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What if Both Parties Redistricted to the Max?

June 20, 2026 at 1:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Nathaniel Rakich: “It’s possible to imagine nearly three dozen states redrawing their congressional lines by 2030. That would reshape the battleground for House control, though not in the way some Democrats fear. It’s unlikely that Republicans would be able to construct for themselves a large, permanent structural advantage in House elections.”

“If both parties maxed out all the gerrymandering opportunities before them, the number of Democrats and Republicans sent to Congress might not change much. The number of competitive districts, however, would shrink to a mere handful. That would change American politics radically — and for the worse.”

Tom Cotton in Bind over Trump Deal

June 20, 2026 at 12:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “Cotton, the No. 3 Senate Republican and Intelligence Committee chair, is not alone among GOP defense hawks in finding himself in an awkward position more than a decade after lambasting President Barack Obama’s Iran deal.”

“But the combination of his prior ferocity toward the Iranian regime and his current leadership responsibilities have put him into an especially tight spot as President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance sell their 14-point “memorandum of understanding” to skeptical Republicans.”

Britain’s Keir Starmer Mulls a Bleak Future

June 20, 2026 at 11:55 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Britain’s Prime Minister Keir Starmer is sounding out his future with his Cabinet after Andy Burnham’s win in the Makerfield by-election put the two Labour politicians on a collision course,” Politico reports.

“The assessments he’s received back have been grim.”

Bloomberg: Starmer tests his cabinet’s loyalty after Burnham victory.

Iran-US Talks to Take Place Sunday in Switzerland

June 20, 2026 at 11:50 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Iran and the US will hold technical-level talks on Sunday in Switzerland, Pakistan’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs said,” Bloomberg reports.

“Mediators from Pakistan and Qatar will also participate in the discussions.”

Trump Repeats Claim That Meloni ‘Begged’ for Photo

June 20, 2026 at 10:53 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Donald Trump stuck hard to his claim that Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni “begged” for a photo with him at the G7 summit earlier this week, Politico reports.

Said Trump: “Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni asked, over and over, for a picture with me during the G-7 meeting in France… She is doing poorly in Italy with her level of popularity… Now, after the United States defeated Iran militarily, she wants to be friends again in order to get her ‘numbers up.’ No thanks!!!”

New York Times: Italy doesn’t beg, Giorgia Meloni tells Trump.

Iran Closes the Strait of Hormuz Again

June 20, 2026 at 10:40 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Iranian security officials said they had closed the Strait of Hormuz, citing what they said was the U.S. failure to stop the fighting in Lebanon as required under the agreement signed earlier this week by President Trump,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The announcement by Iran’s joint military command came as clashes between Israel and Hezbollah flared again in Lebanon on Saturday, just hours after the two sides agreed to a renewed ceasefire. It undid for now the main achievement of the deal, which was to set the stage for reopening a waterway vital to world energy markets.”

“Even before Iran’s announcement, however, the recovery of traffic through the strait had been halting. Iran had imposed new procedures, including a demand that ships register to cross two days in advance, and wary shipowners were monitoring the still uncertain environment in the waterway.”

Bloomberg: Iran says Strait of Hormuz has been closed.

9,000 Troops Stay at Border Despite Achieving Targets

June 20, 2026 at 10:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“For more than a year, the Pentagon has deployed about 9,000 active-duty troops along nearly 2,000 miles of the southwest border to confront illegal migrants, smugglers and drug cartels,” the New York Times reports.

“The troops are still there — at a cost of tens of millions of dollars each week — even though the Trump administration months ago largely achieved its goal of slashing illegal crossings.”

Ukraine Targets Oil Refinery 2,000 Kilometers Inside Russia

June 20, 2026 at 10:28 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Ukraine targeted the Tyumen oil refinery in Russia’s Ural region, about 2,000 kilometers (1,240 miles) from the Ukrainian border, extending Kyiv’s campaign against Russia’s energy infrastructure,” Bloomberg reports.

For Your Weekend Listening

June 20, 2026 at 8:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

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How Bad Will It Get for Republicans This Fall?

June 20, 2026 at 7:31 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Charlie Cook: “With the midterm elections now 20 weeks away, the question isn’t whether Republicans are going to have a bad night on Nov. 3. The question now is just how bad it will be.”

