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Kathy Hochul’s Improbable Turnaround

October 8, 2026 · 5:27 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Russell Berman: “What attention Hochul attracted in her first years as governor was largely negative. She won her own full term in 2022 by six points, a relatively narrow margin for New York that Nancy Pelosi blamed for costing Democrats control of the House… By late 2024, Hochul’s approval rating had dropped below 40 percent, and the Democrats who were plotting primary challenges included her own handpicked lieutenant governor, Antonio Delgado.”

“But the past two years have yielded an impressive turnaround. Hochul has drawn praise for forging productive relationships with both Trump and Mamdani. She easily dispatched opponents on her left (Delgado quit his campaign for governor in February) and her right (Representative Elise Stefanik’s bid lasted just more than a month). Hochul appears on track to secure another four-year term as New York’s governor, and if she remains something less than an A-list political celebrity, she has earned the respect of a party that all but dismissed her not long ago.”

White House Floats Russ Vought’s Deputy to Lead GAO

October 8, 2026 · 5:13 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The White House has floated placing one of its top officials to serve as the head of the government’s most powerful watchdog, a move that could threaten the oversight of President Donald Trump’s overhaul of the executive branch,” the Washington Sun reports.

“Trump is considering nominating Office of Management and Budget Director Russ Vought’s deputy to serve as the nation’s comptroller general, the Government Accountability Office’s chief, for a 15-year term.”

Democrats Call for Kimberly Guilfoyle’s Removal

October 8, 2026 · 4:55 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Democratic lawmakers are calling for Kimberly Guilfoyle, the U.S. ambassador to Greece, to be fired after a bombshell report that she sought $100,000 from a Trump donor while offering access to administration officials,” the Washington Sun reports.

Hegseth Vows ‘Public’ Firing Squad Execution

October 8, 2026 · 4:29 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth vowed in an interview this week that the execution of the man who killed 13 people in a mass shooting at Fort Hood in 2009 would be ‘public,'” CNN reports.

Said Hegseth: “We’ll make sure that people are able to watch it, that it’s public, because people need to understand that there’s serious consequences for these types of things.”

Justices Again Intervene in Political Ad Rate Dispute

October 8, 2026 · 4:28 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The Supreme Court on Thursday once again quickly stepped into a legal clash regarding the rules governing the price of political television ads ahead of the midterms,” the Washington Sun reports.

“The Trump administration and Republican campaign committees asked the justices to halt a ruling from the 4th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals, which gave the Federal Communications Commission until noon Friday to resolve a challenge from Democratic Senate nominees to the agency’s March guidance granting political party committees access to lower ad rates when coordinating with candidates.”

“Chief Justice John Roberts quickly did so — at least for now.”

Paxton Leaks Prompt Republican Handwringing

October 8, 2026 · 4:23 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Three is a trend, and the leaks about Texas Senate nominee Ken Paxton’s campaign have more than hit that threshold,” Semafor reports.

“On Thursday the Texas Tribune published audio of Paxton saying the U.S. needs to ‘suck it up’ and cut federal programs, more drips from the same fundraiser that elicited Paxton’s complaints about gas prices, lack of control over his own campaign, and the Republican midterm convention depressing his numbers.”

Said Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX): “Got to be more careful when you run with the big dogs.”

In case you missed it

  • Thu 11:43 amAre Midterm Polls Underestimating Republicans?
  • Wed 5:55 pmTrump Is Being Forced Into Retreat Around the World
  • Wed 3:16 pmThree Things to Understand About Ken Paxton

Just for Members

  • Thu 8:40 amThe Senate Map Has Turned Upside Down
  • Wed 2:16 pmAnother Trouble Sign for Republicans

Become a member to read them →

NFL Says States Should Regulate Prediction Markets

October 8, 2026 · 4:09 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The National Football League wants state regulators, not the federal government, to oversee and regulate prediction markets such as Kalshi, the league wrote in a Supreme Court filing Thursday,” the Washington Sun reports.

Trump Approval Sinks to 30%

October 8, 2026 · 4:08 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new Pew Research poll finds Donald Trump’s approval at 30%, while 68% disapprove.

