“Swiss exports to the US plunged for a second month as cross-border shippers wait for a trade deal to cushion tariffs proposed by President Donald Trump,” Bloomberg reports.
Trump to Cut Inspectors Monitoring Gun Sales
“The Justice Department plans to slash the number of inspectors who monitor federally licensed gun dealers by two-thirds, sharply limiting the government’s already crimped capacity to identify businesses that sell guns to criminals,“ the New York Times reports.
“The move, part of the Trump administration’s effort to defang and downsize the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives, comes as the department considers merging the A.T.F. and the Drug Enforcement Administration. It follows a rollback of Biden-era regulations aimed at stemming the spread of deadly homemade firearms, along with other gun control measures.”
Israel to Intensify Strikes on Iran
“Israeli officials said they would intensify strikes on Tehran after a key hospital in southern Israel was hit in an Iranian missile attack,” the Washington Post reports.
A Big, Beautiful Loser
Punchbowl News: “Republicans know they have a big, beautiful problem: The centerpiece of President Donald Trump’s agenda is polling like garbage.”
“Public surveys from this month paint a grim picture for the GOP’s most important legislative push of the 119th Congress.”
“A plurality of Americans oppose the GOP reconciliation bill, just 67% of Republicans support the package and 71% of independents have an unfavorable view of the effort. In other words, it’s not only Democrats that don’t like the bill. It’s independents and Republicans, too.”
“In case you aren’t great at math, this is bad.”
“And instead of spending all their time selling the bill publicly, Hill Republicans remain locked in an internal struggle over its particulars, with the stakes enormously high — both politically and policy wise.”
Gulf States Caught off Guard by Israel’s Iran Attack
Bloomberg: “They spent years working toward a detente with their historical enemy. Now they’re contemplating a conflict that could jeopardize their oil infrastructure, hamper their ambitious economic plans and destabilize the region.”
Visa Rules Force Foreign Students to Unlock Social Media
“Foreign students will be required to unlock their social media profiles to allow US diplomats to review their online activity before receiving educational and exchange visas, the state department has announced. Those who fail to do so will be suspected of hiding that activity from US officials,” The Guardian reports.
Washington Post: State Department restarts student visa interviews with tougher social media rules.
Exchange of the Day
Tucker Carlson accused Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) of being a “sleazy feline”:
CRUZ: It’s interesting you’re trying to derail my questions by calling me an anti-Semite, which you are.
CARLSON: Of course you are. And rather than be honorable enough to say it right to my face, you are, in a sleazy feline way, implying it. “Oh, just asking questions about the Jews.” I’m not asking questions about the Jews. I have– this has nothing to do with Jews or Judaism. It has to do with the foreign government.
CRUZ: “Isn’t Israel controlling our foreign policy?” That’s not about the Jews?
CARLSON: You said–
CRUZ: And by the way, you’re the one that just called me, I think, “a sleazy feline.” So, let’s be clear.
Trump Keeps Everyone Guessing
CNN: “He might do it. But he might not. And you’ve got no idea whether he will. Then again, neither does he.”
“Donald Trump’s riffing ahead of the most wrenching national security decision in either of his presidencies is nothing like the complex war-gaming and careful tilling of public opinion that most commanders in chief require before they send Americans off to fight.”
Quote of the Day
“So much of this is the same story told again. Once upon a time we didn’t know better, and we bought all the happy talk about Iraq. But every single assumption proved wrong.”
— Professor Vali Masr, quoted by the New York Times.
Trump Presses Aides on Whether Bunker Buster Will Work
Axios: “One key question is on President Trump’s mind these days, his advisers say: If the U.S. joins Israel’s war and drops its massive bunker busters, will they actually destroy Iran’s most heavily fortified nuclear facility?”
“Trump’s doubts Wednesday about the certainty of success are one reason he was still questioning whether to move forward with a strike.”
Max Boot: The risks and benefits of bombing Fordow. Spoiler alert: It’s a close call.
