A new YouGov poll finds 39% of Republicans think that 79-year old Donald Trump could beat them in a fight, while just 33% think they could beat him.
Meanwhile, 54% of Democrats think an eight-year-old boy could beat Trump in a fight.
Trump Wants New Air Force One by July 4th
“The U.S. Air Force is targeting a Fourth of July delivery for a Boeing 747 gifted by Qatar that would join the Air Force One fleet in time for the nation’s 250th anniversary,” Reuters reports.
Quote of the Day
“What I’m more interested in for Democrats is: Do you know how to just talk to regular people like we’re not in a college seminar. Can you talk plain English to folks?”
— Barack Obama, quoted by the New York Times.
Andy Beshear Suggests He’s Running for President
Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear (D) told MS NOW that he’s “comfortable” being among the names of possible presidential candidates for 2028.
Kamala Harris Wants the DNC Autopsy Report Released
“As former Vice President Kamala Harris considers another run for president, she is also signaling that she has no problem with a public airing of what went wrong last time — telling donors she believes the Democratic National Committee should release its buried autopsy of her failed 2024 campaign,” NBC News reports.
Grand Theft Oil Futures
Paul Krugman: “At this point it’s almost routine: Almost every time Donald Trump makes a major announcement about the Iran War, that announcement is preceded — sometimes by only a few minutes — by huge and hugely profitable bets in the oil market…”
“What’s truly remarkable is that this keeps happening even though the pattern has become familiar. This tells us two things: The Trump administration is making no real effort to crack down on whoever is trading using inside information, and these inside traders are operating with a complete sense of impunity, assured that they can get away with it.”
“The stench of corruption is overwhelming.”
Americans Overwhelmingly Back Age Limits for Lawmakers
An overwhelming majority of Americans — 78% — are in favor of setting age caps as well as term limits for members of Congress, according to the latest NPR/PBS News/Marist poll.
The GOP’s Enthusiasm Problem
Aaron Blake: “A series of polls in recent weeks have taken an early look at enthusiasm and motivation to vote ahead of the 2026 election, and Republicans are suffering from a real deficit.”
“The party has trailed significantly on such measures for months, as CNN polling has showed. But what’s particularly remarkable is how unenthused Republicans are, compared to other recent midterm elections — including those involving Trump.”
Iran Takes Its Time on a Response to Trump
Bloomberg: “Whether Iran accepts the latest US peace proposal or not, Donald Trump is intent on winding down a conflict that’s proving increasingly problematic for him.”
“His memorandum of understanding, which Iranian leaders are expected to respond to any day now, calls for Tehran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for Washington ending a blockade of Iranian ports. The US would also lift some sanctions, while Iran would agree to a moratorium on enriching uranium.”
RNC Spends Big On its Ground Game
“The Republican Party is spending big on its ground game — the party’s first major investment in the run-up to the midterms,” NOTUS reports.
“The Republican National Committee sent 34 staffers to 17 states last week to run canvassing operations targeting voters who don’t frequently turn out for elections, a voting bloc that helped President Donald Trump win in 2024.”
A Midterm Election Shaped by Billionaires
Bloomberg: “Political committees have already raised $4.7 billion for the November contests as ultra-wealthy donors look to shape the final two years of Donald Trump’s presidency.”
Trump’s Affordability Push Stalls
“The Trump administration’s fitful campaign to address US voters’ affordability concerns ahead of the midterm elections is faltering, with some key efforts stalled, cast aside or limited in scope,” Bloomberg reports.
“The biggest piece of housing legislation in a generation has languished on Capitol Hill because of lawmakers’ objections to a provision negotiated by the White House. President Donald Trump has stopped touting a proposed 10% cap on credit-card interest rates, after backlash from banks and skepticism from economists.”
“And two executive orders, one aimed at easing access to mortgage credit and another that seeks to streamline regulations for builders, are not yet fully implemented and experts say they would only help marginally.”
Oil Pumping Site Deep Inside Russia Could Be Ablaze
Bloomberg: “An oil-pumping station deep inside Russia could be on fire again just days after being hit by Ukrainian drones.”
Susan Collins Says She Has Long Had a Benign Tremor
Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) told News Center Maine that she had long had what she called a benign essential tremor.
Said Collins: “I have had it for the entire time that I have served in the United States Senate. It has absolutely no impact on my ability to do my job or on how I feel each day.”
Jet-Fuel Prices Are Spiking
“Former New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu delivered a warning to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent during a recent visit to Washington: Already-high airfares will surge if the war in Iran doesn’t end soon,” the Wall Street Journal reports.
“Sununu, a Republican who represents some of the biggest airlines as the president of the industry group Airlines for America, has for weeks sounded the alarm to Trump administration officials about the economic fallout from high jet-fuel prices. The war, Sununu has argued, must come to a close soon, or things will get worse.”
Democrats See Senate Control Within Reach
Washington Post: “Democrats are increasingly optimistic about retaking the Senate in the midterm elections — an aspiration that appeared all but out of reach at the start of President Donald Trump’s second term.”
“The political terrain heading into November remains forbidding for Democrats, who need to win races in at least five states that Trump carried in 2024 to recapture the Senate. But Trump’s crumbling approval ratings and the Iran war’s weight on the economy have given the party fresh hope less than six months from Election Day, even as big hurdles remain.”
War and Energy Shortages Boost China’s Influence
New York Times: “As the war in Iran drags on, China has deepened its influence with fuel-starved neighbors, offering to ease shortages while pushing its renewable energy technology.”
“In the days after the United States and Israel attacked Iran and the Strait of Hormuz was closed, China banned oil-product exports, squeezing Asian countries that rely on its refineries for jet fuel, gasoline and diesel.”
“Across Asia, governments are petitioning Beijing to blunt the war’s impact. Unlike the rest of the region, China is dealing from a position of strength. It is the world’s largest importer of crude oil, but it has amassed huge reserves, spent decades reducing its dependence on foreign oil and poured hundreds of billions of dollars into clean energy technology.”
Trump to Host Brazil’s Leader
“President Trump will host President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of Brazil at the White House on Thursday, at a moment of a fragile truce following a tense year of U.S. tariffs and public insults between the leaders of the Western Hemisphere’s largest nations,” the New York Times reports.
“Mr. Trump has subjected Brazil to a whiplash of measures, only to abruptly walk back several of the harshest penalties. Mr. Lula, a leftist, has condemned Mr. Trump’s policies toward Iran and Cuba, along with his recent critical comments about Pope Leo XIV.”
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