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Ryan May Emerge Stronger After Sparring with Trump

September 10, 2017 at 6:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Paul Ryan rode to power two years ago like a hero on a white horse, a reluctant candidate for House speaker elected to heal wounds left by his predecessor, who could not tame the incessant infighting between hard-line conservatives and establishment Republicans,” the New York Times reports.

“In one of his first real tests, Mr. Ryan discovered last week that those old wounds can reopen fast. But in President Trump, his mercurial partner in the White House, the speaker deftly found a foil to deflect some of the anger that had felled the man he succeeded, John Boehner.”

“President Trump’s fiscal deal with Democratic leaders in Congress — which passed the House with more than a third of Republicans voting against it — infuriated House conservatives, who struck first at Mr. Ryan, but ultimately turned their ire on the Trump White House. By week’s end, the men feeling the lash were Mr. Trump’s Treasury secretary and budget director. If anything, Mr. Ryan may have emerged stronger.”

7 Pivotal Supreme Court Decisions

September 10, 2017 at 12:21 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Out this month: Supreme Power: 7 Pivotal Supreme Court Decisions That Had a Major Impact on America by Ted Stewart.

Clinton Will Not Run for Office Again

September 10, 2017 at 11:26 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Hillary Clinton told CBS News that she will not pursue the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination.

Said Clinton: “I am done with being a candidate.”

But she added: “I am not done with politics because I literally believe that our country’s future is at stake.”


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McCain Admits His Fight for Health Will Be Tough

September 10, 2017 at 11:20 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) acknowledged the severity of his cancer prognosis, saying in his first national interview since receiving the diagnosis that it is the latest test in a lifetime of tough fights, CNN reports.

Said McCain: “I’m facing a challenge, but I’ve faced other challenges. And I’m very confident about getting through this one as well.”

Quote of the Day

September 10, 2017 at 8:08 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“This is the time to talk about climate change. This is the time that the president and the EPA and whoever makes decisions needs to talk about climate change. If this isn’t climate change, I don’t know what is. This is a truly, truly poster child for what is to come.”

— Miami Mayor Tomás Regalado (R), quoted by the Miami Herald, criticizing the Trump administration for denying the connection between climate change and increasingly destructive storms.

California Could Shake Up the 2020 Race

September 10, 2017 at 7:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“California is pushing forward with a plan to change the state’s primary date from June to March, a move that could scramble the 2020 presidential nominating contest and swing the early weight of the campaign to the west,” Politico reports.

“If adopted by the legislature this week — as is widely expected — and signed into law by Gov. Jerry Brown, the early primary would allocate California’s massive haul of delegates just after the nation’s first contests in Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina.”

“The earlier primary could benefit at least two potential presidential contenders from California — U.S. Sen. Kamala Harris and Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti — while jeopardizing the prospects of other candidates who will struggle to raise enough early money to compete in expensive media markets in the nation’s most populous state.”

Trump Upends 150 Years of Two-Party Rule

September 10, 2017 at 7:34 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Although elected as a Republican last year, Mr. Trump has shown in the nearly eight months in office that he is, in many ways, the first independent to hold the presidency since the advent of the current two-party system around the time of the Civil War.”

“In recent weeks, he has quarreled more with fellow Republicans than with the opposition, blasting congressional leaders on Twitter, ousting former party officials in his White House, embracing primary challenges to incumbent lawmakers who defied him and blaming Republican figures for not advancing his policy agenda.”

Trump Looking at Deploying ‘Mini-Nukes’

September 9, 2017 at 6:45 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Trump administration is considering proposing smaller, more tactical nuclear weapons that would cause less damage than traditional thermonuclear bombs — a move that would give military commanders more options but could also make the use of atomic arms more likely,” Politico reports.

“Approval of such weapons — whether designed to be delivered by missile, aircraft or special forces — would mark a major reversal from the Obama administration, which sought to limit reliance on nuclear arms and prohibited any new weapons or military capabilities. And critics say it would only make the actual use of atomic arms more likely.”

A Billionaire’s Ambition

September 9, 2017 at 6:28 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Out next week: Bloomberg: A Billionaire’s Ambition by Chris McNickle.

“The story of how one of America’s most successful entrepreneurs was elected mayor of New York City and what he did with the power he won.”

Extra Bonus Quote of the Day

September 9, 2017 at 2:39 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The House has been more productive than any Congress in the modern era.”

— Speaker Paul Ryan (R-WI), in an interview with Fox News.

