“The Supreme Court agreed on Monday to decide whether Catholic preschools in Colorado that decline to enroll 4-year-olds with gay or transgender parents can participate in a publicly funded state program,” the New York Times reports.
Kash Patel Sues The Atlantic for $250 Million
FBI Director Kash Patel filed a defamation lawsuit against The Atlantic magazine on Monday, saying a recent story about his alleged frequent drinking and absences included “false and obviously fabricated” claims, CBS News reports.
Exchange of the Day
President Trump was interviewed by PBS News:
PBS News: Secretary Chris Wright said on CNN gas may not be lower than $3 until later this year or next year. Is that a concern for the midterms?
TRUMP: I disagree with him totally. I think it’ll come roaring down if it ends. If we end it, if Iran does what they should do, it will come roaring down.
Trump Threatens More Bombing in Iran
President Donald Trump told PBS News on Monday morning that if the ceasefire with Iran expires Tuesday, “then lots of bombs start going off.”
MAGA Influencers Say Assassination Attempt Was Staged
More Republican influencers, including former Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-GA), are doubting or outright denying aspects of the assassination attempt against President Trump, Wired reports.
Hundreds of Fake Pro-Trump Influencers Emerge
New York Times: “In the months leading up to the midterm elections, hundreds of accounts have emerged on social media featuring A.I.-generated pro-Trump influencers posting at a rapid pace about the ‘radical left’ and ‘America First.’ They tend to appear as ordinary — if very good-looking — men and women, gazing flirtatiously at the camera while pontificating about the war in Iran, abortion or Bad Bunny.”
National Security Agency Is Using Mythos
The National Security Agency is using Anthropic’s most powerful model yet, Mythos Preview, despite top officials at the Department of Defense — which oversees the NSA — insisting the company is a “supply chain risk,” Axios reports.
Quote of the Day
“Many of our former strengths, based on our close ties to America, have become weaknesses.”
— Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, quoted by the Associated Press.
Pennsylvania Democrats Steer Clear of John Fetterman
Sen. John Fetterman (D-PA) faces a tenuous position with Democrats in his state, with not a single House Democrat in the Pennsylvania delegation willing to say Fetterman should run for reelection, Punchbowl News reports.
Shock Waves Through Asia Are Likely to Spread
New York Times: “Many countries across the Asia-Pacific are experiencing sudden jolts of disruption that they are struggling to manage, with some comparing the crisis’s breakdowns and scope to the Covid pandemic.”
“Even if there is a peace deal soon, the future of this industrious region that has driven global economic growth for decades will likely include months of canceled flights, surging food prices, factory pauses, delayed shipments and empty shelves for products long considered quick and easy to buy worldwide: plastic bags, instant noodles, vaccines, syringes, lipstick, microchips and sportswear.”
“Collectively, according to many officials and experts, if the war’s strangling of commercial traffic through the Middle East lasts for even a few more weeks, and uncertainty lingers, shortages could push several countries into convulsions of unrest, followed by recession.”
Right Back to Where We Started
Andrew Egger: “In one sense, we’re right back where we were last month—the strait closed, Iran intransigent, Donald Trump threatening. But that undersells the damage. A cancer patient who goes under the knife and wakes to discover they couldn’t remove the tumor isn’t likely to be comforted that at least the doctors stitched him up properly. The ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz is becoming a global economic catastrophe, and it’s clear Trump is running out of options to compel Iran to stop throttling it.”
“The White House has suggested two ways this all might end, and neither seems particularly close to materializing. Trump still seems to think he can bully the Iranians into submission, even though his strategy of making theatrical threats and then backing down at the last second has already failed to accomplish this four or five times…”
“But it isn’t just that Trump low on options: More and more, he barely seems to understand what’s going on in the conflict at even a basic layman’s level.”
GOP Senators Hope for an ‘October Surprise’
“Senate Republicans who fear their three-seat majority could be in danger in this year’s midterm election would welcome the retirement of conservative Justice Samuel Alito as an ‘October surprise‘ that could change their political fortunes by rallying GOP-leaning voters to the polls,” NewsNation reports.
Republicans Stare Down Growing Crisis Over Spy Law
“Hill Republican leaders are finding themselves in a never-ending crisis over the fate of a government spy law that has unleashed a bitter, intraparty battle within the House while also threatening to derail a host of other GOP priorities,” Politico reports.
“Republicans now have scant legislative days to build new plans to extend Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act, or FISA. But President Donald Trump, GOP leaders and White House officials have failed to come up with a workable framework for months — and there is no agreement yet on the path forward.”
Trump’s Fed Pick to Face Senate Grilling
“Kevin Warsh has for years accused the Federal Reserve of losing its way and said it’s in desperate need of ‘regime change,’” Bloomberg reports.
“Now, as President Donald Trump’s pick to be the next Fed leader, Warsh will have the opportunity to map out his plans to remold the world’s most important central bank when he testifies Tuesday before the Senate Banking Committee.”
Trump Begins Refunding Tariffs
New York Times: “The Trump administration on Monday is set to take its first steps toward returning more than $166 billion collected from tariffs that were struck down in February. Just over a year after imposing many of the duties, the government is expected to begin accepting requests for refunds, surrendering its prized source of revenue — plus interest.”
Axios: What to know about tariff refund site that launches Monday.
The Pope’s English Fuels a Trump Feud
“Escalating tensions between Pope Leo XIV and President Trump may hinge on something unusually simple: the pope doesn’t need a translator,” Axios reports.
“Leo’s native-level English removes a long-standing Vatican buffer — ambiguity in translation — that has historically softened or clarified papal critiques of U.S. leaders.”
“Without that layer, Leo’s comments land more directly in the American media ecosystem and to American Catholics, amplifying political impact and backlash.”
Day 52
Playbook: “We’re in week eight of Trump’s ‘little excursion’ in Iran. It now looks certain the fallout will dominate world politics for months — perhaps years — to come.”
“Across Europe, Asia and Africa, governments are preparing for a sustained energy shock, with related fallout likely to include jet fuel shortages, food scarcity and spiralling inflation. Any optimism of a swift resolution to the crisis has long since dissipated, and around the world authorities are starting to recommend short- and long-term shifts — fuel efficiencies, homeworking, cheaper public transport, investment in (Chinese-built) renewable energy sources.”
Iran Wavers on Peace Talks
“Iran wavered on whether to send diplomats to Pakistan for a second round of peace talks after the US maintained a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and seized an Iranian ship, dimming hopes of a breakthrough in efforts to end the war,” Bloomberg reports.
“Tehran has no plans to attend the potential negotiations though a final decision hasn’t been made, Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei told reporters on Monday.”
Playbook: “Once again, Tehran is flexing its muscles, just as it did over the weekend with the abrupt reclosure of the strait, only hours after Trump said it had reopened. This is a regime that clearly believes it is holding powerful cards. Trump, by contrast, continues to oscillate between threats of mass violence and claims of an imminent breakthrough.”
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