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Dead Heat in Maine’s Senate Race

October 22, 2026 · 6:54 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new Fox News poll in Maine finds Troy Jackson (D) and Susan Collins (R) tied in the U.S. Senate race, 49% to 49%.

Maine Senate Race
Troy Jackson (D) 49%
 
Susan Collins (R) 49%
 
Fox News poll · likely voters · ±2.5%

Early Voting Lags in Rural Georgia

October 22, 2026 · 6:50 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Georgia’s early voting surge is fueled by a growing geographic divide, with voters in metro Atlanta’s suburbs and other more populous areas casting ballots well ahead of their 2022 pace while much of rural Georgia lags behind,” the Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.

Supreme Court Says Student IDs Can’t Be Used to Vote

October 22, 2026 · 6:48 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“In a win for Republicans, the Supreme Court said Thursday that student IDs cannot be used in New Hampshire for the midterm elections,” NBC News reports.

“The justices granted an emergency request filed by the state, which had the backing of the Republican National Committee.”

New York Times: Supreme Court allows blanket ban on student IDs at polls in New Hampshire.

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‘Owning the Libs’ May Have Limits

October 22, 2026 · 6:47 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump’s brand of brash, sometimes offensive, politics has consumed the Republican Party for a decade,” the Washington Post reports.

“But bipartisan outrage over Vivek Ramaswamy’s ad featuring his opponent’s estranged mother shows how candidates often fail when they try to embody the president’s bombast.”

Bolsonaro and Lula Tied Ahead of Brazil Runoff

October 22, 2026 · 6:45 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Flávio Bolsonaro and President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva are tied just days before Brazil’s Sunday runoff election, a new poll showed,” Bloomberg reports.

“Bolsonaro and Lula would each take 50% of valid votes, which exclude null and blank ballots, according to a Datafolha survey published Thursday.”

More Democrats Are Voting in Person

October 22, 2026 · 5:46 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Data from this fall’s early balloting and interviews with officials and voters suggests Americans, particularly Democrats, are moving away from mailing ballots and toward in-person voting and drop boxes, following President Donald Trump’s relentless attack on voting by mail,” the Washington Post reports.

“Requests for mail ballots are down compared with the last midterm election in six of eight states analyzed by Michael McDonald, a University of Florida professor who is the leading authority on early voting data. In Georgia, he found, requests for mail ballots are down 40 percent, while in-person early voting is ‘through the roof.'”

Late Money Is Worth Less Than Early Money

October 22, 2026 · 5:35 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Charlie Cook: “One of the most frequent questions I get is about the massive influx of money coming into various political entities. One of the greatest canards in politics is that money determines elections. The reality is that money is important in politics—it is always better to have it than not—but what matters most is who is spending their money smarter.”

“Furthermore, when the tide is running strongly against a party, spending moves the needle less than one might imagine. Republican pollster Neil Newhouse recently said, ‘Money is an amplifier, not a magic wand,’ adding that ad volume ‘can’t change a hostile climate.'”

Princes and Thieves

October 22, 2026 · 5:29 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Coming soon: Princes and Thieves: Jared Kushner and Mohamed bin Zayed's Secret Plot to Remake the Middle East by Matthew Cole.

Vanity Fair has an excerpt: “The Dutch government had hacked into Jared Kushner’s phone and monitored him as he accessed a Dubai-based bank account. What was odd, the source said, was that the money in the account—hundreds of millions of dollars—had come from a bank in Azerbaijan.”

“Most importantly, Kushner appeared to have transferred significant amounts of money from the Dubai account to other individuals, including a warlord, a mercenary and a one-time hit man.”

Pre-order · Out October 27, 2026Princes and Thieves
Jared Kushner and Mohamed bin Zayed's Secret Plot to Remake the Middle East
by Matthew Cole · Atria/One Signal Publishers
Pre-order on Amazon
Hardcover·Kindle

Extra Bonus Quote of the Day

October 22, 2026 · 5:06 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“I’ve never lost an election when my name is on the ballot. And I’ve never lost an election when I worked for either President Clinton, President Obama or helped make Nancy Pelosi Speaker. I don’t lose.”

