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McConnell and Trump Differ on Impeachment Strategy

December 10, 2019 at 1:34 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

CNN: “In conversations with the White House, the Kentucky Republican has made clear he hopes to end the trial as soon as he can, an effort to both get impeachment off his lap and protect his conference from potentially damaging votes should the process break out into partisan warfare. That will include a continuous whip count until McConnell feels he has the votes to acquit the President and end the show. He has even floated a 10-day minimum during these talks.”

“But the show is exactly what Trump wants. He’s made clear to advisers privately that rather than end the trial as quickly as possible, he is hoping for a dramatic event, according to two people familiar with his thinking. He wants Hunter Biden, Rep. Adam Schiff and the whistleblower to testify. He wants the witnesses to be live, not clips of taped depositions. And he’s hoping to turn it into a spectacle, which he thinks is his best chance to hurt Democrats in the election.”

Prosecutors Recommend No Jail Time for Rick Gates

December 10, 2019 at 1:32 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Federal prosecutors recommended that former deputy Trump campaign chairman Rick Gates serve no prison time, citing his “extraordinary assistance” in special counsel Robert Mueller’s Russia investigation, the Washington Post reports.

Barr Says FBI Acted In Bad Faith in Russia Probe

December 10, 2019 at 12:48 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Attorney General William Barr dismissed the findings of the Justice Department’s inspector general in an interview with NBC News, saying that his hand-picked prosecutor, John Durham, will have the last word on the matter.

Said Barr: “I think our nation was turned on its head for three years based on a completely bogus narrative that was largely fanned and hyped by a completely irresponsible press. I think there were gross abuses…and inexplicable behavior that is intolerable in the FBI.”


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Bloomberg Says Trump Would ‘Eat Alive’ His Rivals

December 10, 2019 at 12:22 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Michael Bloomberg told CNN that he thinks President Trump would “eat alive” his fellow Democratic primary candidates, citing what he says is their lack of relevant experience and preparation for the race.

Said Bloomberg: “I think Trump is getting stronger and I think he would just eat alive the candidates. Because they don’t have plans that I think are practical, that can be implemented. They don’t have management experience and the President’s job is a management job.”

He added: “This is not a job where you take training wheels, this is the future of the world — the free world. And you need people with experience.”

Quote of the Day

December 10, 2019 at 12:19 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“When I see that the Republicans are going to have a press conference, I kind of get a little nervous because I think, ‘Oh, no. Lots of white guys.’ Love white guys, but there are a lot of other folks in this great country.”

— Former Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-FL), quoted by Politico.

Bloomberg Is Wildly Unpopular

December 10, 2019 at 12:02 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “Electability is a central pillar of former New York mayor Mike Bloomberg’s newly launched presidential campaign, but a poll released Tuesday finds he is deeply unpopular with voters nationwide.”

“A Monmouth University poll found about twice as many registered voters rated Bloomberg negatively as positively — 54% unfavorable, 26% favorable. That margin was significantly worse than for five other Democratic candidates, as well as for President Trump. That same measure hampered Hillary Clinton’s campaign in 2016.”

Lawmakers Are Literally Not Crossing the Aisle Much

December 10, 2019 at 11:56 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Journalist’s Resource: “Author Bryce Dietrich, an assistant professor of political science at the University of Iowa, analyzed the biggest video collection of the U.S. House of Representatives ever used in political science research — 1,413 hours, about two months’ worth of video, covering January 1997 to December 2012. The clips are overhead shots from cable network C-SPAN showing representatives’ movements about the chamber.”

“Dietrich found representatives have physically crossed the aisle less and less to interact with opposing colleagues over time since the late 1990s.”

Beshear Sworn In as Kentucky Governor

December 10, 2019 at 11:35 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Andy Beshear officially became the 63rd governor of Kentucky just after midnight Tuesday morning in a private swearing-in ceremony in the governor’s mansion,” the Lexington Herald Leader reports.

Ted Yoho Will Not Run Again

December 10, 2019 at 11:17 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Ted Yoho (R-FL) told WSKY that he would not run for reelection in 2020, honoring a pledge that he would not seek more than four terms in Congress.

