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Republicans Are Privately Blaming Trump

November 2, 2026 · 8:50 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Republicans are already privately blaming President Donald Trump as they brace for losses on Tuesday,” Politico reports.

“Even as they race to distance themselves from his actions on tariffs, the unpopular Iran war and his mass deportation agenda, few have been willing to criticize him publicly — a clear sign of just how powerful Trump’s grip remains on the GOP. But interviews with roughly a dozen candidates, campaign officials and lawmakers reveal they’re acutely aware of who, exactly, put them on the back foot this entire cycle.”

Said one House Republican: “There was a point earlier this year where we really felt like we could defy history. And then Trump bombed Iran. And it was just one thing after another.”

Jon Ossoff Seeks a Commanding Win

November 2, 2026 · 8:48 am ET · Leave a Comment

Atlanta Journal-Constitution: “With Election Day on Tuesday, the U.S. Senate race has taken a turn few imagined when the campaign began.”

“Ossoff has gone from the nation’s most vulnerable Democratic incumbent to a rising national party figure drawing serious talk of a 2028 presidential bid.”

“Collins is struggling to convince fellow Republicans that he has a chance, telling voters Ossoff has only national ambitions on his mind.”

Mississippi Voters Could Go to Wrong Polling Place

November 2, 2026 · 8:17 am ET · Leave a Comment

“As Mississippians gear up to cast ballots for a major U.S. Senate race and all four U.S. House seats, some voters could still be sent to the wrong location on Election Day at multiple polling places due to erroneous addresses and outdated information still uncorrected in the state’s system as of Saturday, Oct. 31, 2026,” Mississippi Free Press reports.

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A Campaign Season of Surprises Peaks on Tuesday

November 2, 2026 · 8:02 am ET · Leave a Comment

Los Angeles Times: “Capping a turbulent first half of Trump’s second term, the campaign has been defined by affordability and economic issues that have created headwinds for Republicans and spurred a possible turn toward Democrats by voters. And as Trump has pushed the limits of executive power, the midterms could act as a consequential check on his presidential reach.”

How Democrats Are Reclaiming the Politics of Populism

November 2, 2026 · 7:46 am ET · Leave a Comment

Banjamin Wallace-Wells: “It is a propitious time for a little bit of populism. The intrusion of Musk into politics and of the A.I. hyperscalers, via data centers, into otherwise out-of-the-way American towns has made the issues of concentrated wealth and power especially poignant this year.”

“Even more significantly, Donald Trump’s pursuit of policies that have exacerbated the central political problem of rising prices—the tariffs, the Iran war—combined with his financial entanglements and shadowy deals, has made him newly vulnerable to charges of using his public office for personal gain or, more simply, of being out of touch with Americans’ daily struggles.”

Five Ways Voting Could Be Disrupted in the Midterms

November 2, 2026 · 7:30 am ET · Leave a Comment

“The Trump administration has initiated a string of unprecedented actions to assert more federal control over elections. While courts have thwarted most of the plans, voting experts remain concerned about potential problems at the polls,” ProPublica reports. 

CNN: Trump is setting the stage to contest the midterms. Here’s how.

Bonus Quote of the Day

November 2, 2026 · 7:14 am ET · Leave a Comment

“If we have a good election, and I think we will, we have to realize that that’s the opportunity to establish trust — not the ability to take it for granted.”

— Former President Bill Clinton, quoted by Politico.

New Polls Point to a Blue Tsunami

November 2, 2026 · 7:09 am ET · Leave a Comment

Dan Pfeiffer: “One year ago, when people asked me whether Democrats could win the Senate, I said we needed a perfect storm to have a chance.”

“Well, with one day to go, a brand-new set of New York Times/Siena polls makes it abundantly clear that the perfect storm has arrived.”

“The polls show the political winds at Democrats’ backs even in deep Trump country. If they are right, a big blue wave is about to wash across America. Democrats lead in all seven Senate battlegrounds, in some cases by large margins.”

Nate Silver: “They might be wrong again, but it’s getting hard to deny that polls point toward a really big year for Democrats.”

The Center of America’s Political Spam Text Hell

November 2, 2026 · 6:58 am ET · Leave a Comment

Dhruv Mehrotra: “I’ve gotten nearly 2,000 campaign fundraising texts that were meant for someone else. I tried to find out why—and uncovered a labyrinth of politicians, data brokers, and shady tactics.”

Trump Says He’ll Use Preemptive Pardons

November 2, 2026 · 6:43 am ET · Leave a Comment

“President Trump revealed he’s willing to issue sweeping preemptive pardons to everyone who worked in his administration if Democrats follow through on threats to prosecute them,” the New York Post reports.

Said Trump: “I would if I needed to. Sure.”

He added: “That’s what Biden did. He gave everybody a pardon.”

Democrats Lead in Texas for Senate and Governor

November 2, 2026 · 6:35 am ET · Leave a Comment

A new AtlasIntel poll in Texas finds James Talarico (D) leading Ken Paxton (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 51% to 45%.

