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Opposition Struggles to Unite Against Mamdani

August 25, 2025 at 10:54 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Zohran Mamdani (D) is the clear frontrunner in New York City’s mayoral race.

Recent polling shows Mamdani hovering just under 40% support — short of a majority, but well ahead of his rivals.

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Electoral College Could Tilt Further From Democrats

August 25, 2025 at 10:33 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “The year is 2032. Studying the Electoral College map, a Democratic presidential candidate can no longer plan to sweep New Hampshire, Minnesota and the ‘blue wall’ battlegrounds of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and win the White House. A victory in the swing state of Nevada would not help, either.”

“That is the nightmare scenario many Democratic Party insiders see playing out if current U.S. population projections hold.”

Trump May Ban Covid-19 Vaccine ‘Within Months’

August 25, 2025 at 10:27 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

One of Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s closest associates said the Trump administration will move to pull the Covid vaccine off the U.S. market “within months,” the Daily Beast reports.


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Trump In Denial About His Terrible Poll Numbers

August 25, 2025 at 10:19 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump appears to be in deep denial about his historically low approval ratings, the Daily Beast reports.

Said Trump, on Truth Social: “Except what is written and broadcast in the Fake News, I now have the highest poll numbers I’ve ever had, some in the 60’s and even 70’s. Thank you.”

Trump Wants ABC and NBC to Lose Broadcast Licenses

August 25, 2025 at 10:13 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump attacked ABC and NBC’s news coverage of his administration—claiming it was “97%” negative—and said he supports the idea of the two networks having their broadcast licenses revoked, Forbes reports.

In a follow-up post, the president reiterated the license revocation threat, before suggesting that “at a minimum,” they should be forced to “pay up BIG” for their licensed broadcast spectrum.

Government Will Take Stakes in More Companies

August 25, 2025 at 10:08 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The U.S. government is likely to take ownership stakes in more companies — just as it did with Intel — toward the goal of building a sovereign wealth fund, National Economic Council director Kevin Hassett said Monday,” Axios reports.

“It’s a new paradigm for the U.S. government’s relationship with the private sector, and raises fresh questions about how much authority the administration intends to exert over corporate America.”

CNBC: Trump says government will make deals like Intel stake “all day long.”

Pilot of Last Flight Out of Afghanistan Runs for Congress

August 25, 2025 at 9:26 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Alex Pelbath, the Air Force pilot who flew the last U.S. aircraft out of Kabul when America ended its 20-year war in Afghanistan, is now running for Congress in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, calling himself a ‘Trump conservative’ and pledging to be the political reinforcement the president needs,” the Charleston Post & Courier reports.

Said Pelbath: “Combat leaders understand that mission is everything. My mission is clear. Provide President Trump the reinforcements he needs, deliver common sense leadership that will make the Lowcountry proud and bring an outsider’s perspective to Washington. I was the last one out. But the mission’s not over.”

Barrasso PAC Launches New Ads in Ohio and Florida

August 25, 2025 at 9:24 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A PAC aligned with Senate Majority Whip John Barrasso (R-WY) is going up with new ads Monday bolstering GOP senators in Ohio and Florida,” Axios reports.

“The group will spend half a million dollars between the two states. It’s another sign of Republican leaders moving early to try to sway voters ahead of next year’s midterm elections.”

Making a Federal Case Out of Low-Level Arrests

August 25, 2025 at 9:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “The stream of defendants who shuffled through a federal courtroom on Thursday afternoon illustrated the new ways in which laws are being enforced in the nation’s capital after the president’s takeover of the city’s police. They were appearing before a magistrate judge on charges that would typically be handled at the local court level, if they were filed at all.”

“One man had been arrested over an open container of alcohol. Another had been charged with threatening the president after delivering a drunken outburst following his arrest on vandalism. And one defendant’s gun case so alarmed prosecutors that they intend to drop the case.”

Trump Plans to Order End of ‘Cashless Bail’

August 25, 2025 at 8:50 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump plans to sign an executive order that aims to eliminate “cashless bail” for arrested suspects in Washington, D.C., Axios reports.

