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Ultimatums and Rising Risk

April 7, 2026 at 3:37 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Carolyn Kissane: “Five weeks into the war… the full effects are still unfolding. Markets have not fully absorbed what sustained disruption could mean. Both sides are now signaling a willingness to target the infrastructure that underpins not only energy systems, but civilian life. Power plants, pipelines, ports, and transport networks are no longer clearly off-limits. The logic of escalation points toward symmetry with each strike inviting another, each target expanding the scope of what is considered permissible. This is the precipice.”

“If both sides follow through on their threats, the consequences will not be contained to the Gulf. They will reverberate through energy markets, global trade, and critical infrastructure far beyond the region. And what is being tested is not just access to energy but the resilience of the systems that sustain modern economies.”

Don’t Forget Iran’s Biological Weapons

April 7, 2026 at 3:33 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Stat: “The war with Iran has focused the world’s attention on nuclear weapons and oil. Those risks are real. But there is a third category of danger that the conflict has brought into sharp relief — one that the United States is far less prepared to handle than most people realize.”

“Iran likely has a biological weapons capability. This has been the view of the U.S. government for several years now, predating the second Trump administration…”

“War makes an already serious problem harder. When command structures fracture, when facilities are struck and personnel scatter, the custody of dangerous materials unravels. Dangerous materials don’t secure themselves.”

Iran Says Second Strait Will Close

April 7, 2026 at 2:53 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A senior Iranian source told Reuters: “If the situation gets out of control, Iran’s allies will also close the Bab El-Mandeb Strait.”

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Iran Halts Negotiations with the U.S.

April 7, 2026 at 2:52 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The New York Times reports Iran has stopped efforts to negotiate with the U.S., but Axios reports the U.S. is still claiming progress in the ongoing negotiations.

Schumer Says Trump Is an ‘Extremely Sick Person’

April 7, 2026 at 2:49 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) called the president “an extremely sick person” for his threats to Iran that a “whole civilization may die tonight.”

Iran Told Mediators Arsenal Nowhere Near Depleted

April 7, 2026 at 2:15 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Even before Iran cut off direct diplomacy with the U.S., it was sticking to a hard-line position in negotiations and showed no signs of backing down, the Wall Street Journal reports.

Tehran told Pakistan, which is mediating talks, that it believed it was winning and that it retained 15,000 missiles and 45,000 drones in its arsenal.

Democrats Seek Immediate Vote to Avert ‘World War III’

April 7, 2026 at 2:10 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The House Democratic leadership called for lawmakers to return to Washington immediately to hold a vote to end the Iran war, the Wall Street Journal reports.

The statement, signed by Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries of New York and other top House Democratic lawmakers, said President Trump is “completely unhinged” and that a vote is necessary to stop the president before he “plunges the country into World War III.”

U.S. Claims About the Iran War Contradict Reality

April 7, 2026 at 1:39 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “President Donald Trump has continued to describe the war against Iran as an unqualified success, saying as recently as Monday that the United States was doing ‘unbelievably well,’ while Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said Tehran had been ’embarrassed and humiliated’ by U.S. forces.”

“But Iran’s downing of an F-15E fighter jet and the high-risk rescue operation that ensued showed that Tehran retains the ability to threaten the United States’ military personnel and cast doubt on the statistics Hegseth has promoted in recent weeks, boasting about ‘complete control of Iranian skies’ and ‘uncontested airspace.'”

U.S. Strikes Kharg Island as Trump Raises Iran Threats

April 7, 2026 at 1:36 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Coordinated U.S. and Israeli strikes on military targets in Iran continued methodically on Tuesday, even as President Trump raised his rhetoric threatening the country to apocalyptic levels.”

“The United States launched a series of more than 90 strikes on Kharg Island, Iran’s oil export hub, early Tuesday. A U.S. military official characterized the Kharg strikes as ‘restrikes’ — hitting targets that have been struck before to ensure more damage. He said that the United States was not yet striking Iranian infrastructure on the island, which lies in the Persian Gulf off the country’s southern coast.”

From God’s Chosen One to Antichrist

April 7, 2026 at 1:35 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Aaron Blake: “Twenty-one months ago, Tucker Carlson told the 2024 Republican National Convention that Donald Trump’s survival of an assassination attempt amounted to ‘divine intervention’ — that God had chosen to save Trump because he had a plan for him to lead the country.”

Said Carlson: “Something bigger is going on here.”

“Today, Carlson is offering an almost polar-opposite argument about Trump. He seemed to intimate during his show Monday that Trump might be the antichrist.”

“That rhetorical flourish capped Carlson’s harshest public criticism of Trump to date. While the former Fox News host has been highly critical of the Iran war before — and somewhat more gently critical of Trump the man, at least publicly — the gloves were off on Monday like never before.”

Trump Finds $15 Million for New Archway

April 7, 2026 at 1:33 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

NOTUS: “The White House plans to spend $15 million in National Endowment for the Humanities funds to finance the construction of the massive archway President Donald Trump hopes to build across from the Lincoln Memorial.”

The Fall and Rise of RFK Jr.

April 7, 2026 at 12:12 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Just published: RFK Jr.: The Fall and Rise by Isabel Vincent.

People Magazine has an excerpt: “Fourteen years after RFK Jr.’s second wife died by suicide, a new biography reveals harrowing details of their bitter split and the secrets found in his diaries.” 

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Keep an Eye on the Pizza Index Tonight

April 7, 2026 at 12:02 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Pentagon Pizza Index says an increase in pizza orders to the Pentagon is a leading indicator for major events and is “supported by historical anecdotes and modern traffic data.”

“Spikes frequently coincide with elevated watch or major news. Like any single indicator, it’s best read in context with other signals.”

Bill Gates to Be Interviewed by House Oversight

April 7, 2026 at 12:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

CNBC: “Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates will sit for an interview about Jeffrey Epstein by the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee on June 10.”

Gas Prices Could Soon Top $5 a Gallon

April 7, 2026 at 11:20 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

JP Morgan warns that if Iran’s blockade of the Strait of Hormuz continues for another couple weeks, it may lead to nationwide gas prices above $5 a gallon, Yahoo Finance reports.

Trump’s Working Class Support Is Waning

April 7, 2026 at 10:43 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new survey finds that approximately 20% of 2024 Trump voters may not vote Republican in 2028, and that almost 57% of voters who switched from Biden in 2020 to Trump in 2024 are considering abandoning the Republican party in 2028.

Trump Raises Greenland Dispute as He Assails NATO

April 7, 2026 at 10:39 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Bloomberg: “President Donald Trump revisited his grievances with the North Atlantic Treaty Organization over Greenland as he expressed fresh frustration with the security alliance’s stance on the Iran war.”

Said Trump: “It all began with, if you want to know the truth, Greenland. We want Greenland. They don’t want to give it to us. And I said, ‘bye, bye.’””

Bonus Quote of the Day

April 7, 2026 at 10:38 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“If I had my choice, what would I like to do? Take the oil, because it’s there for the taking. There’s not a thing they can do about it.”

— President Trump, quoted by Bloomberg.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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