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The U.S. Should Take Iran’s Deal

April 28, 2026 at 10:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Richard Haass: “Iran has reportedly proposed to the United States that the two countries focus on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and postpone consideration of Iran’s nuclear program and other issues. The United States should accept this approach and suggest that these negotiations commence as quickly as possible.”

“Postponing discussion of the nuclear issue makes good sense. There are times when adding issues to a negotiation can create tradeoffs that make agreement less difficult. This is not one of those times. Previous negotiations over Iran’s nuclear program have taken years. They are both highly technical and deeply contentious. The gap between the United States and Iran on the basic elements of any accord – what should be done with the nearly one thousand pounds of enriched uranium in Iran; whether Iran should have a right to enrich uranium and, if so, how much and to what level; what, if any, moratorium there should be on future enrichment and how long it should last; and what should be done regarding inspections – precludes any rapid agreement.”

“The bottom line is clear: To link the opening of the Strait to reaching a mutually acceptable outcome on nuclear issues would risk plunging the world economy into depression.”

King Charles Will Meet Privately with Trump

April 28, 2026 at 9:32 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “On the second day of a state visit, the king will meet privately in the morning with President Trump in the Oval Office for what British officials hope will be a moment of unity. Later, the king will address a joint session of Congress, becoming only the second British monarch to do so, after his mother, Queen Elizabeth II, in 1991.”

Is Tucker Carlson Eyeing a Presidential Run?

April 28, 2026 at 8:58 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Arwa Mahdawi: “Here’s the thing about Carlson: he has lots of odious views, but, unfortunately, we don’t have the luxury of ignoring him. He’s not a fringe figure: he knows how to work the attention economy. He had the highest-rated show on Fox before his abrupt departure and his YouTube channel has more than 5 million followers. And now, it seems, he has broader ambitions. Prediction markets and numerous analysts, including the New Yorker writer Jason Zengerle, who has written a new biography of Carlson, think the former Fox host may be gearing up for a bigger political project.”

Said Zengerle: “I don’t really think of Carlson as a media figure any more. I think he’s doing something very different. He’s a movement leader.”

He added: “I think the Iran war sets up Tucker, especially if the war goes badly, really well to run for president in ’28. He can hang that war around JD Vance’s neck, around Marco Rubio’s neck … And he can say: ‘I was against this from the start. I’m the true heir for MAGA.'”

Campaigns Have No Idea What’s About to Hit Them

April 28, 2026 at 8:53 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Thomas Edsall: “For better or worse, artificial intelligence is driving a major upheaval in American politics that will alter the substance and the character of campaigns.”

Fed Chair Confronts His Final Big Decision

April 28, 2026 at 8:35 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “The Federal Reserve succession drama now comes down to a decision only Jerome Powell can make.”

“What’s left unresolved is whether Powell will give up his seat on the Fed’s board when his chairmanship ends or stay on as a governor, a position he can hold until January 2028. Fed chairs have almost always left the board when their chairmanship ends.”

Bonus Quote of the Day

April 28, 2026 at 8:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“They’re clearly not talking to their members. They have no clue on strategy or how to move anything across the finish line, and it’s just frustrating as hell.”

— Rep. Jim McGovern (D-MA), quoted by Punchbowl News, on the House Republican leadership.

Republicans Brace for Brutal Midterms

April 28, 2026 at 8:29 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “With a little more than six months until the midterm elections, anxious Republicans are confronting a foreboding political climate that party leaders fear could lead to a wipeout in the fall if it does not improve.”

“The House is now favored to fall into Democratic hands while control of the Senate — not so long ago seen as a G.O.P. bulwark — is increasingly up for grabs as Democratic candidates up and down the ballot build substantial war chests.”

“In private, Republican political strategists are grimly trading synonyms to describe the darkening environment: sour, ugly, bad, bleak. They note that much can change before November, holding out hope that the days of $4 gas and the war in Iran pass before the election.”

A New Florida Map Could Backfire on Republicans

April 28, 2026 at 8:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Florida’s much-anticipated special session on redistricting kicks off today, advancing the tit-for-tat push by both parties to net as many safe House seats as they can. The governor’s office will make its pitch in committee today, and the maps could hit the Florida House and Senate floor tomorrow,” Politico reports.

Dan Pfeiffer: “For DeSantis’s map to work, he is betting that Latinos will stick with the GOP at 2024 levels. There is not much evidence to support that bet.”

