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Obama Ready for Campaign Blitz

September 20, 2016 at 7:57 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Barack Obama is about to launch a presidential campaign blitz for Hillary Clinton unprecedented in the modern era, pledging a dramatic commitment of time and resources to a contest he now unabashedly frames as a referendum on his personal and political prestige,” Bloomberg reports.

“Obama plans to devote at least one to two days each week in October to campaign for Clinton through rallies, targeted radio and television interviews, social media outreach and fundraising, said an adviser who requested anonymity.”

‘Never Trump’ Backer Now Backs Trump

September 20, 2016 at 7:20 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Joe Ricketts intends to give at least $1 million to a super PAC supporting Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump, a dramatic reversal from the GOP primaries, when he and his wife were top financial backers of an effort to prevent the real estate developer’s nomination,” the Washington Post reports.

Clinton Leads By 5 Points Nationally

September 20, 2016 at 7:14 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new NBC News/SurveyMonkey poll finds Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by five points among likely voters, 50% to 45%.

 


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Bush Will Vote for Clinton Over Trump

September 20, 2016 at 7:03 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former President George H.W. Bush is bucking his party’s presidential nominee and plans to vote for Hillary Clinton in November, Politico reports.

Clinton Memo Outlines Path to Victory

September 19, 2016 at 9:54 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Staring down tightening polls both nationwide and in the battleground states, Hillary Clinton’s campaign manager Robby Mook on Monday circulated a private memo to donors, supporters and top volunteers that maps out the Democratic nominee’s various paths to the White House in November, paired with his analysis of Donald Trump’s own precarious path,” Politico reports.

From the memo: “Here’s the story that no poll can tell: Hillary Clinton has many paths to 270 electoral votes, while Donald Trump has very few. Hillary is nearly certain to win 16 ‘ blue’ states, including Washington D.C., which will garner her 191 electoral votes. If we add the five states that FiveThirtyEight.com gives Hillary a 70% or greater chance of winning (Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Wisconsin), Hillary only needs 10 more electoral votes.”

“Mook then runs down the possibilities for Clinton to win the remaining 10 electoral votes: taking Florida’s 29 electoral votes, North Carolina’s 15, Ohio’s 18, or any two of Colorado, New Hampshire, Iowa, or Nevada.”

For members: Why It’s Still Clinton’s Race to Lose

Presidential Race Takes on New Urgency for Obama

September 19, 2016 at 9:51 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Obama is approaching the final weeks of the presidential campaign with an intense sense of urgency and concern amid a growing realization that the election could be determined by the narrowest of margins,” the Washington Post reports.

“Earlier this year, Obama seemed to regard the defeat of GOP nominee Donald Trump as a near inevitability, but in recent days the president has changed his tone.”

Trump Avoiding Most Media Except Fox News

September 19, 2016 at 9:51 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Donald Trump “is saying ‘yes’ to Fox News almost every day but saying ‘no’ to most other major networks and news organizations — a highly unusual strategy for a presidential nominee,” CNN reports.

“Rousing the base instead of reaching out to undecided voters may ultimately pay off for Trump. If nothing else, it limits the candidate’s exposure to hard-hitting questions — while fueling frustration among journalists.”

Adelson Will Spend $45 Million on 2016 Races

September 19, 2016 at 9:49 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Conservative megadonor Sheldon Adelson and his wife, Miriam, have committed roughly $45 million so far to Donald Trump’s presidential campaign and downballot Republicans’ attempt to control Congress, CNN reports.

“The spending amounts to a historic investment in the Republican Party ticket’s hopes for November, putting millions of dollars behind Trump’s bid in a groundbreaking donation that could redefine the final two months of the 2016 campaign.”

Huge Audience Expected for First Debate

September 19, 2016 at 4:30 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Morning Consult poll finds that nearly 75% of the registered voters plans to watch the first presidential debate between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton next week.

When asked who they think will win the debate, 37% picked Clinton and 31% chose Trump while 32% either didn’t know or had no opinion.

