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Howard Lutnick May Be the Fall Guy If Tariffs Go Wrong

April 1, 2025 at 6:53 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump is struggling to message a scattered economic agenda, but his Commerce secretary, Howard Lutnick, is taking the blame,” Politico reports.

“White House and administration officials, as well as Trump’s outside allies, are growing increasingly frustrated with Lutnick, privately complaining about the close proximity he has to the president and the counsel he is giving him on economic issues.”

“It’s an exasperation compounded by recent television appearances, they say, that suggest a lack of understanding of even the basics about how tariffs and the economy work. He has also at multiple points over the last week gotten out in front of the president on announcements and contradicted his messaging.”

Trump Says He Settled on ‘Liberation Day’ Tariff Plan

April 1, 2025 at 6:50 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump said that he had settled on a plan for his latest batch of tariffs expected this week but didn’t reveal what he had decided, after his economic team struggled to coalesce around a remade U.S. trade strategy,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The debate behind closed doors highlighted the conflicting priorities of the president. The biggest one: He wants to both raise revenue with tariffs and use them as leverage to get other nations to lower their own duties, or make other policy changes. But if tariffs are subject to negotiation, and could be lowered over time, that would raise doubts about how much revenue could ultimately be expected from their imposition.”

Wisconsin Republicans Have a Turnout Problem

April 1, 2025 at 6:47 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Split Ticket: “Although we will not be releasing a model for this race, the early vote data we have extensively analyzed and modeled suggests Democratic-aligned liberal judge Susan Crawford is a clear favorite to win this election.”

“While the GOP-aligned conservative Brad Schimel certainly could pull off an upset (and it would be foolish to rule him out this early), the early vote suggests that this would be a monumental feat for him, and he is staring down the barrel of an immense deficit that he is unlikely to overturn on election day.”

“The early vote data shows that even relative to 2024, Democrats are significantly more likely to show up than Republicans are — and in a state that Donald Trump won by less than a percentage point in 2024, this makes the GOP’s job much harder.”

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Elon Musk Has Fueled the Backlash Against Trump

April 1, 2025 at 6:42 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Martin: “There’s little that congressional Republicans and their counterparts in state capitals can do about Trump and his insistence on pushing inflation-spiking tariffs. He grips his party like no modern president, and they must accommodate every impulse.”

“However, Musk has turbocharged the backlash to Trump and accelerated the revival of demoralized Democrats and independents appalled by the billionaire’s cavalier attempt to slash the federal government. If they don’t push the White House to cut Musk loose, Republicans are tempting a replay of 2017 and 2018, when Democrats scored gains in Trump’s first term, but with twin targets for the left this time.”

Playbook: “The world’s richest man polls appallingly, and his comments about benefits like Social Security have given Dems an easy message to sell.”

Trump 2.0’s First Electoral Tests

April 1, 2025 at 6:36 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Playbook: “Millions of voters can head to the polls today to cast the first official verdict on Donald Trump’s second term as president. But this being April in an off-year, today’s elections will likely be decidedly low-turnout affairs — even as their outcomes will take on outsize importance in the national conversation.”

“Voters across the swing state of Wisconsin and in two deep-red Florida congressional districts will cast their votes in elections which should provide the first meaningful gauge of the public mood since Trump’s inauguration. Forget all the noise of the past 72 days — today, we’ll see some real democracy in action.”

New York Times: What to watch in Tuesday’s big elections in Wisconsin and Florida.

Republicans Openly Fret About Trump’s Tariffs

April 1, 2025 at 6:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Punchbowl News: “President Donald Trump is on the brink of levying a sweeping set of new tariffs against an unidentified number of countries. Trump’s actions are rattling financial markets, business leaders and foreign officials.”

“Now House and Senate Republicans are beginning to feel anxious about what Trump is up to.”

Said Sen. Ron Johnson (R-WI): “It’s a high-risk move on his part. I don’t know what his strategy is, but you look at what the market’s reaction is — I have a similar kind of reaction. I’m concerned.”

‘Administrative Error’ Sends Father to Salvadoran Prison

March 31, 2025 at 11:08 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Trump administration acknowledged in a court filing Monday that it had grabbed a Maryland father with protected legal status and mistakenly deported him to El Salvador, but said that U.S. courts lack jurisdiction to order his return from the megaprison where he’s now locked up,” The Atlantic reports.

Mike Lindell Floats Possible Run for Governor

March 31, 2025 at 11:02 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

MAGA election conspiracy theorist and MyPillow founder Mike Lindell is teasing a bid for governor of Minnesota, Politico reports.

Said Lindell: “I live here in Minnesota. Everywhere I go, no one wants Tim Walz. They don’t.”

Some Republicans Seek Tariff Exemptions

March 31, 2025 at 10:59 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A number of congressional Republicans are publicly voicing concern over the potential for a prolonged trade war and its effect on American farmers as President Donald Trump prepares to announce a new wave of tariffs,” NBC News reports.

