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What Hakeem Jeffries Is Watching Tonight

November 3, 2026 · 5:25 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Rep. Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY) said he would be watching the early returns from Kentucky’s 6th District and Indiana’s 5th District to gauge how well the Democratic party performs, Punchbowl News reports.

Many Voters See Midterms as a Rebuke of Trump

November 3, 2026 · 5:20 pm ET · Leave a Comment

NBC News: “Nearly half of voters say they view the midterm election as an opportunity for a major rebuke of President Donald Trump’s performance, according to early results from the NBC News Exit Poll.”

“Forty-three percent said one reason for their vote was to express opposition to the president — far higher than the share who said the same in the 2018 midterm election during Trump’s first term.”

“The early results show that Trump’s midterm campaign blitz in support of Republican candidates in recent weeks has done little to lift his job approval rating.”

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November 3, 2026 · 5:01 pm ET · Leave a Comment

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Pardoned Capitol Rioter Threatened Judges

November 3, 2026 · 4:57 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“A Georgia man who brought firearms to Washington and threatened former House speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) the day after the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol was arrested again in recent days and accused of threatening federal judges,” the Washington Post reports.

AOC Quietly Lays the Groundwork

November 3, 2026 · 4:56 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) has been campaigning furiously in the final stretch of this midterm election cycle, visiting states across the union to boost a range of candidates who hope that the charismatic congresswoman’s considerable name I.D. will help them run up the numbers against their Republican opponents,” The Bulwark reports.

“It’s usually helpful for a party star to campaign with others, especially in this attention economy, and Ocasio-Cortez is being a good team player here. But campaigning hard now also positions her well for a potential presidential bid in 2028.”

Trump Pushes Venezuela to Allow U.S. Troops to Stay

November 3, 2026 · 4:54 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The Trump administration is negotiating an agreement with Venezuela that would lay the foundation for a potential long-term U.S. military presence in the country,” the New York Times reports.

“The talks could open the door to a remarkable and perhaps risky new stage in the U.S. relationship with Venezuela, as the two former adversaries attempt to move toward military cooperation.”

Texas Races Could Hinge On Ticket-Splitting

November 3, 2026 · 4:39 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “In the most competitive election cycle Texas has seen in a generation, the results could hinge on how many of the state’s loyal GOP voters remain consistent down the ballot—or split their tickets.”

“Some old-guard Texas Republicans have publicly defected from Paxton, the scandal-plagued attorney general who defeated longtime Sen. John Cornyn in an ugly primary, to support his Democratic opponent James Talarico. Polls have shown Democrats more united behind Talarico than Republicans are behind Paxton.”

Technical Issues to Delay Some Results

November 3, 2026 · 4:35 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Some counties in North Carolina and Pennsylvania extended voting hours and delayed ballot counting, after reports of a small number of technical problems at polling places Tuesday,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

Mark Halperin Claims Private Polls Look Great for GOP

November 3, 2026 · 4:28 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Mark Halperin said the polls are looking good for Republicans — just not the ones you’ve probably seen,” Mediaite reports.

Said Halperin: “I’m going to start with what’s great for Republicans: the private polling that I cite all the time is within the margin of error in almost every one of these races. So if you think a single Senate race that’s currently Red is going to flip to Blue is a sure thing, besides North Carolina, I would tell you you are wrong.”

New York Times Mocked Over Story

November 3, 2026 · 4:26 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The New York Times came in for online mockery Tuesday after a list it published of Jewish voters saying they would back Michigan Democrat Abdul El-Sayed for Senate included the unfortunate moniker ‘Jack Mehoff,'” the New York Post reports.

Israel Claims Iran Will Use Chemical Weapons

November 3, 2026 · 4:24 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Israel has shared intelligence with the United States asserting that Iran is considering the use of chemical weapons against its adversaries, information met with alarm by some American officials and deep skepticism by others,” the New York Times reports.

“Some American officials see the Israeli intelligence as part of a pressure campaign by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government to persuade the Trump administration to return to major combat operations against Iran.”

“Other officials believe the threats should be taken seriously, given the recent array of warnings about Iran’s preparations to attack American interests.”

Haley Stevens Requests U.S. Marshals’ Protection

November 3, 2026 · 4:20 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Rep. Haley Stevens has requested U.S. marshals’ protection after the Democrat told authorities she had received death threats for endorsing Republican Mike Rogers in the swing state’s hotly contested Senate race,” Axios reports.

El-Sayed Offers Barbed Support for Trump’s Israel Move

November 3, 2026 · 3:37 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Abdul El-Sayed offered barbed support for President Trump’s Election Day announcement that the U.S. would phase out billions of dollars in aid to Israel,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

Said El-Sayed: “Even a broken clock can be right twice a day.”

Another Bonus Quote of the Day

November 3, 2026 · 3:36 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“People’s standard of living is always dominant and always has been, and it’s never not going to be. But that doesn’t mean that people don’t care about somebody stealing.”

— Democratic strategist James Carville, quoted by the Wall Street Journal.

Things Are Going to Get Ugly

November 3, 2026 · 3:02 pm ET · Leave a Comment

David Frum: “If the Democrats take the House and subpoenas start arriving, Trump will still retain control of the U.S. military and U.S. security services. He can indict people, he can invade nations, he can invoke emergency powers. He will get angrier, noisier, and crazier.”

“He doesn’t care about the future of his party. He doesn’t care about the future of the country. He will want to punish a nation that, in his view, has ungratefully rejected him. Corruptly obtained money never feels secure. Trump, his children, and his inner group of close friends and sycophants most enriched in the past two years have a lot to worry about as the minutes of Trump’s presidency tick down.”

“The worst is yet to come.”

Make Your Predictions!

November 3, 2026 · 3:00 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Last call to submit your midterm election predictions!

Entries close at 5 p.m. ET today, when the results will be published immediately so you can see how your predictions stack up against other readers. The consensus prediction is already looking pretty interesting. 

Another Bonus Quote of the Day

November 3, 2026 · 2:47 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Trump has an unhealthy and creepy obsession with me. I represent everything Trump and today’s Republican Party seem to despise. I’m a woman, an immigrant, a refugee, a Muslim woman who wears a hijab, and someone who refuses to be intimidated into silence.”

— Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-MN), quoted by The Nation.

Chris Murphy Still Hospitalized After Stroke

November 3, 2026 · 2:46 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Sen. Chris Murphy remained hospitalized Tuesday after suffering a stroke over the weekend, his office confirmed,” CNBC reports.

“His office did not offer additional details when asked about his status or his expected recovery.”

“The Senate is due back in session Monday following Tuesday’s midterm elections.”

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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