Scarborough Tries to Repair Relations with Trump

September 19, 2016 at 4:16 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Last week, Joe Scarborough and his “Morning Joe” co-host, Mika Brzezinski, visited Donald Trump at Trump Tower to rekindle a once-rosy relationship that has turned bitter and adversarial, sources with knowledge of the meeting told CNNMoney.

The three also discussed the possibility of conducting an interview for “Morning Joe,” though nothing was decided or finalized.

Why Poll Decline Could Be Good News for Clinton

September 19, 2016 at 4:10 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sean Trende: “To be sure, Clinton did not want the polls to tighten. At the same time, this was a particularly awful series of news cycles for her, while Trump had managed to go over a month without reprising some of his more polarizing statements, such as his flap with the Khan family, who lost a son in Iraq. We would expect a big swing in the polls, and there was one.”

“But it did not put Trump over the top.  A week in, she still leads by 0.7 points in the four-way RCP average, and 0.9 points in the two-way average. She maintains a lead in the Electoral College, and while North Carolina and Nevada appear to be close, her lead in the next-most-Republican state, Virginia (which would put Trump over the 270 mark), is 3.5 points.”

“In other words, a truly terrible news cycle was still not enough to put Trump ahead.  In a strange way, that’s good news for Clinton.”

Fewer Expect Clinton to Win

September 19, 2016 at 3:33 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Los Angeles Times: “The voter expectations question is important because it often — although not always — has proved a more accurate way to forecast elections than asking which candidate a person plans to vote for. The expectations question has an especially good track record when an election remains a ways off — seven weeks in this case.”

“Clinton leads 50% to 45% on the question of which candidate people expect will win, the Daybreak poll finds. That’s down from her 13-point lead just a week ago.”

State Poll Roundup: Monday

September 19, 2016 at 1:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Here are the latest state polls from the presidential race:

Florida: Clinton 41%, Trump 40% (NYT/Siena)

Georgia: Trump 45%,Clinton 42% (Monmouth)

Extra Bonus Quote of the Day

September 19, 2016 at 12:07 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I’m only 93, so maybe I’ll run again when I’m a little older and have a little more wisdom.”

— Former Sen. Bob Dole (R-KS), joking about his future political ambitions to the Topeka Capital-Journal.

Christie Knew of Scheme to Cause Traffic Problems

September 19, 2016 at 11:51 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) “knew that his close associates were involved in a plan to shut down lanes leading to the George Washington Bridge as it was happening and that the closings were intended to punish a local mayor for declining to support him, prosecutors said on Monday,” the New York Times reports.

“The prosecutors made the assertion during opening statements in the trial of two former Christie administration officials charged with closing the lanes in 2013 and then covering it up.”

Trump Suggests Arresting Magazine Publishers

September 19, 2016 at 10:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Donald Trump took aim at “magazines” and other media that publish instructions on how to make explosive devices, CNN reports.

Said Trump: “So I see the other day, and they’re all talking about it so wonderfully because it’s called freedom of the press — where you buy magazines and they tell you how to make the same bombs that you saw. I would — now people will go crazy, they’ll say Trump is against freedom of the press. I’m totally in favor of freedom of the press. But how do you allow magazines to be sold — these are magazines that tell you, from step one, go to the store and buy such-and-such, right?”

He added: “Those people should be arrested because they are inciting violence, OK.”

Bonus Quote of the Day

September 19, 2016 at 9:48 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I know that presidential races can get intense. I know that people can sometimes say things they won’t mean. But Donald Trump has repeatedly invited his followers to commit a terrible act of violence on his opponents. He has invited them to kill another human being more than once.”

— Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA), quoted by the Washington Post.

Now It’s About Obama’s ‘Otherness’

September 19, 2016 at 9:46 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Alex Castellanos, a top strategist for a super PAC supporting Donald Trump, said that there is an “otherness” to President Obama, the Washington Post reports.

Said Castellanos: “I think the big question about Obama is not where he was born or his faith. The big question about Obama has been: Has he been — has he considered himself more of a globalist than an American? There’s an otherness to the president, and people have tried to exploit that politically in different ways.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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