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Bonus Quote of the Day

November 17, 2016 at 11:47 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Why would the Democrats stubbornly not have an economic message? Sixty-seven white papers don’t make an economic message. Thirty-seven bills you’re going to introduce in the first 100 days do not make an economic message. What we as Democrats really have to deal with is the fact that we didn’t have an economic message.”

— Democratic pollster Celinda Lake, quoted by the Washington Post.

A Campaign Is Much More Than a Database

November 17, 2016 at 11:34 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Matt Bai:  “Clinton’s campaign was effectively nothing but a giant turnout operation, crunching data on reliable Democratic voters while simultaneously keeping the candidate herself from saying anything remotely interesting. She ran on a database, rather than on an argument; the more Trump alienated and motivated her base, the less she felt the need to make any discernible case.”

“The bottom line for Democrats ought to be this: You can’t really count on winning elections without persuading anybody of anything they don’t already believe. You can’t be a truly national party if you need 90 percent of a single minority’s votes just to be competitive (any more than you can be a national party relying only on white voters) …Democrats should find a new story in the months ahead. Because demography by itself isn’t actually destiny, and disdain isn’t much of a strategy, either.”

A Return to America’s Normal Racial Politics?

November 17, 2016 at 11:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Philip Klinkner and Rogers Smith: “Donald Trump’s election as president startled many Americans. A number of observers commented that Trump’s campaign represented a set of illiberal values and policy positions far outside of the United States’ political traditions of individual rights, equality and democracy.”

“But in many ways, Trump represents a return to the historical norm. Such classical liberal values have often not predominated in the United States. In fact, they have always logically competed against — while being politically intertwined with — a set of commitments to hierarchies of race, nationality and religion, among others. Indeed for much of American history, these illiberal values held sway.”


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Sanders Won’t Join the Democratic Party

November 17, 2016 at 10:11 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) won’t officially join the Democratic Party even though he was appointed to a leadership position within the Senate Democratic caucus this week, The Hill reports.

Said Sanders: “I was elected as an Independent and I will finish this term as an Independent.”

Quote of the Day

November 17, 2016 at 10:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I will tell you something I haven’t told anybody else. I’ve had some conversation with some other Republican senators and I’m not the only one with some misgivings over both Giuliani and Bolton. And I haven’t met a Democrat that’s for either one of them. But I’ve met several Republicans that aren’t.”

— Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY), in an interview on Hardball, on who might be the next Secretary of State.

The Map Got More Competitive

November 17, 2016 at 9:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: “Because the 2016 contest was far closer than either 2008 and 2012, the number of states decided by five points or less increased from four in 2012 to 11 in 2016… But the nation’s polarization is still obvious, and only six states flipped from Democratic to Republican (Florida, Iowa, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and probably Michigan) — and none in the opposite direction. At least we can say that the playing field was more broadly competitive, and especially so until the final GOP consolidation behind Trump in late October and early November.”

“For a while in the fall, Arizona, Georgia, Utah, and a few other states appeared to be tightly contested, and even on Election Day Arizona and Georgia ended up being less Republican than Iowa and Ohio. We may be at a time of transition in the Electoral College where the whiter Midwest gets redder and the more diverse Sun Belt gets bluer.”

Fake News Writer Says He’s Responsible for Trump

November 17, 2016 at 8:43 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Washington Post interviews a guy who makes $120K a year writing fake news that gets shared on social media:

Honestly, people are definitely dumber. They just keep passing stuff around. Nobody fact-checks anything anymore — I mean, that’s how Trump got elected. He just said whatever he wanted, and people believed everything, and when the things he said turned out not to be true, people didn’t care because they’d already accepted it. It’s real scary. I’ve never seen anything like it.

My sites were picked up by Trump supporters all the time. I think Trump is in the White House because of me. His followers don’t fact-check anything — they’ll post everything, believe anything. His campaign manager posted my story about a protester getting paid $3,500 as fact. Like, I made that up. I posted a fake ad on Craigslist.

Trump Is the New Normal In American Politics

November 17, 2016 at 8:28 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

First Read: “A week after Donald Trump’s upset presidential victory, a common refrain from liberals and Trump opponents is that he shouldn’t be normalized. Unfortunately for them, voters already normalized Trump — first the GOP voters who gave him the Republican presidential nomination, and then the general-election voters who gave him his Electoral College win. (In the popular vote, however, Trump now trails Hillary Clinton by 1.3 million votes and counting.) So voters have already normalized Trump as the incoming president.”

“Now where Trump critics have a point is that so many of his actions and behavior haven’t been normal, and they deserve scrutiny. The examples: His talk about jailing his opponent; his refusal to release his taxes; his suggestion (before he won) that the results would be rigged; and his disorderly transition with talk of a ‘Stalinesque purge.’ None of THAT is normal. But Trump as president-elect? That is the new normal.”

The Most Talented Politician of Our Time

November 17, 2016 at 7:46 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The following post for members is by David T.S. Jonas, a former economic and labor policy aide to Sen. Al Franken (D-MN).

