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Cracks in Japan and U.S. Interpretation of Trade Deal

July 25, 2025 at 3:54 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The U.S. will secure only 90 percent of profits from joint investments with Japan if it takes on a proportional amount of risk and financing, Tokyo said on Friday, as cracks widened in the two allies’ interpretation of their hastily agreed trade deal,” the Financial Times reports.

“Japanese officials said there was no written agreement with Washington — and no legally binding one would be drawn up — after Trump administration officials claimed Tokyo would back investments in the US from which American taxpayers would reap nine-tenths of the profits.”

Mass Deportations Could Backfire on the Economy

July 25, 2025 at 2:34 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A Penn Wharton Budget Model analysis shows the administration’s immigration crackdown will “shrink most worker paychecks, erode gross domestic product (GDP) and spike the already-massive federal government budget deficit,” CNN reports.

Are the Democrats Getting Better at the Internet?

July 25, 2025 at 2:32 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jon Allsop: “Maybe a certain reserved professionalism is part of what makes Democrats different from Trump, and is thus worth preserving; maybe, given the asymmetric power of the right-wing-media ecosystem, Democrats don’t have Trump’s latitude to say whatever crazy things they like without it being held against them, and so need to keep their guard up a bit; maybe the manosphere is just too right-wing-coded for liberals to thrive there.”

“Then again, Rogan endorsed Bernie Sanders in 2020—and, as I’ve explored in this column in recent weeks, he, Von, and others of their ilk now sound increasingly disillusioned with Trump, following his strikes on Iran and (supposed) concealment of the Epstein files. This would seem to offer Democrats an opening in the podcastverse.”

“And, when it comes to all the other online spaces, there’s never been any inherent reason that the Party’s positioning requires so much of its content to suck so much.”


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16 Dead in Border Clash Between Thailand and Cambodia

July 25, 2025 at 2:27 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“At least 16 people have been killed in armed clashes between Thailand and Cambodia, as tensions over a century-old border dispute spiral into the worst fighting between the two Southeast Asian nations in more than a decade,” NBC News reports.

“Since fighting began Thursday, the two sides have been progressively involving heavier weapons, including artillery and rocket systems, with clashes expanding to 12 locations from six.”

Putin Rules Out Any Meeting with Zelensky

July 25, 2025 at 2:25 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Kremlin on Friday ruled out any meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky before the last stage in signing a peace deal, definitively rebuffing the Ukrainian leader’s calls for a meeting and describing the two sides’ positions as ‘diametrically opposed,'” the Washington Post reports.

“The statement appears to effectively preclude any kind of top-level meeting in the near future and casts doubt on further progress in the peace talks within the 50-day deadline given by President Donald Trump for a peace deal to be reached before the United States imposes new sanctions on Russia.”

Trump Releases Billions He Withheld from Schools

July 25, 2025 at 2:18 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Trump administration plans to release more than $5 billion in funding to public schools that it has withheld for nearly a month, a senior administration official said Friday, ending weeks of anxiety and uncertainty for school leaders who had said the freeze jeopardized programs and staffing for the upcoming academic year,” the Washington Post reports.

AOC Accepted Impermissible Gift

July 25, 2025 at 2:10 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Ethics Committee found that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) “failed to fully comply with the Gift Rule by impermissibly accepting a gift of free admission to the 2021 Met Gala for her partner and by failing to pay full fair market value for some of the items worn to the event.”

Texas Lawmaker Admits to Affair

July 25, 2025 at 1:14 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Three days after state Rep. Giovanni Capriglione (R) announced he was dropping his reelection bid, the conservative news site Current Revolt published an interview with a former exotic dancer who alleges she had a 17-year affair with the Southlake Republican,” the Texas Tribune reports.

The woman, Alex Grace, alleges that Capriglione paid her for “meetups” and “funded several abortions for his own personal gain.”

