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The Silver Lining in Trump’s Tariffs

April 3, 2025 at 12:41 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

All Donald Trump had to do was declare victory on the economy. Step into a recovery that was already well underway, slap his name on it, and convince just enough voters that the prosperity they were feeling came from him.

That’s the playbook he followed during his first term and Democrats feared he’d do it again.

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Trump’s Tariffs Are Designed to Backfire

April 3, 2025 at 12:18 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rogé Karma: “Most obviously, the tariffs don’t appear to be based on actual trade barriers, which undermines their entire justification. Contrary to White House messaging, the formula for determining the new rates turns out to have been based simply on the dollar value of goods the U.S. imports from a given country relative to how much it exports. The administration took the difference between the two numbers, divided it by each country’s total exports, then divided that total in half, and slapped an import tax on countries at that rate. The theoretically reciprocal tariffs are not, in fact, reciprocal.”

“The result is that there is no clear or obvious path that countries could take to get those tariffs removed even if they wanted to. Countries can remove all of their trade restrictions and still run a trade surplus. South Korea, Mexico, and Canada, for example, export more to us than they import from us despite imposing virtually no trade barriers.”

Bonus Quote of the Day

April 3, 2025 at 12:15 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Trump has spent a lot of political capital in his first 100 days, but Republicans will see it as a good investment if he can ultimately deliver on tax cuts and deficit reductions. But recessions and inflation are politically devastating for any president. Trump is risking both with his trade wars, so it’s understandably making his allies extremely nervous.”

— GOP strategist Alex Conant, quoted in The Atlantic.


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Lutnick Says Trump Won’t ‘Back Off’ On Tariffs

April 3, 2025 at 12:12 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said President Trump “is not going to back off” his newly announced tariffs, CNBC reports.

Said Lutnick: “I don’t think there’s any chance… This is the reordering of global trade, right? That’s what’s going to happen.”

Americans Will Pay the Price for Reckless Tariffs

April 3, 2025 at 12:10 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

National Review: “Believing that a country is in bad shape if it imports more goods than it exports — i.e., if it has a trade deficit — is, in most cases, a harmless error in reasoning. It’s the sort of thing that seems to make sense at first glance, but any halfway decent economics professor can train it out of students in one or two lectures.”

“That error in reasoning becomes harmful when the person who believes it is the president of the United States, and he is willing to claim emergency powers to act on it unilaterally. That’s what Donald Trump has done with his executive order to raise tariffs on virtually every country on earth.”

Republicans Weigh Giving Stefanik New Role

April 3, 2025 at 11:45 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Semafor: “As GOP leaders search for a landing spot for Stefanik after the abrupt withdrawal of her nomination as ambassador to the United Nations… they’re considering making her chair of the Elected Leadership Committee.”

“The ELC is a group of advisers to leadership — and its chair is a speaker-appointed position that got filled for the first time in more than a decade by former Speaker Kevin McCarthy.”

Bonus Quote of the Day

April 3, 2025 at 11:08 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I think the way Judge Crawford ran her race was disgusting… I’m not looking forward to working with her. She’s bought and paid for by the Democratic Party.”

— Wisconsin Supreme Court Justice Rebecca Bradley, talking to a reporter about Susan Crawford, the victor in this week’s election.

Dan Osborn Eyes Another Senate Run in Nebraska

April 3, 2025 at 11:05 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Dan Osborn, the independent Senate candidate who nearly toppled an incumbent Republican last year, is taking steps to prove his overperformance in deep-red Nebraska was no fluke,” Politico reports.

“On Thursday he announced the formation of an exploratory committee, setting him on potential collision course with one of the wealthiest members of the Senate, Republican Pete Ricketts — something Osborn said amplified the ‘illness’ of the uber wealthy influencing politics.”

Said Osborn: “Billionaires have bought up the country and are carving it up day by day. The economy they’ve built is good for them, bad for us.”

Trump Hands China a Big Opening

April 3, 2025 at 10:59 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Donald Trump’s decision to boost tariffs on almost every country will deal a blow to China’s economy. But it’s also handing Xi Jinping a rare opening to deepen relationships across the board, including with key US allies in Asia and beyond,” Bloomberg reports.

“Chinese officials moved quickly on Thursday to align with other nations after Trump unveiled America’s steepest tariffs in a century.”

