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Presidents Must Always Expect the Unexpected

March 22, 2022 at 5:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

John White: “In an era when norms are often cast aside, one cardinal rule of the presidency remains intact: expect the unexpected. That rule is being vindicated once more. On Election Day 2020, few expected Russia to invade Ukraine and begin the biggest conflict in Europe since World War II.”

“But the war is here, and President Biden is dealing with an issue most Americans believed had been resolved by the norms established on the European continent since 1945. How Biden measures up, and what the political implications for his presidency are, remain unclear. But as John F. Kennedy reportedly said during the Cuban Missile Crisis, ‘I guess this is the week that I earn my salary.’ Biden is certainly earning his.”

Biden’s Approval Drops to New Low

March 22, 2022 at 4:53 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Biden’s public approval rating fell to a new low of 40% this week, a clear warning sign for his Democratic Party as it seeks to retain control of Congress in the Nov. 8 election, according to a Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll.

McConnell Won’t Say If Greitens Should Drop Race

March 22, 2022 at 4:51 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) sidestepped saying if former Missouri Gov. Eric Greitens, who is running for Senate, should drop out in the wake of allegations of abuse by his former wife, The Hill reports.

Said McConnell: “Well look I think all of the developments of the last 24 hours are things the people of Missouri are going to take into account both the primary and I would assume would take into account in the general.”

Biden to Announce New Russia Sanctions

March 22, 2022 at 4:46 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Biden intends to announce a new Russia sanctions package during his visit to Europe this week, including measures to crack down on sanctions evasion,” Axios reports.

Congressional Staffers Leaving at Record Pace

March 22, 2022 at 4:43 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Bloomberg: “House staffers left their jobs last year at the highest rate since at least 2001, according to Legistorm, which tracks staff and member data and salaries. House staff exits have gradually increased since 2009, according to the analysis, but they jumped 55% compared with 2020 in a year that included the Jan. 6 Capitol insurrection and Covid-19 complications.”

Why Russia Launched Hypersonic Missiles

March 22, 2022 at 4:40 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The leading theory for why Russia launched hypersonic missiles into Ukraine last week is that it’s running out of precision-guided weapons to strike faraway targets,” Politico reports.

“Russia said it shot Kh-47M2 Kinzhal hypersonic missiles at a weapons depot in western Ukraine on Friday, though it remains unclear if that was actually the target. Still, President Joe Biden confirmed Russia’s use of the weapons Monday, stating the Russian military launched them ‘because it’s the only thing that they can get through with absolute certainty.’”

Oligarch Companies Can’t Pay Their Debts

March 22, 2022 at 4:30 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Russian companies owned by sanctioned oligarchs say they are having trouble making payments to their foreign creditors, potentially setting them up for default even though they have the funds to pay,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

DNC Chair to Make Utah His Temporary Headquarters

March 22, 2022 at 4:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Salt Lake Tribune: “Although the Republican National Committee passed on the opportunity to bring this year’s nominating convention to the Beehive State, senior national Democrats appear to have turned their focus to Utah.”

“Democratic National Committee Chairman Jaime Harrison is coming to Utah for an extended period in May. He will make the Utah Democratic Party headquarters his base of operations for almost a month.”

Vulnerable Democrats Back Transit Mask Repeal

March 22, 2022 at 3:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The chair of the House Democrats’ campaign arm and some of the vulnerable members he’s charged with re-electing are voicing support for a Republican-led mask mandate repeal bill,” Axios reports.

“The backing also illustrates how Democrats — especially those facing tough re-election fights — are trying to distance themselves from the pro-mask policies that defined their party for the past two years.”

Pakistan Prime Minister Warns MPs

March 22, 2022 at 2:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“With a vote of no-confidence looming over his government, Pakistan’s prime minister, Imran Khan, warned those planning to vote against him that they risk social disgrace, and that ‘no one will marry your children,’” The Guardian reports.

“The no-confidence vote is expected to be tabled on Friday 25 March, backed by a coalition of politicians who accuse Khan of bad governance and economic incompetence. In January inflation reached 13% and the cost of fuel and food rocketed.”