$100K on Facebook Ads Could Go a Long Way

September 9, 2017 at 1:07 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Kevin Bingle: “One common response to the news that a Kremlin-linked online operation in Russia bought $100,000 worth of Facebook ads during the 2016 election campaign has been that the money is a drop in the bucket relative to the more than $1 billion spent on ads during the cycle, or the $27 billion in revenue earned by Facebook last year.”

“But as one of a handful of Americans who managed the digital operations of a 2016 presidential campaign, I think $100,000 smartly spent on Facebook could have a much larger reach than you may realize. And more importantly, nobody — not the political pros, or the advertising gurus — truly knows how far a message spreads when Facebook is paid to promote it. The social network still contains many mysteries, even to those pouring millions into it.”

For members: Russian Facebook Ads Were a Rounding Error

You Can’t Spell America Without Me

September 9, 2017 at 1:05 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Out this fall: You Can’t Spell America Without Me: The Really Tremendous Inside Story of My Fantastic First Year as President Donald J. Trump (A So-Called Parody) by Alec Baldwin and Kurt Andersen.

Bonus Quote of the Day

September 9, 2017 at 12:51 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“It makes all of their normalizing and ‘Trumpsplaining’ look silly and hollow. Trump betrays everyone: wives, business associates, contractors, bankers and now, the leaders of the House and Senate in his own party. They can’t explain this away as a 15-dimensional Trump chess game. It’s a dishonest person behaving according to his long-established pattern.”

— GOP strategist Rick Wilson, quoted by the Washington Post, on his party’s congressional leaders.

Special Offer for New Members

September 9, 2017 at 12:50 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard

The authors of Dog Whistles, Walk-Backs, and Washington Handshakes — which was partially inspired by my Political Dictionary — have offered copies of their book as a bonus to those who sign up today for an annual membership.

Act quickly as there are a limited number of copies.

Membership gets you exclusive analysis, new features and no advertising. It’s just $50 a year.

Republicans Struggle to Control Their Own Agenda

September 9, 2017 at 11:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “The debt and spending bill approved by Capitol Hill on Friday averted imminent fiscal disaster, but it’s added more misery for a Republican Party whose agenda has floundered even with unified control of Washington for the first time in a decade. It’s also given Democrats significant leverage to imperil tax reform, the GOP’s best hope at a major legislative victory.”

“Rather than dictating the agenda of Capitol Hill, Republican lawmakers oftentimes find themselves at the whims of a capricious White House, Democrats in the minority and a calendar that’s getting increasingly packed ahead of campaign season next spring. Speaker Paul Ryan predicted in January that tax reform, Obamacare repeal and a border wall would all be done by now. Instead, Obamacare repeal may be completely dead at month’s end, there are just broad strokes on tax reform and many Republicans oppose the border wall being pushed by their own president.”

Trump Rattles His Party

September 9, 2017 at 11:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Republicans fear that Mr. Trump has relinquished his role as leader of the party, instead assuming the mantle of his own political movement. And they are bracing for an election season in which their deeply unpopular president does more to undermine than aid candidates of the party he ostensibly oversees.”

“Such open divisions between a president and elected officials of the same party mark an extraordinary departure from modern political tradition. Even if they feuded at times with their president, lawmakers knew they could ultimately count on the White House to endorse and raise money for incumbents, because controlling as many seats as possible would serve both their interests.”

Key takeaway: “Republicans fear a wave of retirements going into next year. Rep. Dave Trott of Michigan is considering retiring, and another Michigan Republican, Fred Upton, may retire or run for the Senate, according to multiple party officials.”

Will the New Trump Stick?

September 9, 2017 at 10:57 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A Trump adviser tells Mike Allen that after a tumultuous seven months in office, it had finally dawned on the president: “People really fucking hate me.”

“For someone who has spent his life lapping up adulation, however fake, it was a harsh realization. This is a man with an especially acute need for affirmation. This week’s bear hug of Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer opened Trump’s eyes to one solution: Stop doing things that people hate, and start striking deals.”

An important point: “But we can’t overstate the level of despair among Republicans.”

Key Trump Advisers at Odds

September 9, 2017 at 10:56 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Playbook: “OMB Director Mick Mulvaney was thrashed by his former House Republican colleagues yesterday in a closed door meeting, GOP lawmakers called Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin a Democrat and scoffed at his requests and Gary Cohn is still on the outs with President Donald Trump. Those are the three people most intricately involved in tax reform, which the White House wants done by the end of the year.”

Politico: “Rumors of Gary Cohn’s demise in Donald Trump’s White House have swirled for weeks. But Cohn is intent on remaining with the administration to finish tax reform — though it’s unclear how long he would stay beyond its passage.”

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Word of the Day

Balanced Ticket: A balanced ticket is a paring of political party candidates designed to appeal to a broad swathe of the electorate.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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