Impeachment Hasn’t Budged Trump’s 2020 Prospects

December 10, 2019 at 11:06 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Monmouth poll finds 43% of American voters feel that President Trump should be reelected, while 54% say it is time to have someone new in the Oval Office.

“These numbers have not really budged in the past month (42% reelect and 55% someone new in November). The current results are statistically similar to late September when news broke about the Ukraine call (39% reelect and 57% someone new) and August when the House impeachment inquiry was just getting started (39% reelect and 57% someone new).”

Said pollster Patrick Murray: “The impeachment hearings over the past month have not moved the reelection needle in either direction.”

More Electoral Votes Could Be In Play In 2020

December 10, 2019 at 10:55 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Reid Wilson: “After decades in which a small handful of states in the industrial Midwest sat at the fulcrum of American political geography, the epicenter has broadened substantially. As he seeks reelection, President Trump will play defense in Sun Belt states that have been the foundation of the Republican Party and offense in the Great Plains and the Northeast, more regularly Democratic territory.”

“Though Democrats have not yet settled on a nominee, initial polls show reliably red states like Arizona, Texas and North Carolina are in play. At the same time, Trump’s unique coalition gives Republicans the chance to compete for states like Minnesota, which last voted Republican in 1972, and New Hampshire, which hasn’t turned red since George W. Bush won it in 2000.”

Electoral Vote Map: Rust Belt vs. Sun Belt?

House Democrats Will Back USMCA Trade Deal

December 10, 2019 at 10:13 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) and House Ways and Means Chairman Richard Neal (D-MA) announced that House Democrats plan to back the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement.

Axios: “Completing the trade deal, designed to replace NAFTA, is one of President Trump’s biggest policy goals for 2019. Democrats’ decision to back it — despite unveiling articles of impeachment against the president only an hour prior — highlights how they want something to bring home to their constituents ahead of 2020 as well.”

Trump Responds to Impeachment Push

December 10, 2019 at 10:07 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump responded to the introduction of articles of impeachment in the House:

Nadler just said that I “pressured Ukraine to interfere in our 2020 Election.” Ridiculous, and he knows that is not true. Both the President & Foreign Minister of Ukraine said, many times, that there “WAS NO PRESSURE.” Nadler and the Dems know this, but refuse to acknowledge!

He followed minutes later with another tweet: “WITCH HUNT!”

House Introduces Articles of Impeachment

December 10, 2019 at 9:11 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

House Judiciary Committee chairman Jerry Nadler (D-NY) announced his committee will consider two articles of impeachment against President Trump: abuse of power and obstruction of Congress.

Democrats say Trump has exhibited a pattern of behavior that presents a “clear and present danger” to the 2020 presidential election and national security.

The Judiciary Committee will vote on the articles on Thursday and the full House is expected to vote next week.

Something Bigger Than Impeachment May Be Coming

December 10, 2019 at 9:05 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

It’s hard to imagine a bigger story than impeachment this week.

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Warren Calls for a ‘Blue New Deal’

December 10, 2019 at 9:03 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Elizabeth Warren is out with new plans to speed up offshore wind projects, expand marine sanctuaries, and bolster use of oceans to soak up carbon emissions,” Axios reports.

“Those are three pillars of the far wider ‘Blue New Deal’ — a riff on the ‘Green New Deal’ concept — on ocean policy that the Democratic White House hopeful unveiled Tuesday.”

Trump Called for Evacuation of Seoul

December 10, 2019 at 9:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump called for the population of Seoul to be moved during an Oval Office meeting when tensions between the US and North Korea were at their height, according to a new book about the president’s relations with the US military,” The Guardian reports.

“In Trump and his Generals: The Cost of Chaos, the national security and counter-terrorism expert Peter Bergen also gives new details of Trump’s demands that the families of US service members in South Korea be evacuated, which the North Korean regime would have interpreted as a clear move towards war. In both cases, Trump’s impetuous diktats were ignored by his top officials.”

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Budget Deficit Soars

December 10, 2019 at 8:35 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The U.S. government deficit spiked 12 percent to $342 billion during the first two months of fiscal year 2020, according to data from the Congressional Budget Office,” Fox Business reports.

“The CBO says the U.S. budget deficit will average $1.2 trillion a year from 2020 to 2029, amounting to 4.4 percent to 4.8 percent of gross domestic product.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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