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Exchange of the Day

September 19, 2016 at 8:46 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Donald Trump was interviewed by Steve Doocy on Fox & Friends: about the bombing in New York City over the weekend:

DOOCY: Change the playbook. OK, change the playbook how?

TRUMP: Well we’re going to have to do something extremely tough over there.

DOOCY: Like what?

TRUMP: Over there. Like, knock the hell out of them. And we have to get everybody together and we have to lead for a change because we’re not knocking them, we’re hitting them every once in a while, we’re hitting them in certain places, we’re being very gentle about it, we’re going to have to be very tough.

Trump Campaign Spooked by Charity Probe

September 19, 2016 at 8:18 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Those in Donald Trump’s orbit appear to be nervous about the swirling scandal around the Trump Foundation—and they should be: the stakes are incredibly high,” the Daily Beast reports.

“The allegations of a quid pro quo between Trump and Florida Attorney General, improper use of the charity for personal benefit, and employment of the charity for political purposes have serious penalties beyond mere campaign optics—the possible consequences range from hefty fines to jail time.”

One Key Metric Where Trump Lags Badly

September 19, 2016 at 8:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

One of the more interesting things about this presidential campaign is the tremendous disparity in ad spending. Hillary Clinton has blanketed the airwaves in key swing states while Donald Trump remains almost absurdly far behind.

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Could a Terror Attack Help Elect Trump?

September 19, 2016 at 7:22 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

John Avlon: “Though he’s a uniquely unqualified candidate, I’ve been concerned about an outside X-Factor event suddenly changing the emotional calculus of the electorate in ways that we would later regret. This could be a sudden economic collapse or a cyber October-surprise. But terrorism has always seemed the prime known-unknown.”

“After all, terrorism is now a depressingly regular feature of American life. While no attacks have rivaled 9/11, we saw at least 45 thwarted terror plots in the first ten years after the destruction of the World Trade Center and in the last year alone suffered horrific losses in the San Bernardino and Orlando slaughters. But we have no template for the impact of an attack just before an American election.”

Quote of the Day

September 19, 2016 at 7:19 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I should be a newscaster because I called it before the news.”

— Donald Trump, quoted by NBC News, about calling the explosions in New York City a bomb before anyone else.

Can Debates Move the Needle?

September 19, 2016 at 7:16 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

ABC News: “It will be tough: A review of data since 1960 suggests that past debates have almost never directly and measurably changed the candidates’ relative standings. That’s admittedly a high standard, though, and at least some debates may have had more subtle impacts.”

“Debates have been held in 11 presidential races since 1960. We find just one after which the lead in presidential preference changed hands by a significant margin: In 1980, when Ronald Reagan uttered his “are you better off?” line. He gained 7 points in a post-debate poll.”

White Voters Keep Florida Close

September 19, 2016 at 7:06 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Nate Cohn: “Donald Trump has almost no plausible path to the White House unless he wins Florida, a rapidly changing state where Hispanic voters could deal a decisive blow to his chances.”

“But a new poll, by The New York Times Upshot/Siena College, suggests that Mr. Trump is keeping his hopes alive in Florida, the largest and most diverse of the crucial battleground states. The reason: White voters favor him by a large margin.”

Why It’s Still Clinton’s Race to Lose

September 18, 2016 at 3:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

While the presidential race has certainly tightened in recent weeks, Hillary Clinton is still the overwhelming favorite.

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GOP May Penalize Those Who Don’t Endorse Trump

September 18, 2016 at 12:55 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

RNC Chairman Reince Priebus told CBS News “that it’s high time for Donald Trump’s former primary challengers to come on board and support his campaign—and suggested there could be trouble for them in 2020 or 2024 if they don’t.”

Said Priebus: “Those people need to get on board. And if they’re thinking they’re going to run again someday, I think that we’re going to evaluate the process – of the nomination process and I don’t think it’s going to be that easy for them.”

Pence Says Cheney Is His Role Model

September 18, 2016 at 11:08 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Gov. Mike Pence told ABC News that his role model for the number two spot is the last Republican to hold the job — Dick Cheney.

Said Pence: “I frankly hold Dick Cheney in really high regard in his role as vice president and as an American.”

Pence said that, like Cheney, he hoped to be “a very active vice president.”

