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Does Trump Actually Know What’s Happening?

October 6, 2025 at 8:54 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Hours before President Trump ordered 200 Oregon National Guard members into what he called “war-ravaged Portland,” he admitted he might not be getting accurate information from his own team.

In an interview with NBC News, Trump described a conversation with Oregon Gov. Tina Kotek (D), saying she had told him that conditions on the ground were far calmer than the chaos portrayed to him by his aides.

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Trump Is a Wrecking Ball to the Rule of Law

October 6, 2025 at 8:13 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Before the election, we surveyed the legal establishment about what a second Trump term could mean for the rule of law. A year later, they’re very, very worried.”

Roy Cooper Builds Huge War Chest

October 6, 2025 at 8:10 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Roy Cooper raised $14.5 million during the first 65 days of his campaign — a record-breaking total for a Senate challenger in their first fundraising quarter in one of the most competitive races of 2026,” Politico reports.


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John Larson Gets a Viable Primary Challenger

October 6, 2025 at 8:05 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin raised over $1.2 million in the two months since launching his primary challenge against Rep. John Larson (D-CT),” Axios reports.

“It is a substantial sum sure to put Bronin on a competitive footing with Larson, who has raised over $1 million since January.”

Most Californians Back Early Redistricting

October 6, 2025 at 7:57 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A majority of California voters, 54%, said they support Proposition 50, which would enact a mid-decade redistricting of the state’s congressional map, according to a survey from the firm co/efficient.

A significantly smaller share, 36%, said they oppose it.

Wesley Hunt Jumps Into Texas Senate Race

October 6, 2025 at 7:56 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Wesley Hunt (R-TX) is running for the U.S. Senate in Texas, defying Senate GOP leadership and adding a new element to an already contentious primary campaign, the AP reports.

Hunt’s entry makes it likely the race will extend into a runoff.

Trump’s Tariffs Are Upending Democratic Politics

October 6, 2025 at 7:53 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “Democrats across the country are going all-in on attacking Trump’s global tariffs as they aim to convince voters that they’re serious about tackling the high cost of living. And they are increasingly making their opposition to this president’s trade policy a central piece of their strategy for the midterm elections.”

“It’s a pretty remarkable stance for a party that hasn’t always been high on removing barriers to trade, focusing instead on protecting American workers.”

Dan Drezner: Will Democrats become the party of free trade?

Shutdown Threatens to Drag On as Positions Harden

October 6, 2025 at 7:36 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Buckle in — this shutdown might last a while,” Politico reports.

“With federal agencies closed going into a second workweek, there are vanishingly few signs that a bipartisan breakthrough is imminent. To the contrary, all indications are that leaders in both parties are only digging in deeper, and efforts to forge a compromise among the Senate rank-and-file are so far sputtering.”

NewsNation: Trump aloof as lawmakers fear protracted shutdown.

Trump Won’t Budge on Key Shutdown Demand

October 6, 2025 at 7:34 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Semafor: “Infuriated by Trump’s aggressive use of his executive authority to rescind or withhold money approved by Congress, Democrats put language curbing it in their alternative spending bill. Even some Republicans have joined them in fuming as the president’s budget chief reverses Congress with rescissions or spending freezes in red and blue states.”

“But the chances of Trump signing a bill that cuts his own power are near zero.”

David Hogg Makes First Endorsement Against Incumbent

October 6, 2025 at 7:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“David Hogg, whose vow to target elected Democratic leaders triggered months of party infighting that led to his departure from Democratic National Committee leadership, made his first endorsement against an incumbent House Democrat on Monday,” the Washington Post reports.

“Hogg’s political group, Leaders We Deserve, endorsed state Rep. Donavan McKinney, 33, against incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar, 70, in a largely Democratic Michigan district.”

Supreme Court Returns to Face Trump Tests of Power

October 6, 2025 at 6:45 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“When the nine justices of the Supreme Court return to their raised mahogany bench each year on the first Monday of October, it typically marks the end of a three-month stretch of rest and reflection,” the New York Times reports.

“But this summer’s traditional recess was anything but a cooling-off period.”

“Instead, the justices churned through emergency requests from the Trump administration that sharply divided the court along ideological lines, in a reflection of how much President Trump’s agenda has consumed their calendar.”

Semafor: Trump cases to dominate Supreme Court’s coming term.