Sanctions on Russia Pit the West Against the World

March 22, 2022 at 1:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Walter Mead: “In a development that suggests trouble ahead, China’s basic approach—not endorsing Moscow’s aggression but resisting Western efforts to punish Russia—has garnered global support. South African President Cyril Ramaphosa blamed the war on NATO. Brazil’s president, Jair Bolsonaro, refused to condemn Russia. India and Vietnam, essential partners for any American strategy in the Indo-Pacific, are closer to China than the U.S. in their approach to the war.”

“Western arm-twisting and the powerful effect of bank sanctions ensure a certain degree of sanctions compliance and support for symbolic U.N. resolutions condemning Russian aggression. But the lack of non-Western enthusiasm for America’s approach to Mr. Putin’s war is a phenomenon that U.S. policy makers ignore at their peril.”

Mail Election Will Be Used to Replace Don Young

March 22, 2022 at 12:30 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Anchorage Daily News: “Under the tentative plan, the special primary election will be June 11, and the special general election will take place Aug. 16 — the same date as the state’s regular primary election.”

“Because of the short timeframe to organize and hold the special primary in June, the Division of Elections plans to conduct a by-mail election, which state law allows in special votes. Every registered Alaska voter would be mailed a ballot — a similar process to the one used by Anchorage for its local elections.”

Why the Right is Obsessed with Putin

March 22, 2022 at 12:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Dan Pfeiffer: “The concept of strength is the axis on which Republican politics has long rotated. Every Republican political campaign is about portraying the GOPer as strong and the Democrat as weak. This is why so much hay was made of Michael Dukakis’s tank photo op. Republicans worked hard to undermine John Kerry’s military service, and pushed false narratives about the health and cognitive abilities of Hillary Clinton and John Kerry.”

“The type of strength and how it is used is irrelevant. When strength at all costs is emphasized at the expense of empathy, compassion, and morals, Putin can become the ideal leader for a morally bankrupt political party.”

Quest for the Presidency

March 22, 2022 at 11:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Coming soon: Quest for the Presidency: The Storied and Surprising History of Presidential Campaigns in America by Bob Riel.

The compelling stories behind every presidential campaign in American history, from 1789 through 2020.

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The Rise of the Tucker Carlson Politician

March 22, 2022 at 11:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jason Zengerle: “It makes sense that Masters and Vance would subscribe to national conservatism. Their former boss and patron, Thiel — who has donated millions to super PACs supporting each candidacy — is a NatCon, giving the keynote address at last year’s conference. And they come by the ideology honestly. They are products of elite institutions — Vance graduated from Yale Law School, Masters from Stanford Law — and claim to have been radicalized by the experience. Their populism is a form of contrarianism and rebellion.”

“The challenge is turning that choice into votes. Trump created a constituency on instinct, but thus far there has been no way for politicians to signal affinity with it apart from pledging personal allegiance to Trump. Now that NatCons are trying to solidify that constituency ideologically, it seems freshly possible to align instead with Carlson, whose lead Masters and Vance have followed on everything from opposing vaccine mandates to sympathizing with Vladimir Putin’s geopolitical worldview.”

Quote of the Day

March 22, 2022 at 10:45 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I listened to Putin constantly using the n-word. That’s the n-word.”

— Former President Donald Trump, on Fox Business, before clarifying he meant the “nuclear word.”

Russian Chess Champion Banned from Competition

March 22, 2022 at 10:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“One of the world’s top chess players, Russian grandmaster Sergey Karjakin, has been banned for six months by the International Chess Federation for publicly declaring his support for Vladimir Putin and the invasion of Ukraine,” the Washington Post reports.

Mo Brooks Fades In Alabama Senate Race

March 22, 2022 at 10:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Cygnal poll in Alabama finds Rep. Mo Brooks (R-AL) falling behind Mike Durant (R) and Katie Britt (R) in the GOP Senate primary.

Durant leads with 35%, followed by Britt at 28% and Brooks at 16%.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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