“Trump is expected to impose duties as early as Wednesday on imports from all countries in a move that could hit the agriculture community particularly hard. Several GOP lawmakers on Capitol Hill are seeking last-minute carveouts to blunt the impact of those tariffs.”

Cory Booker Begins Marathon Speech

March 31, 2025 at 9:31 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) on Monday evening took to the Senate floor to speak as long as he is “physically able” in protest of actions taken by President Trump’s administration, The Hill reports.

Said Booker, on X: “I’ve taken the Senate floor and will speak for as long as I’m physically able to lift the voices of Americans who are being harmed and not being heard in this moment of crisis.”

The Largest Tax Hike in World History

March 31, 2025 at 8:09 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Telegraph: “If tariffs do raise $600 billion annually, that is no small sum of money, even for an enormous economy like the United States.”

“For context, the U.S. government raises $4.9 trillion a year in tax revenue, so if Navarro is right the tariffs will add a little under 15 percent to that total. It would be more than the $424 billion the government raises from corporate taxes annually. Tariffs would be turned into the third largest source of government revenue, after federal income taxes, which account for just over 50 percent of the total, and social security or payroll taxes, which account for around 30 percent.”

In effect, it would be the largest tax rise any president has ever imposed, and trigger a huge shift in how the federal government raises money.

Democrats Privately Worried About Biden’s Frailties

March 31, 2025 at 7:59 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Democratic Party officials and White House staffers were well aware of former President Biden’s frailties ahead of his choice to end his ill-fated reelection bid last summer, The Hill reports.

From a new book, Fight: “Publicly, Democrats scoffed at Republican claims that Biden wasn’t up to the job. But privately, some of them worried all along that they were putting too much stock in an old man who, at best, had long since lost his fastball.”

Tara Palmeri, who interviewed the authors, notes Rep. Nancy Pelosi and senior White House official Anita Dunn tried to convince Biden not to debate Donald Trump in June, “because they knew he wasn’t up to it.”

Fight: Inside the Wildest Battle for the White House
Fight: Inside the Wildest Battle for the White House
  • Amazon Kindle Edition
  • Allen, Jonathan (Author)
  • English (Publication Language)
  • 326 Pages - 04/01/2025 (Publication Date) - William Morrow (Publisher)
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Extra Bonus Quote of the Day

March 31, 2025 at 6:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“It’s gonna be a slow pain first before we get the gain.”

— Sen. Tommy Tuberville (R-AL), discussing tariffs on Fox Business.

Joe Rogan Slams Trump’s Deportations to El Salvador

March 31, 2025 at 5:48 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Joe Rogan said it’s “horrific” that innocent people could be getting swept up in the Trump administration’s effort to deport gang members and send them to El Salvador’s notoriously dangerous mega-prison, The Hill reports.

Said Rogan: “The thing is, like, you got to get scared that people who are not criminals are getting, like, lassoed up and deported and sent to, like, El Salvador prisons.”

He added: “It’s horrific. It’s horrific.”

Judge Blocks Deportation of Venezuelans

March 31, 2025 at 5:43 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A federal judge has barred the Trump administration from ending “temporary protected status” for 350,000 Venezuelan nationals — which was slated to expire next week, Politico reports.

Shooter Believed He Was Fulfilling Trump’s Wishes

March 31, 2025 at 5:30 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Patrick Crusius believed he was acting at the direction of President Donald Trump when he murdered 23 people and wounded 22 others at an El Paso Walmart in 2019,” El Paso Matters reports.

Said defense attorney Joe Spencer: “He thought he had to stop the invasion because that’s what his president was telling him… He thought, if he doesn’t do it, then nobody’s going to do it. He’s got to start.”

Tim Walz Says He Warned Kamala Harris

March 31, 2025 at 5:26 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Minnesota Governor Tim Walz (D) told New York Magazine he warned former Vice President Kamala Harris of his strengths and weaknesses when she chose him as her 2024 running mate.

Said Walz: “I think we’re cautious by nature. And look, I said this and I told the vice-president, I said I know my strengths and weaknesses. I said about 90 percent of the time, I can be really good, but about 10 percent of the time, I can be a train wreck because I’m speaking from the heart, like a teacher sitting in a teachers lounge or a laborer sitting at the break table.”

The Proud Boys and Militias Come to Tesla’s Defense

March 31, 2025 at 5:06 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wired: “Over the weekend, thousands of people joined the ‘Tesla Takedown’ protest movement at the company’s showrooms across the country. At the same time, a much smaller number of Elon Musk supporters turned out at Tesla locations for a counterprotest movement that some participants dubbed ‘Tesla Shield.'”

“While the protest movement comprises people angered at Elon Musk’s role in the dismantling of federal government agencies, the counterprotest movement that showed up this weekend was peopled mostly by MAGA supporters. Among them were an array of far-right extremists, including members of the Proud Boys, armed militias, and at one event in Idaho, a guy dressed as Hitler.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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