French Government Collapses Again

October 6, 2025 at 6:42 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu and his government resigned Monday, deeply exacerbating a French political and economic crisis that is roiling financial markets and casting grave doubts over President Emmanuel Macron’s ability to govern,” Politico reports.

New York Times: “The resignation immediately ratcheted up pressure from opposition parties on the left and far-right that are pushing Mr. Macron to call snap parliamentary elections.”

“Mr. Lecornu, a close ally of Mr. Macron, was appointed less than a month ago. He is the third prime minister to leave office in under a year, a near-unprecedented level of turmoil in France’s modern political history.”

Bloomberg: French premier resigns after Macron’s cabinet gamble backfires.

It’s Hard to See How the Shutdown Ends

October 6, 2025 at 6:35 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Playbook: “The dynamics of this deadlock are fascinating, with Republicans supremely confident in public, believing they hold the moral high ground after putting forward a clean CR for Dems to support — but increasingly anxious in private over the political salience of Dems’ Obamacare demands.”

“Democrats, meanwhile, are nervous about the real-world impact of the shutdown — and painfully aware of their own lack of off-ramp — yet increasingly determined to put up an unprecedented fight… It’s very hard to see how it ends.”

For members: A Shutdown with No Exit Ramp

Democrats Rush to Find Midterms Crime Message

October 6, 2025 at 6:28 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Democrats are pushing their candidates to go on the offense on crime ahead of the 2026 midterms, seeing upside in what’s been one of their weakest electoral issues,” Politico reports.

“A private polling memo that shows potential openings for the party to peel voters away from Republicans on one of their core issues is being distributed to House Democrats and their campaign committees.”

“The battleground-district survey from Global Strategy Group offers a bleak assessment of Democrats’ starting point: 89 percent of the 1,200 likely voters surveyed want their Congress member to take steps to keep them safe, but only 38 percent trust Democrats over Republicans with that task.”

Quote of the Day

October 6, 2025 at 6:24 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“We have to take care of this little gnat that’s on our shoulder called the Democrats.”

— President Trump, speaking to U.S. Navy recruits.

Can Democrats Stay United?

October 6, 2025 at 6:15 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Punchbowl News: “The Senate is scheduled to vote this evening — for the fifth time — on advancing the House-passed bill to fund federal agencies through Nov. 21. There are no indications yet that additional Senate Democrats will vote for the GOP funding measure. Only three have done so up to now.”

“But Senate GOP leaders continue to believe that enough Democratic senators will cross the aisle eventually to pass the Republican CR, so they aren’t abandoning their strategy of forcing successive votes. If Democrats block the measure again, Senate Majority Leader John Thune can set up another vote for Tuesday. If that fails, the next vote wouldn’t be until Thursday…”

“If Republicans maintain their current strategy, Senate Democrats will have to decide at some point whether what they’re fighting for — chiefly, an extension of the Obamacare enhanced premium tax credits — is worth the growing pain of the shutdown. Public polls show that Democrats have the upper hand on messaging, but that could change quickly.”

Judge Blocks Trump from Deploying Any National Guard

October 6, 2025 at 6:11 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A federal judge in Oregon temporarily blocked the deployment of any National Guard under the Trump administration’s control inside Oregon in an emergency hearing Sunday night,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Judge Karin Immergut had said on Saturday that the Trump administration had overstepped its authority and couldn’t deploy Oregon’s National Guard to Portland. She said the same reasoning held for Sunday’s order, which came after the administration sent to Oregon 200 California National Guard troops that were under its command.”

“The Trump administration also authorized the mobilization of up to 400 members of the Texas National Guard for federal protection missions in cities including Portland and Chicago.”

Playbook: “This is fast becoming one of the totemic struggles of the Trump presidency. While Trump’s earlier military deployments to Los Angeles and Washington D.C. had an air of theatrics about them, it’s now become clear the president hopes to normalize the use of the military on American streets to quell protests and enforce his policy agenda.”

Trump Plan Would Limit Disability Benefits

October 5, 2025 at 10:42 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Trump administration is preparing a plan that would make it harder for older Americans to qualify for Social Security disability payments, part of an overhaul of the federal safety net for poor, older and disabled people that could result in hundreds of thousands of people losing benefits,” the Washington Post reports.

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Trickle Down Theory: “Trickle down theory” is a derisive term for the idea that giving benefits to large, powerful people and companies can yield benefits for society as ….

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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