Trump Approval
Approve 30%
 
Disapprove 68%
 
Pew Research poll · adults

Rubio Refuses to Comment On Guilfoyle Allegations

October 8, 2026 · 4:04 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Secretary of State Marco Rubio on Thursday flatly refused to comment on a new report alleging that U.S. Ambassador to Greece Kimberly Guilfoyle engaged in improper and possibly illegal conduct before taking up her post,” the Associated Press reports.

U.S. Budget Deficit Jumps to Nearly $2 Trillion

October 8, 2026 · 4:02 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The U.S. budget deficit climbed to nearly $2 trillion in the fiscal year that ended Sept. 30, according to the Congressional Budget Office, deepening the federal government’s persistent red-ink trend,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

Teens Who Identify as Gay or Bisexual Is in ‘Free Fall’

October 8, 2026 · 4:00 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Young teenagers are less likely to identify as lesbian, gay or bisexual than they were a few years ago, according to a new analysis of Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data,” the Washington Post reports.

Election Chief Preps for Trump Trying to Seize Ballots

October 8, 2026 · 3:49 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Cisco Aguilar believes this Election Day will be unlike any other in Nevada’s history. He is bracing for immigration agents to descend on polling locations, for federal law enforcement to move to seize ballots and for the President to openly dispute the state’s election results,” Time reports.

Said Aguilar: “If this administration chooses to challenge the elections, yes, we are preparing for it. We know it’s a very high probability.”

Obama Marvels at Democrats’ Senate Chances

October 8, 2026 · 3:42 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Former president Barack Obama expressed surprise at Democrats’ expanding midterm map at a private fundraiser Wednesday night, but warned donors not to get complacent about the party’s chances, according to excerpts provided to The Washington Post,” the Washington Post reports.

Said Obama: “There are states right now in play that I would not have imagined being in play. If you had told me, and — I know I’m the hope guy — but if you had told me that the polling currently shows James Talarico ahead of Ken Paxton … I would have said, eh, I don’t think so.”

For members: The Senate Map Has Turned Upside Down

Trump Warns He’ll ‘Never Forgive’ Texas if Talarico Wins

October 8, 2026 · 2:48 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Digging in to defend both his pride and his political fortunes, President Donald Trump on Wednesday returned to deep-red Texas to rally for Ken Paxton’s Senate bid, while revealing at times his own trepidation that one of the Republican Party’s longest winning streaks may be about to end on his watch,” Time reports.

Trump warned the crowd in San Antonio: “We’ll never forgive you for what you have done if you let that happen.”

Where Is James Talarico?

October 8, 2026 · 2:44 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“James Talarico has been absent from the campaign trail over the past 12 days as the Texas Senate race enters a critical stretch, prompting Republicans to open a new line of attack on the Democratic nominee,” CNN reports.

“At a campaign rally in San Antonio Wednesday, Texas attorney general and GOP Senate nominee Ken Paxton led the crowd in a chant about his opponent’s whereabouts.”

Said Paxton: “Where is James Talarico?”

“Talarico’s campaign said the Texas Democrat is recovering from the flu.”

Roy Cooper Ahead in North Carolina Senate Race

October 8, 2026 · 1:57 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new ECU Poll in North Carolina finds Roy Cooper (D) leading Michael Whatley (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 50% to 43%.

North Carolina Senate Race
Roy Cooper (D) 50%
 
Michael Whatley (R) 43%
 
ECU Poll · likely voters · ±4%

Conservative Podcasters Keep Talking About Affordability

October 8, 2026 · 1:56 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Just months ago, ‘affordability’ was the left’s favorite buzzword. President Trump hated it so much he called it a ‘fake word by Democrats’ and a ‘hoax,'” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Now, it is catching on in another circle: conservative podcasts.”

“As the cost of living emerges as a top issue for voters ahead of the 2026 elections, right-leaning podcasters are using the term about as often as left-leaning ones, a Wall Street Journal analysis of tens of thousands of hours of podcasts aired since January found.”

Pentagon Contractors Face Scrutiny from Democrats

October 8, 2026 · 1:28 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Democrats are zeroing in on the Pentagon and defense contractors as they prepare to scrutinize potential conflicts of interest in the Trump administration should they win control of Congress,” Bloomberg reports.

“Companies that have contracts with the Pentagon under Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth are particularly vulnerable… That’s partly because Congress expects the administration will continue to ignore or slow-walk their requests for information — as it has even when Republicans were in control.”

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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