Dead Heat in the Battleground States

September 18, 2016 at 11:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A CBS News/YouGov tracking poll across 11 battleground states shows Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump tied, 42% to 42%.

Key finding: “Fifty-five percent of battleground voters want to see ‘big changes’ in the nation’s politics and economy in the next few years. Forty-three percent want “some changes” and only 2 percent think things are fine and not in need of much change.”

Quote of the Day

September 18, 2016 at 8:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“We need ideas, not insults. Real plans to help struggling Americans in communities that have been left out and left behind—not prejudice and paranoia. We can’t let Barack Obama’s legacy fall into the hands of someone who doesn’t understand that.”

— Hillary Clinton, quoted by the Wall Street Journal.

Obama Puts Himself on the Ballot

September 18, 2016 at 7:38 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “Declaring he would consider it ‘a personal insult, an insult to my legacy’ if black turnout falters for Hillary Clinton, Obama did what he got reamed for doing almost exactly two years ago, in the heat of midterm elections where disdain for him was the defining force: Yes, he said, he is pretty much on the ballot in November.”

Trump Push Left on Key Women’s Issues

September 18, 2016 at 7:35 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Over the past week, Donald Trump has staked out positions on women’s issues that tack far to the left of his party and his running mate, a marked shift from Republican orthodoxy and the presidential nominee’s past comments about mothers in the workplace,” the Washington Post reports.

“Trump, who has made inflammatory statements about women in the past and is lagging far behind in polls of female voters, released a plan to guarantee new mothers six weeks of paid leave and offer tax credits for child care. Trump also said that women should be able to access birth control over the counter, a direct contradiction of the platform his party adopted at its July convention.”

Clinton Struggles In Florida

September 18, 2016 at 7:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Hillary Clinton has vastly outspent Donald J. Trump on TV ads in Florida. Her 57 campaign offices dwarf Mr. Trump’s afterthought of a ground game. And Mr. Trump is deeply unpopular among Hispanics, who account for nearly one in five Florida voters,” the New York Times reports.

“Despite these advantages, Mrs. Clinton is struggling in the Sunshine State, unable to assemble the coalition that gave Barack Obama two victories here, and offering Mr. Trump a broad opening in a road to the White House that not long ago seemed closed to him. Mr. Trump is pressing down hard to win the state, campaigning in Miami on Friday and in Fort Myers on Monday, after a rally in Pensacola recently.”

State Poll Roundup: Sunday

September 18, 2016 at 12:15 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Here are the latest state polls from the presidential race:

Pennsylvania: Clinton 40%, Trump 32% (Muhlenberg)

Minnesota: Clinton 44%, Trump 38% (Star Tribune)

Clinton Denounces ‘Hateful Nonsense’ Thrown at Obama

September 17, 2016 at 11:33 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Hillary Clinton answered her opponent’s admission that Barack Obama was born in the United States with an ardent tribute to the president as a leader and a man of “class, grace, and integrity,” BuzzFeed reports.

Clinton did not refer to Donald Trump by name, but addressed Obama directly before an audience of thousands here in the Washington Convention Center, calling him “one of the best presidents our country has ever had,” even in the face of what she described as “hateful nonsense.”

She added: “I know I speak for not just everyone in this room, but so many tens of millions of Americans: Mr. President, not only do we know you are an America, you’re a great American. And you make us all proud to be Americans, too.”

For members: Why Trump’s Birther Charade May Finally Backfire

Has Trump Set a New Low for Candidates?

September 17, 2016 at 11:33 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Routine falsehoods, unfounded claims and inflammatory language have long been staples of Mr. Trump’s anything-goes campaign. But as the polls tighten and November nears, his behavior, and the implications for the country should he become president, are alarming veteran political observers — and leaving them deeply worried about the precedent being set, regardless of who wins the White House.”

Said former GOP congressman Vin Weber: “It’s frightening. Our politics, because of him, is descending to the level of a third-world country. There’s just nothing beneath him. And I don’t know why we would think he would change if he became president. That’s what’s really scary.”

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Nobody Drowned at Watergate: “Nobody drowned at Watergate” was a phrase used, especially by supporters of President Richard Nixon, to minimize the impact of the Watergate scandal and to ….

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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