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Officials to Decide Fate of Disputed House District

February 18, 2019 at 9:35 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“North Carolina’s board of elections will dig into fraud allegations in the state’s disputed 9th Congressional District on Monday, kicking off hearings that could prompt a new election this year,” Politico reports.

“The district has gone without a congressman this year after the board declined to certify the 2018 election results amid accusations that McCrae Dowless, an operative hired by Republican Mark Harris’ campaign consultants, organized an illegal scheme to collect and mark absentee ballots. Harris led Democrat Dan McCready by 905 votes on election night, but both candidates spent the next three months in political limbo.”

Tax Refund Fiasco Is Political Payback For Republicans

February 18, 2019 at 9:31 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Republicans boasted all last year that their new tax law boosted paychecks and showered bonuses on several million workers,” the HuffPost reports.

“But now that tax season is upon us, several million Americans are getting a nasty surprise: a bill from the Internal Revenue Service that they never expected.”

Record High Name Government as Biggest Problem

February 18, 2019 at 9:26 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Gallup poll finds 35% of Americans name the government, poor leadership or politicians as the greatest problem facing the United States.

“This is the highest percentage Gallup has recorded for this concern, edging out the previous high of 33% during the 2013 federal government shutdown.”


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Who Is the Most Popular Democrat Running for President?

February 18, 2019 at 9:23 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The following post for members is by G. Elliot Morris of The Crosstab.

In the 2020 nomination cycle, it’s really far too early for us to be using polls to predict who is going to win the most votes. After all, the Iowa Caucuses are more than eleven months away and the Democratic National Convention is roughly a year and a half away. As I wrote for The Economist last week, polls at this point in past cycles have predicted the eventual winner about 1/5th of the time, and polls are significantly worse in crowded fields even if you control for name recognition.

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Exchange of the Day

February 18, 2019 at 8:50 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former acting FBI Director Andrew McCabe was interviewed on 60 Minutes by Scott Pelley:

MCCABE: The president — launched into — several unrelated diatribes. One of those was commenting on the recent missile launches by the government of North Korea. And, essentially, the president said he did not believe that the North Koreans had the capability to hit us here with ballistic missiles in the United States. And he did not believe that because President Putin had told him they did not. President Putin had told him that the North Koreans don’t actually have those missiles.

PELLEY: And U.S. intelligence was telling the president what?

MCCABE: Intelligence officials in the briefing responded that that was not consistent with any of the intelligence our government possesses to which the president replied, “I don’t care. I believe Putin.”

Trump responded on Twitter: “Wow, so many lies by now disgraced acting FBI Director Andrew McCabe. He was fired for lying, and now his story gets even more deranged.”

Trump Playbook for Mueller Won’t Work on New York Feds

February 18, 2019 at 8:36 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “Even as speculation mounts that special counsel Robert Mueller might be winding down his investigation, a parallel threat to President Trump only seems to be growing within his own Justice Department: the Southern District of New York.”

“Manhattan-based federal prosecutors can challenge Trump in ways Mueller can’t. They have jurisdiction over the president’s political operation and businesses — subjects that aren’t protected by executive privilege, a tool Trump is considering invoking to block portions of Mueller’s report.”

“Legal circles are also buzzing over whether SDNY might buck DOJ guidance and seek to indict a sitting president.”

Biden’s Early Polling Lead May Be Shaky

February 18, 2019 at 8:35 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “While most polls show the former vice president hovering around 30 percent of the Democratic primary vote, well ahead of second-place Sen. Bernie Sanders, two recent surveys paint a starkly different picture — raising the question of whether Biden is a real front-runner or just has big name-recognition. Those polls show far more Democratic voters undecided about which candidate to support, and they pegged Biden’s backing at a much less intimidating 9 to 12 percent.”

Most Americans Would Fail Citizenship Test

February 18, 2019 at 8:31 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A majority of Americans in every state except Vermont would fail a test based on the questions in the U.S. citizenship test, according to Woodrow Wilson National Fellowship Foundation survey.

“It suggests most Americans can’t live up to the standards we set for people applying to be U.S. citizens — and we set those standards because we expect Americans to be informed and engaged. Only four out of 10 Americans would have passed the test, and just 27% of those under age 45.”

Remote Option Would Increase Iowa Caucus Turnout

February 18, 2019 at 8:14 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A new effort to let Iowans virtually caucus for president could expand participation in the 2020 Democratic caucuses by almost a third,” a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.

