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Trump Has No Credibility on Immigration

January 8, 2019 at 10:35 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

James Hohmann: “As he prepares to make the case for a wall during a televised speech from the Oval Office tonight and with a trip to Texas on Thursday, President Trump has already made more false or misleading claims about immigration than any other subject.”

“Through the end of 2018, The Washington Post Fact Checker team documented 7,645 false or misleading claims made by Trump since taking office. Of those, 1,130 were about immigration. Claims about foreign policy and trade tied for second, with 822 claims, followed by claims about the economy (768).”

“The last week has brought a stream of additional falsehoods on the topic that’s defined his term as much as any other — and prompted a partial government shutdown now in its 18th day.”

First Read: “Being president may give you the right to ask networks for time for an Oval Office address. But on immigration — perhaps more than on any other issue — Trump is far from having earned the benefit of the doubt from the American people.”

Kamala Harris Has a New Memoir

January 8, 2019 at 10:30 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Los Angeles Times: “The book, timed for release as rival Democrats are launching their campaigns, aims to introduce Harris as uniquely positioned to fight for civil and economic rights: as a child of immigrants from India and Jamaica who rose to the top of their fields; as a prosecutor who forced law enforcement agencies resistant to change to confront racial bias; and as a political crusader who defied pressure from colleagues and forced more money out of the nation’s most powerful banks to compensate homeowners in the aftermath of the mortgage crisis.”

NPR: “So is it a great book? No. No, it is not. But that’s not a particularly interesting question, as campaign books are rarely great reads. The question is whether it’s an effective book. On that count, Harris is more successful.”

Networks Agree to Carry Trump’s Address Live

January 8, 2019 at 10:04 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The major television networks said that they will provide wall-to-wall coverage of President Trump’s prime time address on border security on Tuesday,” CNN reports.

“NBC, ABC, CBS, PBS and Fox broadcast network all said on Monday that they had agreed to the White House’s request for air time. CNN, Fox News and MSNBC will all carry the address live, as well.”

“Following news that the networks would air Trump’s immigration address, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer said in a joint statement that they should be given an equal amount of time to respond.”

Trump’s Timing Is Suspect

January 8, 2019 at 9:29 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

First Read: “One big question about tonight’s address: Why exactly is the president giving this address now? Immigration was Trump’s signature issue during the campaign, so why not try to make this case in his first year as president? Or at least at the start of the shutdown rather than 18 days into it? No part of this feels well timed, and — more than anything — it seems to be a tell that Republicans are getting squeamish about the political consequences of the current impasse.”

“Our other question, by the way: If Trump is really prepared to announce an emergency order to build the wall, then why is the government still shut down? If the White House has any hope of selling the border situation as a true crisis requiring an immediate emergency response, don’t they also have to reopen the government immediately? It’s hard to argue that it’s a true emergency but also not serious enough to need a federal government (including the Department of Homeland Security!) that’s operating at full strength.”

Air Travelers Begin to Feel Impact of Shutdown

January 8, 2019 at 8:49 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Associated Press: “Over the weekend, some airports had long lines at checkpoints, apparently caused by a rising number of security officers calling in sick while they are not getting paid. Safety inspectors aren’t even on the job. A Federal Aviation Administration spokesman said Monday that inspectors are being called back to work on a case-by-case basis, with a priority put on inspecting airline fleets.”

White House Braces for ‘Team of Vipers’

January 8, 2019 at 7:56 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump is curious — and White House aides, alumni and reporters are anxious — ahead of the Jan. 29 publication of the tightly embargoed Team of Vipers, a delicious, unsparing memoir by former Trump aide Cliff Sims,” Axios reports.

“ABC News has won a fiercely competitive effort to score the first broadcast interview with Sims, whose book deal was seven figures.”

Trump’s New Urgency on the Shutdown

January 8, 2019 at 7:51 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“White House officials are increasingly concerned that the impending real-world effects of the shutdown could swamp Republicans if they don’t find a way to make a deal fast,” according to Jonathan Swan.

“Trump’s prime-time address at 9:00 ET tonight, his first from the Oval Office, is part of an urgent P.R. strategy designed to make up for what some Republican officials feel was a languid use of the president’s bully pulpit over the holidays.”

“Trump aides realize the situation could slip away from them politically as the impact is felt by taxpayers and federal workers across America.”

U.S. Spends Twice as Much on Health Care

January 8, 2019 at 7:11 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Americans spend more than twice as much on health care per person as their peers in developed nations, according to a new analysis from Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health,” CNN reports.

“It’s not because people in the US use more medical services. Instead, it’s because drugs cost more, doctors and nurses are paid better, hospital administration is more expensive and many medical services have higher price tags, the study found.”

U.S. Carbon Emissions Surged in 2018

January 8, 2019 at 7:06 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“America’s carbon dioxide emissions rose by 3.4 percent in 2018, the biggest increase in eight years,” the New York Times reports.

“Strikingly, the sharp uptick in emissions occurred even as a near-record number of coal plants around the United States retired last year, illustrating how difficult it could be for the country to make further progress on climate change in the years to come, particularly as the Trump administration pushes to roll back federal regulations that limit greenhouse gas emissions.”

