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Bill Cassidy Blew It

June 16, 2025 at 10:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Nicholas Florko: “It’s easy to forget that Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s assault on vaccines—including, most recently, his gutting of the expert committee that guides American vaccine policy—might have been avoided. Four months ago, his nomination for health secretary was in serious jeopardy. The deciding vote seemed to be in the hands of one Republican senator: Bill Cassidy of Louisiana. A physician who gained prominence by vaccinating low-income kids in his home state, Cassidy was wary of the longtime vaccine conspiracist.”

“Then Cassidy caved.”

“In the speech he gave on the Senate floor explaining his decision, Cassidy said that he’d vote to confirm Kennedy only because he had extracted a number of concessions from the nominee—chief among them that he would preserve, ‘without changes,’ the very CDC committee Kennedy overhauled this week. Since then, Cassidy has continued to give Kennedy the benefit of the doubt.”

Joni Ernst’s Gaffe Becomes Rallying Cry for Democrats

June 16, 2025 at 9:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A one-sentence gaffe from Iowa’s junior senator has become a line of attack against Republicans nationally, with Democratic fundraising solicitations, political ads, social media and T-shirts now highlighting her words heading into the midterm elections,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Sen. Joni Ernst’s response of ‘we all are going to die’ to a constituent who was complaining about proposed Medicaid cuts in President Trump’s ‘one big, beautiful bill’ has also helped produce a 2026 GOP primary challenger for her and prompted several Iowa Democrats to announce bids for her seat.”

“The incident has shone a fresh spotlight on the Republican Party’s political vulnerabilities as well as Ernst’s uncertain political future, with some Iowa watchers wondering whether she will stand for re-election. She angered Trump’s MAGA allies last year, delayed her trademark summer motorcycle ride until the fall, and now has become the face of what Democrats paint as Republican cruelty toward poor people.”

Trump and Deportations Unpopular with Voters

June 16, 2025 at 8:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Americans broadly disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president and favor Democratic U.S. House candidates for the 2026 midterms by 8 points, 45% to 37%, a new Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll finds.

The president is underwater on 10 out of 11 issues.


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Trump’s Parade Flopped, ‘No Kings’ Day Was a Hit

June 16, 2025 at 8:37 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Paul Krugman: “America is no longer a full-fledged democracy. We are currently living under a version of competitive authoritarianism — a system that (like Orban’s Hungary or Erdogan’s Turkey) is still democratic on paper but in which a ruling party no longer takes democracy’s rules seriously…”

“Trumpists, however, haven’t yet fully consolidated their hold. America still has a chance of reclaiming itself from the grip of brazen corruption, mindless destruction, and contempt both for the rule of law and for our erstwhile allies. We don’t have to become a country bullied into submission.”

“But we’re teetering on the edge, and one of the most important ways we can step back from that edge is for ordinary Americans to engage in mass protests.”

Democrat May Force Rare ‘Secret Session’

June 16, 2025 at 8:31 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Jared Moskowitz (D-FL) said he may force a vote to have the House hold a rare “secret session” on security following the Minnesota shootings, Politico reports.

Red vs. Blue Is Dividing Stock Portfolios 

June 16, 2025 at 8:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“An adage on Wall Street holds that it is unwise to play politics with your portfolio. Americans are increasingly doing just that,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“A Gallup poll this spring showed that Democrats who expected stocks to tumble over the next six months exceeded Republicans by 59 percentage points. Republicans expecting stocks to climb over that period topped Democrats by 47 percentage points.”

Bonus Quote of the Day

June 16, 2025 at 7:15 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“It’s possible we could get involved. But we are not at this moment involved.”

— President Trump, quoted by ABC News, on the war between Israel and Iran.

Israel Races to Reshape the Middle East

June 16, 2025 at 7:06 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A year ago, Israel was struggling—bogged down in Gaza, surrounded by Iranian-backed enemies and under pressure from Washington to stop the fighting,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Now, it is reshaping the Middle East on its own terms and forcing the Trump administration to play catch-up as Israeli leaders ramp up attacks against Iran. The moves could upend global markets and remake geopolitics—and potentially draw the U.S. into a regional conflagration.”

ICE Ordered to Expand Deportations in Largest Cities

June 16, 2025 at 7:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump directed federal officials to expand efforts to deport migrants in the largest US cities in the face of protests and court challenges, even as his administration is looking to ease the impact of the crackdown on key sectors of the US workforce,” Bloomberg reports.