“The results show that 21 percent of Iowans say they will definitely or probably participate in the 2020 Democratic caucuses. Eight percent initially said they were unlikely to caucus for Democrats in person, but also say they would definitely or probably participate if they had the option to do so remotely.”

Abe Won’t Confirm Trump Nobel Prize Nomination

February 18, 2019 at 8:08 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe wouldn’t say Monday whether he nominated President Trump for a Nobel Peace Prize for negotiating with North Korea, even though local media reports suggest that he did,” the Washington Post reports.

“Trump said Friday that Abe had personally given him ‘the most beautiful copy’ of a five-page nomination letter recommending him for the prize for opening talks with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un and lowering tensions.”

“But Abe wouldn’t confirm that Monday.”

7 Lawmakers Resign from British Labour Party

February 18, 2019 at 7:59 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Seven British members of parliament resigned from the Labour Party in protest at Jeremy Corbyn’s approach to Brexit and anti-Semitism, the BBC reports.

Obama Quietly Gives Advice to 2020 Hopefuls

February 18, 2019 at 5:43 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A secret meeting of former President Barack Obama’s financial backers convened in Washington early this month: Organized by David Jacobson and John Phillips, Mr. Obama’s former ambassadors to Canada and Italy, the group interviewed an array of 2020 presidential candidates and debated whether to throw their wealth behind one or two of them,” the New York Times reports.

“Mr. Obama had no role in the event, but it unfolded in his political shadow: As presidential hopefuls like Senators Kamala Harris, Cory Booker, Amy Klobuchar and Sherrod Brown auditioned before them, the donors wondered aloud whether Mr. Obama might signal a preference in the race.”

McCabe Hints At ‘Inappropriate’ Relationship with Russia

February 17, 2019 at 10:23 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Former acting FBI Director Andrew McCabe hinted at an “inappropriate relationship” between President Trump and Russia during a wide-ranging interview on CBS’ ’60 Minutes’ that has already sparked calls for a congressional investigation,” USA Today reports.

“McCabe said the FBI had reasonable cause to open a counterintelligence investigation into Trump’s connection with the Russian government, a potential national security threat, following the firing of then-FBI Director James Comey in May 2017.”

Graham Says Border Wall More Important than Schools

February 17, 2019 at 6:42 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) told CBS News that middle school children in Kentucky would be better off if funds that would otherwise have gone to building new schools were used for a border wall. 

Said Graham: “It’s better for the middle school kids in Kentucky to have a secure border. We’ll get them the school they need, but right now we’ve got a national emergency.”

Governing to the Brink

February 17, 2019 at 6:35 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A senior government official who was involved in the spending negotiations over the past few weeks told Jonathan Swan the experience taught them something disturbing.

Said the official: “We’re going to go to the edge on everything.”

“The White House has just gotten through a spending fight that pushed Congress — and the federal workforce affected by the shutdown — to the brink. But even uglier skirmishes are imminent, including whether to raise the federal government’s debt limit and break Congress’ self-imposed budget caps.”

The Go-It-Alone Presidency

February 17, 2019 at 6:32 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Swan: “Shortly after becoming President Trump’s acting chief of staff, Mick Mulvaney conveyed a blunt message to several Cabinet secretaries. According to a senior White House official with direct knowledge and another source briefed on the private conversations, Mulvaney told the Cabinet officials that their ‘highest priority’ over the next year would be deregulation.”

Said one senior official: “We knew there was one thing we could do without legislation… Dereg is going to be top of the list.”

Stephen Miller Grilled on Emergency Declaration

February 17, 2019 at 11:28 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Fox News host Chris Wallace relentlessly pushed Trump senior adviser Stephen Miller on Donald Trump‘s declaration of a national emergency on Sunday, and nailed him particularly hard by repeatedly asking for a single example of another president who has done what Trump has done,” Mediate reports.

“Wallace was all over Miller, challenging him to provide some explanation for how Trump’s national emergency is a national emergency, when Trump himself essentially admitted it wasn’t a national emergency. And when Miller tried to fend off the questions with talking points, Wallace peppered him with followups.”

Anthony Weiner Released from Prison

February 17, 2019 at 11:22 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Convicted ex-congressman Anthony Weiner has been sprung from prison — and is now part of a federal re-entry program in New York,” the New York Post reports.

TMZ: “Weiner’s now in pre-release status, which inmates often get as they approach the end of their federal sentence. The purpose is to prepare them to transition back into society.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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