— Rahm Emanuel, quoted by the Financial Times, on speculation he might run for president in 2028.

Top GOP Super PAC Is Buying Ads in Mississippi

October 22, 2026 · 5:03 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Republicans working to keep the Senate are increasingly anxious about holding onto a seat in Mississippi — a GOP stronghold in the deep South — and are investing money in the final weeks to shore up incumbent Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith,” CNN reports.

“Senate Leadership Fund, the leading GOP super PAC focused on Senate races, made an initial reservation of about $160,000 in Mississippi on Thursday, according to AdImpact data, with more cash expected.”

“That move comes as Senate Democrats’ announced they’ll spend roughly $1 million on ads for the race — but it’s something that GOP officials had been considering even before the Democratic buy.”

Karoline Leavitt Offers to Find Trump a Press Secretary

October 22, 2026 · 5:02 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Former White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt has offered to help President Donald Trump find his next chief spokesperson after her successor, Katie Zacharia, lasted just five days in the job,” The Wrap reports.

Chris Pappas Leads in New Hampshire Senate Race

October 22, 2026 · 4:52 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new Saint Anselm College Survey Center poll in New Hampshire finds Chris Pappas (D) leading John E. Sununu (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 50% to 43%.

New Hampshire Senate Race
Chris Pappas (D) 50%
 
John E. Sununu (R) 43%
 
Saint Anselm College Survey Center poll · ±2.4%

Republican Leader Embarrassed by Ali G Film Will Sue

October 22, 2026 · 3:48 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The chair of the El Paso County Republican Party has said he intends to sue Sacha Baron Cohen over footage of the local politician used in new satirical comedy Ali G: Who Iz I?” The Guardian reports.

“In the film, Michael Aboud is shown taking part in a training program with another Cohen character, ex-Mossad terrorist expert Col Erran Morad, who instructs Aboud and fellow MAGA sympathizers in self-defense techniques including the wearing, over clothes, of protective plastic buttocks. He also schools them in how to fire bullets from the middle of these buttocks by the repeated up and down manipulation of a rubber penis.”

Armies of Lawyers Prepare to Stop Election Interference

October 22, 2026 · 3:26 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Hundreds of U.S. lawyers have agreed to work for free on efforts to monitor next month’s midterm elections in what voting rights groups say is the biggest effort of its kind to prevent meddling at the polls,” the Financial Times reports.

“The attorneys are volunteering for non-profit groups that specialise in election integrity, with work that ranges from answering voters’ questions on election hotlines to preparing to sue the government over any alleged interference, including if immigration enforcement agents are sent to voting sites.”

Justice Department Probes Corey Lewandowski

October 22, 2026 · 3:16 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The Justice Department is examining allegations that Corey Lewandowski profited off his top position at the Department of Homeland Security,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The inquiry is based on a referral from the DHS inspector general, which shared its findings about Lewandowski’s tenure at the department in recent days.”

Trump Defends Ramaswamy Ad

October 22, 2026 · 2:59 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump on Thursday defended a controversial campaign ad by Vivek Ramaswamy featuring the estranged mother of Amy Acton, his Democratic opponent in the Ohio gubernatorial race,” CNBC reports.

Said Trump: “The Press, in a concerted and well coordinated attack, is trying to get Vivek Ramaswamy to ‘take down the Ad.’ Frankly, anybody whose mother spoke about a daughter in that way would normally lead to the daughter being precluded from serving in Office, let alone the Office of Governor.”

GOP Senator Questions Elon Musk’s Influence

October 22, 2026 · 2:54 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Sen. Kevin Cramer said Thursday that he had concerns about Elon Musk’s influence over national security matters after Ukraine was blindsided by a disruption of a satellite communications service developed by Musk’s SpaceX,” Politico reports.

Said Cramer: “We’re putting too many eggs in one company’s basket when it comes to our space assets.”

Most New Jobs Reported Last Year Were Revised Away

October 22, 2026 · 2:52 pm ET · Leave a Comment

When first reported, the 2025 monthly jobs reports added up to 1.2 million new jobs for the year, Steve Rattner reports.

After revisions, the economy added just 116,000 — 90% less than reported.

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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