Under cashless bail, a suspect doesn’t need to pay money to be released from custody before trial.

Freedom Caucus Exodus Could Reshape Congress 

August 25, 2025 at 8:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

NOTUS: “The House Freedom Caucus, as Washington knows it, will look fundamentally different next year. Some staffers — particularly delighted Democrats — are speculating that with so many ideological leaders of the caucus looking for the exits, the group might functionally cease to exist, or, at least, cease to be a serious thorn in leadership’s side.”

Trump May Not Have the Votes for the Nobel Peace Prize

August 25, 2025 at 8:15 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump has long quested after a Nobel Peace Prize, a distinction that would put him in a vaunted and exclusive club. But unlike a U.S. presidential campaign, winning a Nobel Peace Prize depends on an electorate of five — and Trump may not have a majority,” the Washington Post reports.

“Trump’s desire for a Nobel has been a through-current of both of his terms, but his effort has escalated in recent months. He has mused aloud that the peace deal in Ukraine that he worked on in recent weeks might be one key to the prize. But at least three of the five Norwegian deciders have criticized Trump publicly, making his path to winning their votes far from clear.”

Get Ready for an Independent Candidate Surge

August 25, 2025 at 8:03 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

NOTUS: “Inspired by Dan Osborn’s surprisingly strong showing in Nebraska, independents are jumping into races across the country.”

Economic Elite Find Themselves in the Wilderness

August 25, 2025 at 8:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Axios: “Bedrock concepts that economists hold dear — of central bank independence, reliable data collection, and technocratic decision-making — are under threat in ways that have left the global central banking community discombobulated.”

“In formal proceedings at the Kansas City Fed’s annual economic symposium this weekend, there were only the subtlest of references to the Trump administration’s actions that throw Federal Reserve independence and government economic data into doubt.”

“But in whispered private conversations against the stunning backdrop of the Grand Tetons, there was melancholy — a fear that the war for empiricism and independence may already be lost.”

Historic Immigration Drop Is Changing the Job Market

August 25, 2025 at 7:53 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “A virtual halt to unauthorized border crossings, plus stepped-up deportations and a souring climate for foreigners means net immigration this year could be negative for the first time in decades, some experts predict.”

“That has a short-run benefit, as Powell alluded to. It means slumping labor demand won’t necessarily push up the unemployment rate, which at 4.2% is historically low. But in the long run it could limit the economy’s potential growth and generate larger budget deficits.”

Inside Intel’s Tricky Dance With Trump

August 25, 2025 at 7:51 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “But the truce came with a cost: In return for Trump’s support, the administration proposed taking an equity stake in the company. It decided to convert nearly $9 billion in grants—promised to Intel as part of the 2022 Chips Act—into a 10% equity stake in the company, an unusual arrangement that makes the government Intel’s biggest shareholder.”

“The meeting was the pivot point in a frenzied period for Intel, once one of America’s most venerated technology companies, now stuck in a yearslong downward spiral. The company’s scramble to control the fallout from the president’s demand that Tan step down—triggered by a Fox Business Network segment—underscores the unpredictable environment major corporations face under Trump.”

CNBC: U.S. government takes 10% stake in Intel, as Trump expands control over private sector.

Trump’s D.C. Utopia

August 25, 2025 at 7:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump is molding D.C. into his own personal Epcot — a political theme park where troops keep the peace, the White House glitters like Mar-a-Lago and museums answer to MAGA,” Axios reports.

“No president has asserted such direct and sweeping control over the nation’s capital. With America’s 250th anniversary coming next year, Trump has claimed dominion over D.C.’s crime, culture, cleanliness — even its rats.”

Kilmar Abrego Garcia Surrenders to ICE

August 25, 2025 at 7:41 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Kilmar Abrego Garcia reported to U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement in Baltimore on Monday, just days after his release from jail. ICE alerted his attorneys on Friday that he could be deported to Uganda and was ordered to report to authorities,” Fox DC reports.

“Now, he faces the possibility of being sent to Uganda, a country where he has no known ties.”

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Floor Fight: A floor fight is an argument that threatens to derail either a convention or a congressional proceeding.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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