Back in 2009, when Democrats held a 60-vote majority in the United States Senate, it was easy to make fun of Republican Minority Leader Mitch McConnell. Each morning the Senate was in session, he would dutifully rise to his podium, assert that the American people were against whatever initiative President Obama and the Democrats were pushing, and then sit back down and watch as Majority Leader Harry Reid went to working passing a sweeping Democratic agenda.

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Trump Spent 50% More Time In Battleground States

November 17, 2016 at 7:25 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President-elect Donald Trump heavily out-campaigned his Democratic opponent in the last 100 days of the election, spending roughly 50 percent more time in six key battleground states that pushed him to victory on Nov. 8,” NBC News reports.

“Over the final 100 days of the election, Trump made a total of 133 visits to Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, North Carolina, Michigan and Wisconsin. Over the same time period, Hillary Clinton visited the first five of those states a total of 87 times. She never traveled to Wisconsin during the 102 days between the convention and the election.”

Hatch Defends the Filibuster

November 17, 2016 at 7:17 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Orrin Hatch (R-UT) told the Huffington Post that he doesn’t support ending the filibuster.

Said Hatch: “Are you kidding? I’m one of the biggest advocates for the filibuster. It’s the only way to protect the minority, and we’ve been in the minority a lot more than we’ve been in the majority. It’s just a great, great protection for the minority.”

Democrats May Work with Trump on Key Issues

November 17, 2016 at 7:02 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Congressional Democrats, divided and struggling for a path from the electoral wilderness, are constructing an agenda to align with many proposals of President-elect Donald Trump that put him at odds with his own party,” the New York Times reports.

“On infrastructure spending, child tax credits, paid maternity leave and dismantling trade agreements, Democrats are looking for ways they can work with Mr. Trump and force Republican leaders to choose between their new president and their small-government, free-market principles.”

Wall Street Journal: Trump team makes overtures to key Democrats

Wall Street Celebrates the Trump Era

November 17, 2016 at 6:58 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “A populist candidate who railed against shady financial interests on the campaign trail is now putting together an administration that looks like an investment banker’s dream.”

“Former Goldman Sachs banker Steven Mnuchin has been seen at Trump Tower amid rumors that he’s the leading candidate for Treasury secretary. Billionaire investor Wilbur Ross appears headed to the Commerce Department. Steve Bannon, another Goldman alum, will work steps from the Oval Office. If Mnuchin drops out, as some rumors suggest he may, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon remains a possibility as Treasury secretary, and will serve as an outside adviser if he doesn’t get the job.”

“It’s a restoration of Wall Street power — and a potential flip in the way the industry is regulated — perhaps unparalleled in American history.”

GOP Learns Wrong Lesson from Trump Win

November 17, 2016 at 6:56 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Republican operatives spent four years warning that the party needed to diversify — or risk a blowout at the ballot box. Donald Trump spent the campaign trafficking in divisive racial rhetoric — and he won anyway,” Politico reports.

“Now, those who pushed for a more inclusive GOP fear that their party will absorb the wrong takeaways from Trump’s win, and that the momentum behind efforts to expand the Republican tent to include more minorities and young people has evaporated.”

Trump Seeks Competing Advice

November 16, 2016 at 10:10 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “These seven men, as well as Trump’s adult children and a few others, will make up an unusual power grid in a capital city used to a hierarchical structure. Trump is presiding over concentric spheres of influence, designed to give him direct access to a constellation of counselors and opinions.”

“Such an approach also risks bringing confrontation or even paralysis as feuding factions work to further their own goals, edge out adversaries or distract Trump — as happened more than once during his presidential campaign.”

“As president, his associates said, Trump will seek rather than shun competing advice. His presidency will be governance as a series of ongoing conversations.”

Trump’s Son-in-Law Could Get Key White House Role

November 16, 2016 at 9:03 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Donald Trump’s son-in-law, who became a close adviser in the presidential campaign, is likely to take a top White House job,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Jared Kushner, who has emerged as a lightning rod as departures have mounted in recent days from the team vetting possible appointees, is being pushed to join the president’s inner circle by new White House chief of staff Reince Priebus and presidential counselor Stephen Bannon… Mr. Kushner is regarded as Mr. Trump’s eyes and ears inside the evolving presidential transition… The 35-year-old Mr. Kushner would have a role in the White House along the lines of senior adviser or special counsel.”

Perry Considered for Energy Secretary

November 16, 2016 at 9:01 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former Texas Gov. Rick Perry was being discussed as a potential Energy Secretary in the Trump administration, according to the Wall Street Journal.

The department is the one Perry famously forgot during a Republican primary debate in 2012.

If Millennials Had Supported Clinton as They Did Obama

November 16, 2016 at 6:51 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Barack Obama won 60% of the millennial vote in 2012. Hillary Clinton got only about 55% this year.

But those young voters did not flock to the Republican Party — only 37% ultimately supported Donald Trump. Instead, the real shift seems to have come from an increase in third-party candidate support.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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