Quote of the Day

June 20, 2026 at 6:49 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“It flies further and faster than any Air Force One. You don’t have to stop for fuel every few hours. You maybe will never have to stop a fuel. It’s got, they call it unlimited, well it’s pretty close to unlimited.”

— President Trump, unveiling the new Air Force One.

Trump Endorses Both Candidates in South Carolina Runoff

June 20, 2026 at 6:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump is now throwing his support behind both of the remaining Republicans in the South Carolina governor’s race as he seeks to avoid the possibility of another primary setback this month,” NBC News reports.

“Trump had endorsed Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette in late May, less than two weeks before the initial South Carolina primary. But in a Truth Social post Friday, Trump said he is also backing Attorney General Alan Wilson in Tuesday’s GOP runoff, saying the two rivals are ‘MAGA and America First all the way!'”

Mediaite: Trump pulls the rug from candidate he previously endorsed, now says he’s endorsing her opponent also.

Trump’s New GOP Midterm Strategy Is Pure Chaos

June 20, 2026 at 6:38 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Ed Kilgore: “As the clock ticks down toward the midterm elections, Republicans are desperate for the Trump administration to focus on advancing an affordability agenda that might bring back some of the voters they’ve lost since the 2024 election.”

“Sure, there’s the possibility of a housing bill finally being enacted, not that anyone believes it will have an immediate impact on the cost of shelter. And yes, the president’s Iran peace deal, if it sticks, will relieve upward pressure on energy prices, especially the gasoline prices politicians follow obsessively.”

“But with all the chaos currently afflicting the GOP legislative and messaging machine, it’s likely too late for the party to put together a compelling argument that Trump is keeping the promises he made to bring back pre-pandemic prices and place a steady hand on the national tiller.”

Democratic Socialists Surge in Mayoral Races

June 20, 2026 at 6:33 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Los Angeles Times: “There’s little sign of national coordination among the candidates, and it’s unclear whether voters are gravitating toward their promises of improved government services, their vows to fight the Trump administration or their critiques of capitalism.”

“But from coast to coast, confrontational progressives are advancing in mayoral races. City leaders can draw outsized attention for their successes and failures, and democratic socialists will be under pressure from residents to deliver on their vows for a new kind of governance. Whether that translates to national politics is a next test for their movement.”

Judge Denies Biden’s Effort to Block Transcript Release

June 20, 2026 at 6:31 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A federal judge on Friday rejected former President Biden’s attempt to block the Trump administration from releasing to a conservative group the recordings that Biden made with a ghostwriter,” the Los Angeles Times reports.

ABC News: Judge says DOJ can provide Biden conversations with ghostwriter to Heritage Foundation.

Five States Pass Laws to Block Trump Election Interference

June 20, 2026 at 6:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Democratic-led states are racing to safeguard November’s midterm elections against potential interference from the Trump administration and its allies, passing new laws that restrict the presence of law enforcement at polling places or seek to thwart the federal government’s efforts to obtain sensitive election material,” CNN reports.

“Five states – California, Colorado, Connecticut, Maryland and Washington state — have recently enacted legislation to shield their elections from federal actions.”

The Most Surprising Miscalculation of Trump’s Second Term

June 20, 2026 at 6:29 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Alexander Burns: “A decade ago, Trump waged his first-ever political campaign as a nationalist crusader, demanding harder borders and more muscular American sovereignty. When the United Kingdom held its 2016 referendum on leaving the European Union — the 10-year anniversary is in a few days — Trump cheered it on and crowned himself ‘Mr. Brexit.'”

“In his second term, Trump’s grasp of nationalist politics has slipped. He has underestimated the power of patriotism and national pride in countries other than his own.”

“This serial miscalculation has undermined Trump’s trade wars and military adventures, aggravated the cost-of-living crisis, weakened the Republican Party and battered Trump’s bonds with the global right.”

Farm Belt Frustration Grows with GOP Policies

June 20, 2026 at 6:26 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “Farmers, one of Republicans’ most loyal voting blocs, are increasingly voicing discontent with the party’s policies, which they say are making an already precarious business even harder.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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