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Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 188

Nothing to See Here

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Trial Balloon · Ep. 188: Nothing to See Here

America’s Farmers Are Rethinking Their Loyalty to the GOP

September 26, 2026 at 5:19 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“With just over a month to go until midterm elections, Republicans are facing the worst political environment in farm country in decades,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Tariffs and high prices for diesel, gas and fertilizer because of the war in Iran, along with President Trump’s plans to import more beef, have soured the moods of America’s farmers and ranchers, giving an opening for Democrats in what are typically solid red states.”

“Trump’s trade war with China halted soybean exports, depressing prices for last year’s crop and costing farmers billions of dollars. Tariffs have also made farm equipment more expensive.”

Trump Rolls Back Fuel Economy Standards

September 26, 2026 at 5:18 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump on Saturday said he approved new fuel economy standards, reversing former President Joe Biden’s stricter policies meant to fuel electric vehicle adoption,” CNBC reports.

“It is unclear what the final fuel economy standards will be, although Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy previously said that they would be sharply lower than the Biden-era policies.”

Maine’s Senate Race Is Tied

September 26, 2026 at 5:12 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Insider Advantage poll in Maine finds Troy Jackson (D) leading Susan Collins (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 46% to 46%.

Maine Senate Race
Troy Jackson (D) 46%
 
Susan Collins (R) 46%
 
InsiderAdvantage poll · likely voters · ±2.83%

Josh Turek Just Ahead in Iowa’s Senate Race

September 26, 2026 at 5:11 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Insider Advantage poll in Iowa finds Josh Turek (D) leading Ashley Hinson (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 47% to 46%, with Thomas Leith (L) at 2%.

Iowa Senate Race
Josh Turek (D) 47%
 
Ashley Hinson (R) 46%
 
Insider Advantage poll · likely voters · ±2.3%

Lawmakers Slam Trump’s Move to Cancel Funding

September 26, 2026 at 3:58 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Lawmakers in both parties blasted a plan by President Donald Trump to claw back more than $800 million in congressionally approved spending across the government, saying the president had no right to defy Congress in how he directs federal funding,” the Washington Post reports.

“The White House late Friday said it was taking a legally contested move to cut funding at federal agencies for a range of programs that direct government services toward immigrants, minority groups, climate change programs and other issues. It was the latest bid by the Trump administration to assert sweeping control over the government and to trim congressional powers.”

NBC News: Lawmakers slam Trump’s “unlawful” move to cut $810 million in federal funds.

This Made My Day

September 26, 2026 at 2:44 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This email from a Political Wire reader really made my day:

Just wanted to compliment and thank you for the wonderful upgrades that have been blooming on Political Wire the last few months. I know how hard it is to design and execute truly useful and pleasant to engage with features, and you’ve really done a bang up job throughout — as well as adding new features like the Trending News and Polling Dashboard.

I’m sure you could just coast without the upgrades, but they really make a difference in user experience. Just wanted to call ’em out and say thanks.

It’s been a ton of fun making Political Wire better — and there’s more to come.

If you’re not yet a member, join today for instant access.

Trump Again Rants About Press After Barring CNN

September 26, 2026 at 1:45 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump again raged at his press coverage Saturday morning, calling on the courts to enforce bans of particular outlets from the White House,” The Wrap reports.

Said Trump: “Why should perpetrators of FAKE NEWS, like CNN and MSDNC, be allowed access to a very sacred place, the White House? Despite my big Election Win, almost 100% of ‘TRUMP’ coverage is negative, and has been for years!”

The Progressive Conservatives Can’t Stop Talking About

September 26, 2026 at 1:42 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“If she suspected someone was going to start a fight with her as a child, Democratic Rep. Ilhan Omar of Minnesota sometimes struck first. As a tiny girl, she figured the element of surprise was an advantage,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“That willingness to go on the offensive has been a hallmark of her political career. When a man sprayed Omar with apple-cider vinegar from a syringe at a town-hall meeting here earlier this year, her first instinct wasn’t to cower, but to chase him with raised fists. In an interview, Omar said it isn’t in her nature to back down.”

“The lawmaker has been a forerunner for a faction of Democrats pulling the party leftward. That, along with her combativeness, has helped make her a top target for attacks from President Trump and conservatives, as well as GOP investigations. A massive welfare-fraud scandal in Minnesota—heavily tied to her fellow Somali immigrants—has only added fuel to the fire.”

Bonus Quote of the Day

September 26, 2026 at 1:40 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Don’t develop your oil and gas, just buy it from us, well, that’s great for them and terrible for us. The same is true on data centers. If they can convince Americans, ‘You don’t want data centers here, you want to just rely on the Chinese for AI,’ that’s great for China, and it’s terrible for America.”

— Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), quoted by Fox News.

Trump Rejects Iran’s Cease-Fire Proposal

September 26, 2026 at 1:14 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump said on Saturday he turned down Iran’s latest cease-fire proposal that offered to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and restart talks on the country’s nuclear program in exchange for U.S. concessions,” the New York Times reports.

