, second only to communism. Yet here he is, redistributing wealth from one group of Americans to another because his voters, farmers, are hurting.”

Trump Says Fed Could Have ‘Doubled’ Rate Cut

December 10, 2025 at 4:11 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump on Wednesday said the Federal Reserve’s latest decision to cut benchmark interest rates by a quarter percentage point could have been “at least doubled,” CNBC reports.

Trump, who has long urged the central bank to slash rates in order to spur further economic growth, called Fed Chair Jerome Powell “a stiff” who approved a “rather small” cut.

Trump Stays Out of New York Gubernatorial Primary

December 10, 2025 at 4:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Trump’s refusal to use his influence to halt Mr. Blakeman — and his subsequent neutrality since the announcement — sent shock waves through Republican circles, where many party loyalists had already committed to supporting Ms. Stefanik and wish to avoid a primary.”

The Trump Card Is Here

December 10, 2025 at 3:42 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump just launched the Trump Card, a direct path to citizenship if you can pay at least $1 million.

Yes, a Woman Can Win the Presidency

December 10, 2025 at 3:31 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new narrative is taking hold in Washington: that America simply isn’t ready to elect a woman as president.

Michelle Obama suggested it last month. Rep. Jim Clyburn said much the same this week. And suddenly, what was once an observation has hardened into political gospel.

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Andy Kim Seeks to Topple the Democratic Bosses

December 10, 2025 at 2:47 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Andy Kim (D-NJ) is declaring war on New Jersey’s Democratic bosses, announcing in a video Wednesday that he plans to recruit challengers to elected officials who protect “machine politics,” Politico reports.

Republicans Not Likely to Extend Obamacare Subsidies

December 10, 2025 at 2:22 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Playbook: “It’s looking all but certain that the Affordable Care Act subsidies — which have emerged as a campaign cudgel for Democrats and health care headache for Republicans — will expire at the end of the month. Though lawmakers have devised multiple solutions, none have brought real consensus.”

Kamala Harris Extends Her Book Tour

December 10, 2025 at 2:20 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Kamala Harris is extending her book tour into 2026 – but now it’s going to be about more than selling books,” CNN reports.

“The former vice president and 2024 Democratic presidential nominee on Wednesday morning announced a slate of stops starting in January and going every week through April, taking her beyond the bluest areas she focused on for most of the tour that started at the end of September.”

U.S. Seizes Oil Tanker Off the Coast of Venezuela

December 10, 2025 at 2:14 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“U.S. forces have intercepted and seized a sanctioned oil tanker off the coast of Venezuela, a move that marks a serious escalation of tensions between the two countries,” Bloomberg reports.

Fed Cuts Rates Again, Signals It May Be Done for Now

December 10, 2025 at 2:05 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Federal Reserve officials cut interest rates at their third consecutive meeting but signaled little appetite for more amid unusual internal divisions over whether inflation or the job market should be their bigger worry,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Public comments from Fed officials in recent weeks revealed a committee so fractured that the decision likely came down to how Fed Chair Jerome Powell wanted to proceed.”

The Trump Show That Never Ends

December 10, 2025 at 1:51 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“On paper, President Trump’s speech in Pennsylvania was supposed to be the opening night of a speaking tour on the economy, but spiritually, the rambling set felt more like the kickoff of a past-their-prime band’s farewell tour,” National Journal reports.

“There was no set list, he played the hits when he could, and did crowd work with MAGA’s version of the Parrotheads, decked out in their finest Trump swag after following him around for years.”

New York Republican Defied Trump

December 10, 2025 at 1:43 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Bruce Blakeman’s announcement that he is running for governor against fellow Republican Elise Stefanik caught many by surprise, not least of which was the White House,” New York Magazine reports.

“Days before the Nassau County executive said he would challenge Stefanik, President Donald Trump called Blakeman to discourage him from running…”

“On Tuesday morning, Blakeman announced he was running anyway, complicating what Stefanik believed would be a cakewalk to the nomination. The result leaves Trump with two of his allies running against each other in his home state.”

GOP Moderates to Force Vote on Obamacare Subsidies

December 10, 2025 at 1:36 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A group of House Republicans will file a discharge petition this week on a bill to extend enhanced Obamacare subsidies for two years,” Punchbowl News reports.

“And they have enough support to force a vote if all House Democrats sign on.”

What Explains Trump’s Aggression Against Venezuela?

December 10, 2025 at 1:11 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Chait: “The buildup to a possible conflict with Venezuela, which has included attacks on boats and a gathering of forces in the Caribbean, is unusual, even surreal, in its lack of a coherent public rationale. Not only has the administration failed to seek authorization for continued operations from Congress—as the Constitution requires for any military action longer than 60 days—it is barely engaging in the kind of jingoistic rhetoric that usually prefigures a conflict.”

“The administration has doubled the reward for anything that might help lead to Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro’s capture, but Trump hasn’t convincingly explained why.”

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Body Man: A “body man” is an assistant or valet who follows a political figure around the clock, providing logistical assistance for daily tasks ranging from paperwork ….

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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