G. Elliot Morris: “This poll question has predicted all but one election since 1948. It suggests Democrats could win by 8-12 points in November.”
Trump Wants Nothing to Do with Ukraine
New York Times: “Trump acknowledged what has become abundantly clear in the last year: that the war in Ukraine — which he repeatedly claimed he would resolve within 24 hours of taking office — is not his priority. Asked whether he would focus on Ukraine in his upcoming meetings, Trump said, ‘we were focused on Iran.'”
“He reiterated his position that the war in Ukraine is not America’s fight.”
Said Trump: “We have nothing to do with it, we sell weapons to them. It has no impact on us, other than we sell weapons. We’re thousands of miles away.”
Graham Platner Has the Edge in Maine
A new 2WAY and Wick poll in Maine finds Graham Platner (D) in a tight contest for Sen. Susan Collins’ (R-ME) seat, 48% to 45%.
Playbook: “Digging deeper, the poll finds female voters favoring Platner, while men favor Collins. But it also shows a majority of voters with at least some concern on Platner’s multiple scandals — the biggest being 47.6 percent who are “very concerned” about the allegations from his former girlfriends.”
Fewer Americans See Country as Exceptional
Associated Press/NORC Poll: “Only about one-quarter of Americans say the U.S. stands above all other countries in the world, the new poll found, while 44% say it’s one of the greatest countries in the world, along with some others. About 3 in 10 say there are better countries than the U.S.”
Tankers Not Ready to Move Through Strait of Hormuz
“Shipowners will not resume transit through the Strait of Hormuz for weeks until they are confident that the US-Iran deal is ‘material,’ the head of the world’s biggest tanker operator has warned,” the Financial Times reports.
Israelis Denounce Trump’s Deal with Iran
Washington Post: “Among Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s supporters and critics alike, in the media and on social media, the mood was clear as Israelis woke up Monday to news of a peace agreement between the United States and Iran: President Donald Trump’s deal is not one that many in Israel like. Iran, they say, will remain a threat.”
“The question now is whether Trump’s deal is one that Netanyahu will stomach — or one he will seek to derail.”
Iran Emerges from War with Its Economy in Free Fall
“The regime in Tehran is still standing after the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, but its economy is collapsing and could spark more unrest among the population,” Fortune reports.
Trump’s Family Crypto Firm Wants to Be a Bank
“President Donald Trump’s family crypto business is expected to soon be allowed to operate like a bank — a decision that would give U.S. companies a new route to steer money to the president,” NOTUS reports.
“World Liberty Financial, the stablecoin and trading platform co-founded by Trump and his three sons, applied for a national trust bank charter with the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, or OCC, on Jan. 5.”
Even Lindsey Graham Isn’t Sold on Trump’s ‘Iran Deal’
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A New Fed Chair Takes Charge
Politico: “It’s a milestone day at the Fed with Kevin Warsh set to host his first committee meeting as the central bank’s chair. He’ll step firmly into the spotlight tomorrow to deliver the Fed’s latest decision on monetary policy — when they’re widely expected to hold interest rates steady.”
“But as inflation numbers raise the possibility of the Fed raising rates down the line, Warsh’s words will be closely watched by many — Trump most of all.”
A Big Week in the 2028 Race
“It’s turning into a very big week for two of the buzziest candidates in the Dems’ nascent 2028 presidential field,” Politico reports.
“Tonight, Sen. Jon Ossoff (D-GA) will learn the identity of his Republican opponent in this November’s Senate race — a vital stepping stone on what looks like an increasingly plausible path to the presidential nomination.”
“It comes 24 hours after California Gov. Gavin Newsom received what might just be the ultimate boost for any 2028 wannabe — the coveted Trump DOJ investigation. Now watch both men spend the week seeking to capitalize.”
RFK Jr. Orders American to Stay Quarantined
“Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. ordered an American passenger exposed to hantavirus on a cruise ship to remain in quarantine Monday against her will and despite expert advice,” the Wall Street Journal reports.
“Kennedy said the passenger, Angela Perryman, needed to remain isolated even though a review from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said she should be allowed to quarantine at home in Florida.”
US and Iran Both Claim Victory
“The US and Iran are preparing to formally sign their interim peace deal in Switzerland on Friday, with both sides claiming victory and oil traders and shippers unsure over how quickly the Strait of Hormuz will be reopened,” Bloomberg reports.
“The text of the so-called memorandum of understanding — a 14-point document that should lead to a two-month ceasefire extension and the start of complicated negotiations over Iran’s nuclear program — has yet to be published.”
London Mayor Declines to Back Keir Starmer
“London Mayor Sadiq Khan declined to back Keir Starmer to stay as UK prime minister until the next general election, tempering his support for the premier after previously criticizing moves to oust him,” Bloomberg reports.
JD Vance’s Wife Was Key to His Conversion to Catholicism
Gas Prices May Remain High Despite US-Iran Deal
“Drivers hopeful that the U.S.-Iran framework deal will translate to lower gasoline prices will probably have to wait weeks, or longer, to see meaningful improvement,” the New York Times reports.
“Energy analysts refer to the swing of prices as ‘up like a rocket, down like a feather’ — a phenomenon that means gasoline costs quickly rise alongside the price of crude oil but are slow to follow its descent.”
Pete Hegseth’s War on Mark Kelly Was a Political Gift
“Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth tried to brand Sen. Mark Kelly as ‘seditious’ and moved to strip him of his military rank. It hasn’t worked out that way,” NOTUS reports.
“Instead, Democratic strategists say the feud has driven attention and millions in campaign cash toward the Arizona Democrat as he ‘seriously’ considers a 2028 presidential run in what will likely be a crowded field.”
“More importantly, it blessed one of the Senate’s most centrist members with an identity as a fighter in a party hungry for confrontation with President Donald Trump.”
Politico: Mark Kelly keeps cashing in on Trump’s ‘Seditious Six’ attacks.
Iran Will Enter Nuclear Talks Feeling Emboldened
“In the days after Iran and the United States reached a preliminary agreement to pause their war, Iranian politicians, generals, and clerics from a range of political factions described the deal as a victory that showed Tehran’s resilience against a far more powerful enemy,” the New York Times reports.
“That is the position Iran’s leaders are pushing even though the country lost a slew of its top political and military figures, suffered a battering to its stock of ballistic missiles and was left with an economy — which was already struggling — strained even further by a naval blockade.”
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