George Santos Begins 7-Year Prison Sentence

July 25, 2025 at 1:10 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Disgraced former Rep. George Santos is set to report to prison on Friday, beginning a more than seven-year sentence after pleading guilty to a laundry list of federal charges that included wire fraud, identity theft and money laundering,” NBC News reports.

Top Liberal Group Falls Into Crisis

July 25, 2025 at 12:49 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Media Matters, a nonprofit group that has played a key role in liberal politics, is struggling to withstand months of legal assaults by President Trump’s allies, offering a glimpse of what might be in store for even well-funded targets of his retribution campaigns,” the New York Times reports.

“The organization, which is funded by some of the Democratic Party’s biggest donors, has racked up about $15 million in legal fees over the past 20 months to defend itself against lawsuits by Elon Musk, in addition to investigations by Mr. Trump’s Federal Trade Commission and Republican state attorneys general.”

We Don’t Really Know the Battlegrounds Yet

July 25, 2025 at 12:42 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Election forecasters are facing a new kind of uncertainty ahead of the 2026 midterm elections: the congressional maps may change. 

In a typical cycle, the battleground districts are largely locked in by this point.

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Trump Floats Tariff Rebate Checks

July 25, 2025 at 12:24 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump on Friday suggested the government might consider issuing rebate checks to some Americans from the tariff revenue collected this year,” Axios reports.

Said Trump: “We have so much money coming in, we’re thinking about a little rebate.”

“Trump didn’t say how big any such check might be, or who would be eligible.”

A Stunning Number of Voters Didn’t Rank Cuomo for Mayor

July 25, 2025 at 11:47 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A Gothamist analysis found that more than 70% of voters who fully filled out all five slots on their ranked-choice primary ballots did not rank Andrew Cuomo among their chosen candidates.

Trump Says He Could Pardon Ghislaine Maxwell

July 25, 2025 at 11:43 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump said he had the ability to pardon Ghislaine Maxwell, the associate of disgraced financier Jeffrey Epstein, in exchange for her cooperation with ongoing investigations but had not yet considered whether to do so, Bloomberg reports.

Said Trump: “I’m allowed to do it, but it’s something I have not thought about.”

Affluent Americans Increasingly Vote for Democrats

July 25, 2025 at 11:17 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “During the administrations of Ronald Reagan, George H.W. Bush, and George W. Bush, affluent Americans who benefited from tax cuts were more likely to be Republicans. The political party they supported delivered material benefits that boosted their pocketbooks. Democratic voters, by comparison, were more likely to be working or middle class.”

“Now, more than half of upper-income families — defined as those earning more than $215,400 per year — vote Democratic.”

Weekly News Quiz

July 25, 2025 at 11:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

It’s been another crazy week in politics, with surprises coming from Capitol Hill to convicted sex offenders who’ve been dead for six years.

Test how closely you’ve been paying attention — and see if you can beat your score from last week.

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Republicans Split on Extending Obamacare Tax Breaks

July 25, 2025 at 10:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Republican leaders are facing growing calls from their members to extend a bucket of funding for the Affordable Care Act that is slated to expire at the end of this year as some look to avert insurance premium hikes and millions of Americans losing health coverage,” NBC News reports.

“But the cause faces opposition from conservatives who detest ‘Obamacare,’ as the law is nicknamed, and don’t want to lift a finger to protect it. Some argue it’d be too expensive to continue the premium tax credits, which cost over $30 billion per year and were initially adopted as part of a Covid-19 response.”

“The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office projects that about 5 million Americans will lose their insurance by 2034 if the money expires.”

A Note to Readers

July 25, 2025 at 9:58 am EDT By Taegan Goddard

I know you’re inundated—with headlines, notifications, and endless demands on your time and wallet. 

Meanwhile, we get proof each day that the billionaires, media conglomerates and big tech companies aren’t going to rescue journalism.

That’s why independent news sites like Political Wire matter more than ever.

If you’ve found value here, become a member and get 20% off your first year.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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