Said Trump: “They made a proposal, but I rejected it.”

“Mr. Trump demurred when asked if he expected to restart military strikes after the November midterm elections, saying Iran wanted ‘to make a deal where they open the strait immediately because they’re losing so badly.'”

Iran’s Bitterness Over How to Make Peace with Trump

September 26, 2026 at 11:16 am ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Robin Wright: “In a whirlwind trip to New York this week, Mahmoud Pezeshkian, the President of Iran, looked exhausted. His country has been at war with the United States and Israel for seven months. Dark, puffy bags sagged under his eyes. His tone—at the opening of the UN General Assembly, on the sidelines of negotiations with U.S. envoys, in meetings with other world leaders, and at briefings for nuclear specialists, think-tank experts, and members of the media—alternated between bitter, biting, and bewildered.”

“The scenes were often surreal. Since February 28th, when the war began, Pezeshkian has frequently run his government from an underground location, to avoid the fate of his former boss, the Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and dozens of other politicians and military officers, all killed in air strikes.”

“This week, however, the U.S. Secret Service and the New York Police Department provided Pezeshkian protection in coordination with his own security detail of Revolutionary Guards, an Iranian military branch that has repeatedly been targeted during the war. It was the first time that the President of a country at war with the United States has been allowed to pay a visit.”

Brazil Extends Diesel Subsidy to Ease Fuel Prices

September 26, 2026 at 11:15 am ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Brazil’s government extended measures to contain rising fuel prices, ensuring continued relief for consumers ahead of the presidential election’s first round on Oct. 4,” Bloomberg reports.

How Trump’s Election Plan Is Falling Into Place

September 26, 2026 at 10:51 am ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Supreme Court on Friday allowed the federal government to deploy its own immigration database to check voters’ citizenship, greenlighting a key part of the Trump administration’s push to expand its role in elections,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The administration has also threatened prosecutions of elections officials and is preparing to send poll monitors to a swath of states. Other efforts—such as getting the Postal Service to impose new restrictions on mail-in ballots—have been blocked by the courts for the midterms.”

“Many states say they now see the federal government as an adversary on elections, with tensions and confusion already running high across multiple fronts.”

Blame Trump for Rising Borrowing Costs

September 26, 2026 at 8:52 am ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

David Frum: “This has been a week of pain for anyone who borrows money.”

“All over the world, lenders are demanding higher interest rates. The global bond market is extracting higher yields from every borrower, starting with the biggest borrowers of all: national governments. But not every government is paying equally.”

“Trustworthy borrowers with solid finances and honest leadership pay less. Distrusted borrowers with disordered finances and corrupt leaders pay more. In times past, the United States would have headed that first list. Under President Trump, the United States has tumbled onto the second one.”

Grand Display for Xi Reveals Limits of Trump’s Summitry

September 26, 2026 at 8:27 am ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Expectations were low entering President Trump’s meetings with China’s leader, Xi Jinping, this week, after officials on both sides tempered hopes for a breakthrough. Yet the summit’s stark lack of substance surprised even the closest China watchers,” the Los Angeles Times reports.

“It was a visual affair designed to project a new phase of managed competition between a prevailing superpower and a rising one — a message that Washington and Beijing are ultimately capable of responsible leadership. But even a cursory look beneath the surface revealed the challenges ahead for the world’s most consequential bilateral relationship.”

And then there’s this: “Trump repeatedly patted Xi on the back, a gesture considered highly inappropriate in Chinese political culture.”

Democrats-as-Extremists Message Met with Mixed Success

September 26, 2026 at 8:09 am ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The pitch was simple: Republican U.S. Senate candidate Mike Rogers is a common-sense conservative, while Democratic rival Abdul El-Sayed is a big-government socialist aligned with the party’s left wing,” Reuters reports.

“But when a canvasser backing Rogers delivered that message to Nick Delise, a three-time Donald Trump voter in suburban Detroit, he encountered some skepticism. Though ​Delise said he would probably vote for Rogers, he rejected the notion that Democrats were controlled by the far left, saying the party was focused on practical solutions to voters’ problems.”

“The exchange offered a first-hand look at a strategy Republicans ‌are deploying in Michigan and other battleground states: to portray Democrats as ideological extremists who have moved too far to the left, while turning out less-engaged supporters needed to keep their congressional majorities in November.”

Quote of the Day

September 26, 2026 at 8:03 am ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A lot of them can’t spell it. They just don’t have the experience.”

— Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC), quoted by NBC News, on Congress trying to regulate AI.

Ted Cruz Says Trump Won’t Ban Diesel Exports

September 26, 2026 at 8:01 am ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The White House has offered assurances that the Trump administration won’t ban U.S. diesel exports, Senator Ted Cruz told refining industry leaders late Friday,” Bloomberg reports.

“Cruz’s message comes as the administration weighs options for slashing diesel prices amid a historic run-up in costs for the fuel.”

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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