Financial Times: Trump says immigration crackdown to focus on US cities after backlash.

The Atlantic: Trump’s deportations aren’t what they seem.

Quote of the Day

June 16, 2025 at 6:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Israel’s fight is not against the Iranian people. Our fight is against the murderous Islamic regime that oppresses and impoverishes you.”

— Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu, quoted by Bloomberg.

Ten Years of Trump

June 16, 2025 at 6:11 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Playbook: “It’s 10 years to the day that Trump descended that famous golden elevator in New York’s Trump Tower and announced he was running for president. That slow ride down, that first boisterous, rambling press conference; other surreal moments that were met with shrugs of amusement at the time but can now be seen as a turning point in America’s history.”

“Trump has dominated the decade that followed — unpredictable, inescapable, among the most consequential political figures of our lives. Nobody saw it coming.”

‘Golden Share’ Gives Trump Extraordinary Control

June 16, 2025 at 6:11 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“To save its takeover of U.S. Steel, Japan’s Nippon Steel agreed to an unusual arrangement, granting the White House a ‘golden share’ that gives the government an extraordinary amount of influence over a U.S. company,” the New York Times reports.

“New details of the agreement show that the structure would give President Trump and his successors a permanent stake in U.S. Steel, significant sway over its board and veto power over a wide array of company actions, an arrangement that could change the nature of foreign investment in the United States.”

Israel Now Controls Airspace Over Tehran

June 16, 2025 at 6:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Israel’s military claimed Monday to have achieved ‘aerial superiority’ over Iran’s capital,” the AP reports.

“The military says it has degraded Iranian air defenses and missile systems to the point that its planes can now operate over Tehran without facing major threats.”

Trump Claims Parade Was a ‘Tremendous Success’

June 16, 2025 at 6:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump deemed his multimillion dollar military birthday parade a ‘tremendous success’ Sunday, despite it being dwarfed by the thousands protesting against his presidency on the same day,” the Daily Beast reports.

Said Trump: “Last night was a tremendous success with a fantastic audience. It was supposed to rain, they gave it a 100% chance of rain and it didn’t rain at all. It was beautiful.”

He added: “And so I asked, if they gave it a 100% chance, right? 100% it was going to rain like crazy—and it didn’t rain at all—how do they predict 100 years out? And 50 years out or 200 years out? They didn’t do too well the weather people last night, but it was beautiful.”

The Wrap: Dismal scenes from Trump’s military parade.

Americans Disagree with RFK Jr. on Vaccines

June 16, 2025 at 5:54 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

NBC News: “A significant majority of U.S. adults support using vaccines to prevent diseases, including majorities of Republicans, Democrats and independents.”

“And the share of people who believe vaccines are most to blame for chronic health issues is small, two dynamics that are at odds with Kennedy’s repeated efforts to cast doubt on the safety and efficacy of vaccines.”

Americans Want Trump to Obey Court Rulings

June 16, 2025 at 5:51 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The vast majority of American adults believe the Trump administration must comply with federal court orders, though the president’s strongest supporters are split over the issue,” according to a new NBC News Decision Desk Poll.

“In the poll, 81% of U.S. adults say that if a federal court rules that an administration action is illegal, then the administration has to follow its ruling, while 19% say the administration can ignore the ruling and continue its action.”

Lawmakers Worry About Their Safety

June 16, 2025 at 5:20 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Punchbowl News: “House Republicans held a call on Saturday – scooped here – during which members said they needed security for their homes and fretted about their whereabouts being a matter of public record.”

Israel Dramatically Expands War with Iran

June 16, 2025 at 5:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Israeli strikes targeting Iranian energy production facilities, manufacturing plants and aviation signaled the start of a wider and more intense phase of the conflict Sunday, as Israeli war planes pursued new targets deeper in Iran’s cities and towns,” the Washington Post reports.

“The targets appear to indicate an expansion of Israel’s war aims beyond the Iranian nuclear facilities that consumed the first days of the conflict. By striking Iranian industry, local security forces and infrastructure, Israel is aiming to degrade the Iranian state, further damage the country’s already reeling economy and possibly trigger regime change.”

Wall Street Journal: Israel takes control of Iran’s skies — a feat that still eludes Russia in Ukraine.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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