“Alan Greenspan, the Federal Reserve chairman proclaimed a wizard for guiding a then-record US economic expansion, only to see his luster dimmed by the financial crisis that erupted less than two years after he stepped down, has died. He was 100,” Bloomberg reports.
Embarrassing Biden Tapes May Soon Be Released
“Former President Joe Biden is in an uphill battle to try to stop the Justice Department from sharing recordings it collected of him speaking to his ghostwriter in 2016 and 2017, during which his speech and memory faltered,” CNN reports.
“Court decisions on Friday and into next month are poised to revive questions over Biden’s mental acuity during his presidency — and even in the years before.”
Democrat Has the Edge in Iowa’s Senate Race
A new Global Strategy Group poll in Iowa finds Josh Turek (D) with a narrow lead over Ashley Hinson (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 47% to 45%.
Ballot Initiatives Could Upend GOP Strategy on Abortion
“Democrats are prioritizing other issues over abortion in the runup to the fall midterm elections, while Republicans are taking pains to avoid the topic altogether,” Politico reports.
“But another wave of state ballot initiatives to protect a right to abortion could force candidates on both sides to articulate their positions.”
The Next Geopolitical Crisis
“NATO chief Mark Rutte flies into D.C. tomorrow ahead of crunch talks with Donald Trump on Wednesday, two weeks out from a make-or-break NATO summit in Turkey,” Politico reports.
“It’s safe to say Rutte has his work cut out. Never has the build-up to a NATO summit been so chaotic, with the president repeatedly threatening to pull out of the alliance following the Iran war. The Truth Social posts have been brutal, with the leaders of Britain, France, Germany, Italy and Spain all individually targeted. U.S. troop deployments to Germany and Poland were canceled without warning. Trump uses the phrase ‘paper tiger’ whenever NATO is mentioned.”
Data Centers Become the Face of AI Backlash
“Only a small fraction of data center opponents actually live near one, according to new polling by a consulting firm that counsels leading AI labs and tech startups,” Axios reports.
“The findings by Milltown Partners highlight how data centers have become a stand-in for broader anger at an AI future many Americans don’t want but fear they’ll have to pay for.”
GOP Leaders Worry Trump Could Cost Them Senate
Punchbowl News: “For several weeks, Trump has been warring with Senate Republicans from the confines of the White House, using his Truth Social account to berate them over the filibuster, the SAVE America Act and much more.”
“On Wednesday, Trump will come face-to-face with these Republican senators at his weakest point yet. They’re openly dismissing Trump’s legislative demands, expressing rare public anger over the Iran MOU, bucking his repeated calls to get rid of the filibuster and furious about his abrupt halting of the confirmation process for Jay Clayton, the nominee to be director of national intelligence.”
“But this session has the potential to become a disaster for Senate Republican leaders. They see Trump’s fixation on the SAVE America Act as a strategic misstep that could cost them their majority by turning the MAGA base against GOP candidates and incumbents.”
Trump Keeps Bringing up the Number 22
NBC News: “The president’s penchant for the palindromic number stretches back months. Complaining about a theoretical trip to Asia, he’s bemoaned that the flight alone would take 22 hours. A story on prescription drug costs that he thought deserved more attention appeared, in his telling, on Page 22 of The New York Times. He met with 22 medical specialists during a recent checkup at Walter Reed Medical Center. And ’22 Nobel Prize winners in economics said we would, right now, be in a recession,’ he said in February. ‘All 22 were wrong.'”
Democratic Turnout Is Up, Even in Republican Districts
“Americans are voting this year for Democrats at far higher numbers in primaries and special elections compared with previous contests, evidence that voters are unusually motivated heading into November,” the Washington Post reports.
“Turnout is rising in Democratic primaries even when they aren’t hotly contested and the nominee has little chance of winning in the general election, according to the Post review of 990 races, over three cycles, in 25 states.”
“In over 90 percent of Democratic House primaries held this year, voters cast more ballots than during 2022, when Republicans flipped the House.”