“The worst-case scenario for a gerrymandered map is that it produces a worse result than the old map. That’s called a dummymander.”

Expect Another Spike In Gas Prices

April 28, 2026 at 6:59 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Energy experts say another oil price spike is coming — and it may be made worse by the president’s social media posts,” Politico reports.

“President Donald Trump has repeatedly spurred temporary dips in oil prices by claiming on Truth Social that the Iran war is near an end and that U.S. oil production would ensure sky high gas prices would soon retreat.”

The Iran Conflict Is the New Cold War

April 28, 2026 at 6:49 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Iran stalemate risks drawing the United States into a Cold War-like conflict with no fighting and no deal, with one official saying this scenario would be “the worst thing for Trump politically and economically,” Axios reports.

The Oil Squeeze Tightens

April 28, 2026 at 6:42 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Paul Krugman: “So far, despite much higher oil prices, demand for oil has fallen by only a fraction of the loss of supply. Instead, the world economy is running by taking oil out of storage. Since there’s only so much oil in the tanks, this can’t go on. So if the Strait doesn’t reopen, prices will have to soar high enough — and inflict sufficient economic damage — to destroy another 11 or more million barrels a day of demand. That’s a lot.”

“But Trump is talking about his ballroom.”

“This may seem weird, but it makes sense if you view it psychologically. Trump is clearly dissociating. His fragile sense of self-worth depends on constantly believing that he’s a winner while others are losers. Now he’s faced with the reality that he, more or less single-handedly, led America to humiliating strategic defeat.”

Jeffries Defends ‘Maximum Warfare’ Remark

April 28, 2026 at 5:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) fiercely defended his use of the phrase “maximum warfare” to describe Democrats’ redistricting efforts, Axios reports.

Said Jeffries: “You can continue to criticize me for it. I don’t give a damn about the criticism … get lost.”

No Clear Path for Trump’s Ballroom

April 28, 2026 at 5:29 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump’s allies in Congress want to quickly authorize completion of the White House ballroom after the Saturday shooting at the White House Correspondents’ Dinner. But it’s not going to be simple,” Politico reports.

Trump’s Hypocritical Crusade on Violent Rhetoric

April 28, 2026 at 5:27 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

CNN: “The shooting at this weekend’s dinner has yet again led Trump and his White House to focus on Democrats’ rhetoric, despite Trump’s own demonstrated history of extremely ugly rhetoric. Republicans are largely repeating a blame game they waged after Charlie Kirk’s assassination last year.”

“Thus far, the strategy hasn’t appeared to work. Polls show Americans generally view the right’s rhetoric as more violent and dangerous.”

Trump Will Pay More Energy Firms to Cancel Wind Farms

April 28, 2026 at 5:25 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Trump administration will pay energy companies hundreds of millions of dollars to abandon their plans to build two wind farms off the U.S. coast, the Interior Department said Monday, in a repeat of a tactic the government used to cancel other offshore wind leases last month,” the New York Times reports.

American Feel Worse Off Than at Any Point in 25 Years

April 28, 2026 at 5:14 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The share of Americans who say their financial situation is getting worse is higher now than at any point in the past 25 years, per a new Gallup poll.

This is the fifth consecutive year that more Americans say their finances are worsening rather than improving.

Quote of the Day

April 28, 2026 at 5:06 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The incompetence is stunning. We’re in the same place as we were last week.”

— House Rules ranking member Jim McGovern (D-MA), quoted by Politico, on the GOP’s inability to move any legislation in the House.

Mike Johnson’s Week Unravels

April 28, 2026 at 5:03 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Speaker Mike Johnson’s week just started and it’s already falling apart,” Politico reports.

“Internal GOP strife forced Republican leaders late Monday to scrap a House Rules meeting that was supposed to set up critical floor votes on an extension of the Section 702 spy law, immigration enforcement funding and a farm bill. They’re now looking to reconvene some time after 7:30 a.m. if possible.”

“At least 10 Republicans are threatening to oppose the rule vote teeing up the legislation — currently scheduled for 4:30 p.m. — over problems with Johnson’s three-year Section 702 reauthorization. And there are other issues with Republicans’ budget reconciliation plan and the farm bill.”

Punchbowl News: “All together, this paints a multifront picture of chaos for Johnson and other top House Republicans. It puts new pressure on the Senate. And time is running short before next week’s recess.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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