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Susan Collins Slightly Ahead in Maine Senate Race

September 30, 2026 at 5:35 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new co/efficient (R) poll in Maine finds Susan Collins (R) leading Troy Jackson (D) in the U.S. Senate race, 48% to 46%.

Maine Senate Race
Susan Collins (R) 48%
 
Troy Jackson (D) 46%
 
co/efficient poll · likely voters · ±2.77%

The White House Is Starting to Panic Over the Midterms

September 30, 2026 at 5:29 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump has told aides that he thinks Republicans could still outperform expectations in the midterm elections this November, seemingly unwilling to confront the worsening political climate for the GOP,” Wired reports.

“But aides acknowledge privately that the national polling for Trump is shockingly bad, and the White House, in recent weeks, has begun to contemplate for the first time losing both the House and Senate majorities.”

Said one longtime Trump operative: “Oh, yeah, we’re going to get creamed.”

Another Bonus Quote of the Day

September 30, 2026 at 5:28 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“We are no longer the woke department or the weak department. Simple translation of that: no fatties, no trannies, no beardos, no weirdos, no wimps, no radicals. Just warriors. Just tough, ready, committed troops. The ideological clowns are out. The patriotic cowboys are in, with testosterone testing on top.”

— Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, quoted by the New York Post.

Elon Musk Tapped to Co-Lead Project On Future Warfare

September 30, 2026 at 5:24 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Elon Musk is taking on a new role in the Trump administration, this time helping the Pentagon determine which weapons and technology American troops will need to fight the wars of the future,” Fox News reports.

“War Secretary Pete Hegseth announced Wednesday that Musk will co-lead Project Meridian, a new Pentagon initiative tasked with looking years and even decades ahead to identify emerging domains of warfare and the capabilities the U.S. military will need to dominate them.”

CNBC: Elon Musk, Palmer Luckey and Newt Gingrich to help Pentagon with warfare initiative, Hegseth says.

Trump Mails $500 Check to 950,000 on Obamacare

September 30, 2026 at 5:23 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump is putting a half-billion dollars in the mail — and making sure Americans know who to thank for it,” the New York Post reports.

“About 950,000 Obamacare enrollees in 30 states will receive $500 checks as early as this week — premised on the Biden administration’s alleged overcharging of user fees to health insurance companies, which in turn charged consumers higher rates.”

Jim Justice Urges ICE to Dial Back Enforcement

September 30, 2026 at 4:23 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Sen. Jim Justice said the Trump administration should reconsider its approach to immigration enforcement Tuesday, joining the chorus of criticism of a recent crackdown that has roiled rural communities ahead of the midterms,” Politico reports.

Said Justice: “Before you know it, you get people that get carried away in their job and whatever it may be, and all of a sudden, then you’re dragging people away that have lived on your street corner for 15 years, and I don’t know that we need to be doing that stuff.”

Hegseth Says Reporting On Iran Is a ‘National Betrayal’

September 30, 2026 at 4:17 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth called press coverage of the Iran war ‘a national betrayal,’ and described journalists as anti-American traitors for reporting on the actions of the Pentagon,” Bloomberg reports.

Said Hegseth: “A free press is of course important, but partisan activism that intentionally smears the troops and the historic mission that they are undertaking is fundamentally anti-American. It’s sick. It’s a national betrayal. It’s treason.”

Jim Justice Has a ‘Short’ Timeline for Deciding On Bid

September 30, 2026 at 4:14 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Sen. Jim Justice said Wednesday that he’ll decide whether to run for West Virginia governor before the end of the year but likely not until after the midterms,” Politico reports.

Said Justice: “The timeline is short, because I don’t want to jerk you around. I don’t want to jerk people around.”

Margin-of-Error Races as Far as the Eye Can See

September 30, 2026 at 4:10 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Charlie Cook: “Today there are at least seven Senate contests in which serious polls put the difference between the two candidates within the margin of error. There are five Republican-held Senate seats with margin-of-error races. Three are held by incumbents: Sens. Dan Sullivan of Alaska, Susan Collins of Maine, and Jon Husted of Ohio. The other two, Iowa and Texas, are open seats. This is not counting the open seat in North Carolina, which has become hopeless for the GOP… I am also keeping a close eye on Kansas, where I would not be surprised to see it become very close.”

“Most polling shows Democrat Troy Jackson ahead of Collins in Maine by a few points, but Jackson is an underwhelming candidate and his advertising doesn’t seem to be compensating for that… I’d put Collins as a narrow favorite thanks to her superior political skills, the effectiveness of her campaign operation, and Jackson having enough baggage to keep him from fully consolidating the Democratic vote.”