Trump Faces Likely Supreme Court Defeats
Washington Post: “That turbulence makes for a tense backdrop in the waning days of the Supreme Court’s 2025-26 term, as the justices prepare to rule on three signature Trump initiatives: limiting birthright citizenship, firing the heads of independent agencies and reshaping the Federal Reserve.”
“Many legal experts believe that the justices have signaled they will rule against Trump on two out of the three, blocking his bid to deny citizenship to those who were born to parents here illegally or lacking permanent residency, as well as his effort to remove a governor of the Fed board.”
Iran Claims Major Gains in Overnight Discussions with U.S.
“Iran said there had been ‘major progress’ in all-night discussions with the U.S., as the warring sides try to reach a peace deal within two months,” Bloomberg reports.
“Plenty of obstacles remain, however, including Israel’s war in Lebanon against Hezbollah, an Iran-backed militant group. At one stage on Sunday, Iran said it would suspend talks — but never actually did — after President Donald Trump threatened military action against the Islamic Republic over its funding of proxy groups in the Middle East.”
The Guardian: Iran hails ‘progress’ as first day of talks with U.S. conclude after shaky start.
GOP Unlikely to ‘Defund’ Planned Parenthood Again
“Planned Parenthood will likely be able to regain access to federal funds as of July 5, one year after Republicans were finally able to ban money from going to the organization,” NOTUS reports.
“Last year’s partisan budget bill marked the first time lawmakers succeeded in their longtime policy goal of barring Planned Parenthood from receiving federal funds. The Senate parliamentarian allowed the ban to last one year, instead a proposed 10, meaning the provision will expire soon. Now, Republicans say they lack the votes to extend that ban further, a result of close margins in both chambers and election-year politics.”
Quote of the Day
“I don’t know how Paxton raises the money he’s going to need to run against Talarico — who’s got unlimited resources — in the next four and a half months. And while Talarico is definitely a weirdo, you know, take your pick.”
— Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX), quoted by Semafor.
New Book Depicts How Trump Hobbled His Presidency
“The summer nonfiction blockbuster Regime Change, which is already rattling the White House ahead of its release Tuesday, offers a flood of new detail under a classical theme: hubris,” Semafor reports.
“Journalists Maggie Haberman and Jonathan Swan tell the story of a president who fought his way back from 2021 political exile to the White House — and then allowed overconfidence, improvisation, and impulse to hobble his second presidency.”
A Rising Populist Tide Threatens New York Incumbents
Politico: “As voters across the country express frustration with the political establishment, congressional hopefuls are seeing a prime opportunity to tap into a movement with the potential to manifest a handful of upsets in New York’s primary elections.”
“The dynamic is playing out in intraparty electoral brawls across the state, where the outcomes will shape the political future for Democrats and Republicans alike.”
$30M Democratic Effort Aims to Define Vance and Rubio
“One of the leading Democratic super PACs is pledging to spend $30 million defining potential Republican presidential candidates during the 2028 primary season,” NOTUS reports.
“The Priorities USA effort, described first to NOTUS, is aimed at younger, disengaged voters living in seven battleground states. Priorities USA is training its attacks on Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio.”
Colombia Swings Right in Tightest Presidential Race Ever
“In Colombia’s tightest-ever presidential contest, half of voters registered a desire for change after four years of the country’s ambitious leftist experiment under President Gustavo Petro,” Bloomberg reports.
“Yesterday’s preliminary count showing victory for Abelardo de la Espriella, a MAGA-supporting lawyer with dual US citizenship who has never held elected office, is another leap into the unknown for Colombia.”
“More clearly, the result represents a win for President Donald Trump and his efforts to impose US control over the Western hemisphere.”
Trump Is Sill Haunted by Hoover’s Failures
“President Trump said twice in two days last week that he doesn’t want to be associated with Herbert Hoover, who served during the early years of the Great Depression,” Axios reports.
Said Trump: “I have one primary wish as president, in terms of people: I never want to be the late, great Herbert Hoover.”
And another time: “I’ve studied presidents — some good, some bad, some great… And the one president I did not want to be was the late, great Herbert Hoover.”
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