GOP Senators Opposed to Trump’s TikTok Delay
“Some Senate Republicans wish President Trump would quit standing in the way of the TikTok ban,” Axios reports.
Said Sen. Roger Wicker (R-MS): “I’m not overly delighted. I don’t think it’s a good idea.”
Said Sen. Josh Hawley (R-MO): “That’s not my favorite thing. I’m fine with him trying to sell it, that’s fine, but I think at a certain point we’ve got to enforce this law.”
For members: Trump Pretends Laws Don’t Exist
U.S. Brain Drain Gains Pace
“A brain drain hitting American universities is expected to gather pace before the start of the new academic year as funding cuts and attacks on academic freedom have led increasing numbers of academics to question whether they wish to stay in the United States,” the South China Morning Post reports.
Trump Threatens the Dollar’s Reign
Bloomberg: “There is no better barometer of global investors’ repudiation of President Donald Trump’s policies than the dollar. Since he took office, it’s lost more than 10% of its value against the euro, pound and Swiss franc and is down against every single major currency in the world.”
“The last time the dollar plunged this much, this fast was in 2010, when the Federal Reserve was frantically printing money to prop up the economy in the wake of the financial crisis.”
“This time, it’s several of the key pillars of the Trump agenda that are driving investors away: the across-the-board tariff hikes that shocked allies and upended trade; the push to ram through tax cuts that would add to bloated deficits and debt; the pressure campaign to get the Fed to slash interest rates; and the bare-knuckled legal tactics employed against those who oppose his policies.”
Inside the Spy Dossier That Led Israel to War
The Economist: “When Israel launched its war on Iran on June 13th it did so on the basis of intelligence that it claimed showed Iran had reached a ‘point of no return’ in its quest for a nuclear weapon. That evidence galvanised Israel’s own security establishment to support an attack now. It has been shown to America and other Western partners, presumably playing an important role in their ongoing decision-making over whether to support or even join the war. The Economist has not seen the material directly, but has gained exclusive insights from an authoritative source, giving a view of Israel’s dossiers, as shared with its allies, and the claims they make over enriched uranium and the speeding-up of Iran’s programme. Some of the details are already known; some are new.”
“Israeli intelligence dossiers contain information that, if correct, is genuinely new. They suggest that roughly six years ago the scientists formed a secret ‘Special Progress Group’, under the auspices of the former AMAD director, Mohsen Fakhrizadeh. This group’s aim was to prepare the way for a much quicker weaponisation process, if and when a decision was made by Ali Khamenei, Iran’s supreme leader, to rush for a bomb.”
Could Trump Be Impeached Again?
Thomas Edsall: “In the five months Trump has held office in his second term, the number of impeachable offenses legal scholars estimate that he has already committed ranges from three to eight or more.”
J.D. Vance Is on Bluesky
Vice President J.D. Vance created a Bluesky account, using his first posts to troll Democrats over the Supreme Court decision on transgender care.
Daily Beast: A wild number of people have already blocked Vance on Bluesky.
Johnson Out of the Loop on Senate Medicaid Cuts
“Speaker Mike Johnson’s leadership team believes that Senate Republicans’ proposed deeper cuts to Medicaid can’t pass the House,“ Punchbowl News reports.
“Johnson wasn’t consulted on the Senate’s dramatic changes to the House crackdown on Medicaid provider taxes.”
Trump Privately Approved of Attack Plans for Iran
“President Trump told senior aides late Tuesday that he approved of attack plans for Iran, but was holding off to see if Tehran would abandon its nuclear program,” the Wall Street Journal reports.
“Iran’s well-defended Fordow enrichment facility is a possible U.S. target; it is buried under a mountain and generally considered by military experts to be out of reach of all but the most powerful bombs.”
Earlier Wednesday, Trump told reporters: “I may do it. I may not do it. I mean, nobody knows what I’m going to do.”
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