U.S. Downgraded European Union’s Diplomatic Status

January 8, 2019 at 7:01 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Trump administration downgraded the diplomatic status of the European Union’s delegation to the United States last year without making a formal announcement or informing the bloc about the change,” the New York Times reports.

“After protest from Brussels and discussion between the European Union and the Trump administration, the reclassification of the delegation and the consequent demotion of the ambassador, David O’Sullivan, is understood to have been reversed, at least temporarily.”

Trump Eyes Untested Emergency Power to Fund Wall

January 8, 2019 at 6:56 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump “is eager to invoke a national emergency to bypass an unwilling Congress and build a border wall, according to two people familiar with his thinking, a dramatic move that would test the limits of presidential power,” Bloomberg reports.

“Whether he exercises emergency powers depends on whether his lawyers conclude it’s a legally defensible move. And that may hinge on the interpretation of an obscure legal provision allowing the Defense Department to shift military construction funds during a crisis.”

“Some White House insiders believe Trump may act even if the move is sure to face a legal challenge — raising the stakes in a partial federal government shutdown that is stretching into its 18th day.”

Lawfare looks at the legal justification for invoking emergency powers.

Trump Now Claims ‘Humanitarian Crisis’ at Border

January 8, 2019 at 6:43 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Playbook: “The White House is increasingly positioning the situation at the southern border as a global humanitarian crisis of epic proportions, for which the same old solutions will not be sufficient. Sure, they’re still talking about the wall — on which they are demanding Congress spend $5.7 billion — but this new line of thinking is taking increased prominence. Expect to hear it tonight from President Trump during his address to the nation.”

“The administration is trying to shove off the politics of the wall, and turn the focus to what they consider the humanitarian impact. Basically, the administration is trying to move the narrative away from politics and to national security, even though this issue has been — and continues to be — part and parcel to Trump’s political rallying cry.”

Pelosi Cranks Up Pressure on Republicans Over Shutdown

January 8, 2019 at 6:35 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) and House Democrats are ramping up pressure on President Trump and Republicans to open the government amid a prolonged impasse over border wall funding that shows no signs of abating,” The Hill reports.

“Sensing a winning hand, Democrats this week will repackage a handful of uncontroversial bills funding a number of shuttered agencies — excluding Homeland Security, which covers the proposed wall — and send them off to the Senate one by one, forcing GOP leaders to explain their promised inaction on measures they supported just weeks ago.”

Playbook: “There is a growing fear that Republicans will begin getting frustrated with the White House’s position, and will vote with Democrats to open government. Pence said the administration is in touch with Republicans, and he’ll be on the Hill briefing people today.”

Republicans Dig for Dirt on O’Rourke

January 8, 2019 at 6:18 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Republicans are feverishly digging into Beto O’Rourke’s past, a sign they view the former Texas congressman as a potential threat if he wins the Democratic presidential nomination,” The Hill reports.

“GOP organizations and political action committees have spent recent weeks delving into multiple areas of O’Rourke’s life, from his voting record to a drunken driving arrest in 1998.”

Mitt Romney Gets Chilly Reception from GOP Senators

January 8, 2019 at 6:14 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “When Romney heads into his first Republican Conference meeting later this week, he might face an awkward reception from many of his fellow Republican senators. Some are scratching their heads about why Romney ripped Trump in a Washington Post op-ed; others are angry about reopening an intraparty divide. And it could color how Senate Republicans view Romney over the long term, raising questions about his effectiveness in the GOP conference.”

Mueller’s To-Do List for 2019

January 8, 2019 at 5:55 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Garrett Graff: “Last Friday, just like Punxsutawney Phil, DC District Court judge Beryl Howell emerged from her chambers, saw her shadow, and announced six more months of Bob Mueller. Judge Howell’s extension of Mueller’s grand jury, which was set to expire over the weekend, was widely expected—the special counsel’s office has made clear in recent weeks that it has plenty of unfinished business—but the extension underscores just how much work is still left in Mueller’s probe.”

“In fact, surveying the 2019 landscape anew after a flurry of near-daily investigation revelations in the month following Thanksgiving makes clear that Mueller’s investigation has a packed agenda still ahead (not to mention a final report to write).”

Erdogan Snubs John Bolton

January 8, 2019 at 5:46 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

U.S. National Security Adviser John Bolton “is set to depart Turkey without meeting with President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, in an apparent snub over disagreements about Kurdish fighters in Syria,” the AP reports.

“A U.S. official had said over the weekend that the two were expected to have consultations on Tuesday about the fate of Kurds allied with the United States in Syria as part of discussions about President Trump’s troop draw-down from the country.”

Ex-Felons In Florida Can Now Vote

January 8, 2019 at 5:25 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Tuesday is a historic day in Florida. Under an amendment passed by the voters in November, as many as 1.4 million former felons are regaining the right to vote. The referendum overturned a 150-year-old law that permanently disenfranchised people with felony convictions,” NPR reports.

“Before the change, people who served their time could apply for clemency to a board headed by the governor. But the cumbersome process and a multiyear backlog meant that only a small percentage applied.”

“As a result, more than 10 percent of Florida’s adult population was not eligible to vote.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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