Texas Senate Race
James Talarico (D) 51%
 
Ken Paxton (R) 45%
 
AtlasIntel poll · adults · ±2%

The same poll in Texas finds Gina Hinojosa (D) leading Greg Abbott (R) in the governor’s race, 49% to 48%.

Texas Governor’s Race
Gina Hinojosa (D) 49%
 
Greg Abbott (R) 48%
 
AtlasIntel poll · adults · ±2%

Republicans Spend Late Millions On Safe Seats

November 2, 2026 · 5:48 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Republicans are burning tens of millions of last-minute ad dollars to try to rescue three red-state senators who they say ignored months of warnings that their campaigns were in danger,” Axios reports.

“Senate races in Kansas, South Carolina and Mississippi are normally GOP layups. This year, Republicans have diverted resources from swing-state battles to defend them.”

Republicans Count On Election Day Turnout

November 2, 2026 · 5:43 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Republicans’ hopes of avoiding a wipeout in the midterms come down to how many of their voters show up Tuesday,” the Washington Post reports.

”Unlike two years ago, when the party invested in encouraging supporters to vote early and by mail and headed into Election Day meeting or beating its targets, GOP operatives said their fate this year hinges on whether voters turn out on Election Day or not at all. The concern extends beyond Trump supporters who don’t consistently vote when he isn’t on the ballot; Republicans said usually reliable base voters are considering sitting this election out or crossing over to support Democrats.”

Trump’s Iron Grip On the GOP Put the Senate in Play

November 2, 2026 · 5:33 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Americans are angry about war and prices, and a president’s second midterm is always difficult — but a series of decisions by President Donald Trump has made Republicans’ Senate majority ever-more vulnerable,” Semafor reports.

“The mark Trump made on the midterms began in the summer of 2024, when he selected former Ohio Sen. JD Vance as his running mate. Since then, the president’s personnel and political decisions have reshaped the Senate battleground from what looked like an impenetrable red wall into a toss-up.”

“His decision to pick Vance opened up a special election in Ohio that will by the end of this week cost the GOP hundreds of millions of dollars and potentially a Senate seat. Trump’s party-boss mentality in North Carolina, Texas, and South Carolina has further contributed to the yawning battleground.”

Parties End Campaign with Their Closing Arguments

November 2, 2026 · 5:30 am ET · Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Republicans, fearing deep losses across the country, have unleashed a flurry of attacks, casting their Democratic challengers as radical, dangerous and even anti-American. In Michigan, Republicans seized on a surprising last-minute endorsement of their nominee for the Senate, former Representative Mike Rogers, by Representative Haley Stevens, a moderate Democrat who lost during the primary race.”

“While Democrats erupted over Ms. Stevens’s decision, the party’s candidates have tried to keep their focus on the three issues that have animated their campaigns for months: affordability, corruption and what they describe as the chaos of the Trump administration.”

Senate Majority May Stay Unsettled for Weeks

November 2, 2026 · 5:29 am ET · Leave a Comment

“No matter which party wins on Tuesday, the Senate majority is likely to be tight,” the New York Times reports.

“The midterm elections could yield a narrow majority for either party or even a 50-50 tie, which could prompt a party switch that would reshuffle the balance of power. There’s a long-shot chance of a scenario that hasn’t happened in decades, in which an independent senator could refuse to align with either party and keep control up for grabs. And there is a possibility that one or more election challenges could keep seats unfilled for weeks or months, leaving the majority uncertain.”

“Any one of those results has the potential to change how the Senate functions and its ability to pass legislation and confirm President Trump’s nominees.”

CNN: The top 11 Senate seats most likely to flip, the day before the midterms.

A ‘Pugnacious’ JD Vance Leans Into Personal Attacks

November 2, 2026 · 5:27 am ET · Leave a Comment

New York Times: “As he has sought to rally support for GOP candidates before the midterm elections, Mr. Vance has repeatedly reverted to deeply personal attacks and inflammatory rhetoric, playing a leading role in a campaign in which Republicans in tightening races have adopted xenophobic, anti-immigrant and anti-Muslim rhetoric.”

“He fat-shamed critics, and suggested that the Democratic Senate candidate in Texas was gay and had inappropriate relationships with children. He asserted that a Black Democratic candidate in Florida did not belong in the United States because of her socialist views. He questioned the Christianity of a Kansas pastor running for Senate. And he defended a widely criticized ad featuring the estranged mother of the Democrat running for governor in Ohio, Dr. Amy Acton.”

Elon Musk Tests What Nearly Half a Billion Dollars Can Buy

November 2, 2026 · 5:26 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Elon Musk has given more money during the midterm elections than any donor has ever spent in a single election cycle, apart from wealthy candidates who have funded their own runs for office,” the New York Times reports.

“He has contributed a stunning amount: $474 million, or nearly half a billion dollars.”

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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