Trump Fires Multiple National Security Officials

April 3, 2025 at 10:57 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Several members of President Trump’s embattled National Security Council have been fired,” Axios reports.

“The firings come a day after conspiracy theorist Laura Loomer visited the Oval Office and pressed President Trump to fire members of the NSC.”

Trump’s Totally Arbitrary Tariff Regime

April 3, 2025 at 10:50 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jim Geraghty: “There are two main takeaways from yesterday’s so-called ‘Liberation Day’ announcements.”

“The new tariffs are economically illiterate, self-destructive, top-to-bottom nonsense, imposed with no sense of rhyme or reason, assembled by White House staffers who do not know which territories have serious trade relationships with the U.S. and which ones are inhabited entirely by penguins.”

“Also, the White House continues to avoid almost any decision that could possibly antagonize Vladimir Putin, while inflicting as much pain as possible on longtime allies and vulnerable friends like Israel and Taiwan.”

Quote of the Day

April 3, 2025 at 10:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“European Union won’t take chicken from America, they won’t take lobsters from America. They hate our beef because our beef is beautiful and theirs is weak.”

— Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, on Fox News.

Trump’s Tariffs Are an Economic Emergency

April 3, 2025 at 9:57 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Michael Strain: “‘Liberation day’ has arrived. Unfortunately, it threatens to liberate Americans from robust real wage growth, low unemployment and a good chunk of their retirement savings.”

“Trump’s tariffs are an economic emergency. If implemented, the US’s average tariff rate would be higher than under Smoot-Hawley. They would constitute the largest tax increase since the 1968 levies to fund the Vietnam war. Our trade partners would retaliate. By raising taxes and prices, they would erode household income and spending. Business investment spending and US exports would be hit hard. If sustained, this trade war would be likely to cause a recession.”

“And for what? Around half of U.S. imports are intermediate goods used domestically to produce final ones. High tariffs raise the costs of production for U.S. companies, hurting competitiveness.”

Loomer Pushes Trump to Fire National Security Staff

April 3, 2025 at 9:54 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Laura Loomer, the far-right activist and promoter of conspiracy theories, met on Wednesday with President Trump in the Oval Office, where she pressed for him to fire National Security Council staff members whom she deemed disloyal to him,” the New York Times reports.

“Mr. Trump may act on some of Ms. Loomer’s recommendations… Ms. Loomer walked into the White House with a sheaf of papers, which amounted to a mass of opposition research attacking the character and loyalty of numerous N.S.C. officials.”

Major Nationwide Protest Planned for This Weekend

April 3, 2025 at 9:49 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A nationwide anti-President Trump movement on Saturday is expected to be the largest single-day protest since he entered office, Axios reports.

More than 1,100 rallies, visibility events and meetings were scheduled in all 50 states.

Why Not Russia?

April 3, 2025 at 9:45 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) questioned President Trump’s decision to not impose tariffs on Russia, noting that while both China and Iran are part of the tariffs plan, Russia does not appear on Trump’s list.

Europe Readies Response to Crippling Tariffs

April 3, 2025 at 9:41 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The European Union, taken as a whole, is America’s biggest trading partner. That makes President Trump’s fresh tariffs especially painful for the 27-nation bloc — but also gives it a uniquely large amount of economic weight to throw around in response,” the New York Times reports.

“In the hours after Mr. Trump’s sweeping tariff announcement on Wednesday, European leaders began to make clear that they plan to do so.”

“Among the options: to impose trade barriers on U.S. services firms, in particular giant technology companies like Google who do a huge amount of E.U. business. And policymakers are already finalizing lists of jacked-up tariffs that could go into effect as soon as mid-April.”

Wall Street Reels From Shock of Trump Tariffs

April 3, 2025 at 9:39 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Wall Street opened sharply lower on Thursday, following a slump in global markets, after President Trump announced a major round of tariffs on U.S. imports,” the New York Times reports.

“The world’s biggest economies reacted swiftly to the new levies, a significant escalation of trade tensions with the United States, and some countries warned of retaliation.”

Wall Street Journal: “U.S. stocks tumbled at the open Thursday, with major indexes dropping as much as 4%, after President Trump’s sweeping new tariff plan was deeper and more aggressive than expected.”

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Demagogue: A demagogue is a politician whose rhetoric appeals to raw emotions such as fear and hatred in order to gain power, rather than using rational ….

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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