“At the same time, my hunch is that Texas does flip. In state Attorney General Ken Paxton, Republicans managed to nominate perhaps the one possible candidate who could lose to a Democrat… If Democrat James Talarico wins, it will be despite his blue jersey and more-progressive views, not because of them. My advice to him if he wins: Rent an apartment, don’t buy a house.”

Trump Raves About ‘Hardworking’ and ‘Energetic’ Hispanics

September 30, 2026 at 3:43 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump said he doesn’t care if it’s a cliche because it’s a nice thing to say and it’s true: Hispanics are very ‘hardworking,'” Mediaite reports.

Said Trump: “You’re not supposed to generalize, but I do. You’re hardworking people, you’re smart as hell, you’re energetic — sometimes too energetic, I might add.”

Marsha Blackburn Sues Jack Smith Over Phone Records

September 30, 2026 at 3:41 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A close Capitol Hill ally of President Donald Trump is suing the Justice Department and former special counsel Jack Smith for obtaining her phone logs in the course of his investigation into Trump’s bid to subvert the 2020 election,” Politico reports.

“Sen. Marsha Blackburn (R-TN) filed suit a day after Smith testified to the Senate Judiciary Committee — on which Blackburn sits — and defended his office’s investigation, including its effort to obtain the records of Blackburn and dozens of other GOP lawmakers who spoke with Trump and his advisers during a four-day period in January 2021.”

Washington Sun: Marsha Blackburn sues Jack Smith for $1.

Hegseth Unveils New Command to Oversee Military Drones

September 30, 2026 at 3:40 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is creating a four-star combatant command for autonomous warfare, overhauling the way the Pentagon buys, tests and deploys drones and other cutting-edge technologies,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The Autonomous Warfare Command, or ‘AutoWarCom,’ will be directed to buy new drones and robotics ‘in the fastest peacetime shift in modern military history.'”

Pennsylvania Reports 943 Measles Cases

September 30, 2026 at 3:39 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Pennsylvania’s health department reported 943 measles cases as of ​Wednesday, according to its website, ‌as the state grapples with a growing outbreak of the highly ​contagious disease,” Reuters reports.

FCC Chairman Doesn’t See Need to Review Trump Ads

September 30, 2026 at 3:37 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The chairman of the FCC on Wednesday dismissed concerns about the White House use of taxpayer money to pay for a series of ads promoting President Donald Trump,” Deadline reports.

Said FCC Chairman Brendan Carr: “I don’t think there’s anything unique or different about it, other than being a normal PSA, the types of PSAs that the government naturally and normally runs.”

Paxton Secures $20 Million Ad Buy

September 30, 2026 at 3:02 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Ken Paxton, the Republican Texas Senate nominee, announced a new $20 million ad buy in the state ahead of November’s crucial election,” Politico reports.

“The ad — which will begin running Friday in Houston, Dallas, Austin and San Antonio before expanding statewide — is one of the largest-ever single media investments in a Texas Senate race.”

Crowley Leads Tiffany in Wisconsin Governor’s Race

September 30, 2026 at 2:55 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Marquette Law School Poll poll in Wisconsin finds David Crowley (D) leading Tom Tiffany (R) in the governor’s race, 49% to 46%.

Wisconsin Governor’s Race
David Crowley (D) 49%
 
Tom Tiffany (R) 46%
 
Marquette Law School Poll poll · likely voters · ±4.8%

Republicans Fall Short On Last-Ditch Affordability Push

September 30, 2026 at 2:16 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Senate Republicans made a late push to show voters they were trying to rein in the high costs of living but the legislation failed to advance, as polls signal their control of the chamber could be in jeopardy in November’s midterm elections,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The Republican bill related to artificial-intelligence data centers was blocked Wednesday by Democrats, who dismissed it as the product of a desperate political exercise, and no votes are planned on issues such as suspending the gas tax. The AI measure’s failure allows Republicans to paint Democrats as obstructionists but deprives them of a legislative win to run on as they head home to campaign.”

CNN: Democrats block data centers bill, derailing Senate GOP bid to act on affordability ahead of midterms.

Republicans Prepare to Extend the Debt Ceiling Thru 2029

September 30, 2026 at 2:04 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Sun: “Senate Republicans are laying the groundwork to quickly extend the federal debt ceiling through the end of President Donald Trump’s term should they lose control of Congress this November, aiming to prevent Democrats from weaponizing the issue to extract concessions in divided government.”

“The debt ceiling, which is set to be reached sometime around spring of 2027, has mostly been raised on a bipartisan basis, creating the opportunity for the minority party to extract concessions from the White House desperate to avoid an economic shock. But congressional Republicans raised the debt limit last year on a party-line vote, and are hoping to move to deprive Democrats of a potentially powerful bargaining chip next year.”

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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