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Sanders Crowds Haven’t Faded

June 6, 2016 at 6:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 40 Comments

New York Times: “Mr. Sanders’s chances of winning the Democratic presidential nomination have been fading since Hillary Clinton’s big win in April in New York. With her victory on Sunday in Puerto Rico, she stands only 28 delegates short of securing the nomination, and she is almost certain to clinch it on Tuesday when New Jersey, California and four other states hold primaries. But one would not know that from the enthusiastic throngs of supporters who still flock to hear him call for a transformation of America’s economy and for a political revolution.”

“Some are there in solidarity with his message, and others because they believe Mr. Sanders when he says, against the odds, that he can still snag the nomination at the party’s convention in July. And then there are many who, regardless of their outlook on the race, are streaming in for what they believe may be their last glimpse of a political phenomenon.”

Wall Street Journal: Sanders camp split over next step

GOP Worries Rise Amid Hostile Trump Comments

June 6, 2016 at 6:40 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 31 Comments

“A growing number of Republican lawmakers and strategists fear that Donald Trump’s hostile remarks about minorities and his un­or­tho­dox strategy have imperiled his campaign at the end of a five-week head start on Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton that they hoped would fortify him heading into the general election,” the Washington Post reports.

“Their concerns increased again Sunday after Trump said he thought a Muslim judge might treat him unfairly because he wants to temporarily ban most foreign Muslims from entering the country.”

New York Times: “Republicans, concerned about how his contentious statements could harm their ability to retain control of the Senate and have a detrimental effect in down-ballot races, have struggled with how to distance themselves from Mr. Trump’s language without alienating his die-hard voters.”

Clinton On the Verge of Clinching Nomination

June 6, 2016 at 6:33 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 11 Comments

Hillary Clinton “stands on the cusp of having enough delegates to claim the Democratic presidential nomination, having overwhelmed Bernie Sanders in a pair of weekend elections in the Caribbean,” the AP reports.

“Yet the former secretary of state barely noted her commanding wins Saturday in the U.S. Virgin Islands and Sunday in Puerto Rico, instead remaining focused on Tuesday’s contest in California and five other states – and a general election matchup to come against presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump.”


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Trump Is More of a Media Company Than Campaign

June 6, 2016 at 6:10 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 3 Comments

New York Times: “Mr. Trump is not running a campaign in the modern sense — or what was the modern sense until about yesterday. Rather, he oversees a prolific content production studio that has accomplished what every major media conglomerate is trying to pull off with mixed success.”

“It has managed to produce a huge amount of inexpensive programming that has consistently dominated the ratings and the conversation across the entire new-media landscape — cable news, broadcast news, radio, Twitter, Facebook and who knows what else.”

Harvard Professor Says Markets Underestimate Trump

June 6, 2016 at 6:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 45 Comments

Harvard professor Niall Ferguson told Bloomberg that Donald Trump has a better chance of becoming president than the betting markets currently project.

Said Ferguson: “Trump has a pretty close to 50/50 chance of winning this election, especially since Hillary Clinton is, let’s face it, not a very strong and attractive candidate. We’re still kind of underestimating this. The betting markets still think that Trump has a one-in-three, one-in-four shot at being president, but it’s actually I think much much higher than that.”

Clinton Cracked the Code for Taking Down Trump

June 5, 2016 at 11:58 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 41 Comments

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

Donald Trump’s characterization of Hillary Clinton’s speech last week attacking him was exactly right: “It was a political speech — had nothing to do with foreign policy.”

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French Won’t Make Indie Bid

June 5, 2016 at 9:01 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 105 Comments

David French writes in the National Review that he won’t run for president:

Here is a sentence I never thought I’d type: After days of prayer, reflection, and serious study of the possibilities, I am not going to run as an independent candidate for president of the United States.

I gave it serious thought — as a pretty darn obscure lawyer, writer, and veteran — only because we live in historic times. Never before have both parties failed so spectacularly, producing two dishonest, deceitful candidates who should be disqualified from running for town council, much less leader of the free world.

Castellanos Now Backs Trump

June 5, 2016 at 7:37 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 37 Comments

A new super PAC supporting Donald Trump and backed by one of his close friends has hired GOP strategist Alex Castellanos to cut advertisements and work on strategy, the New York Times reports.

“Mr. Castellanos’s involvement is notable for his previous criticism of Mr. Trump. He had quietly explored the possibilities of creating a Stop Trump effort last fall, and he has long urged the Republican Party to change its tone and focus in order to appeal to a broader coalition of voters.”

Castellanos, writing last summer for CNN: “Donald Trump is a strongman. But he is not the man for this moment. He is not a Republican or a conservative. If we want to keep our future in our hands, we shouldn’t put it in his.”

Quote of the Day

June 5, 2016 at 7:14 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 69 Comments

“I think the party of Lincoln wants to win the White House. The right-of-center world needs to respect the fact that the primary voters have spoken.”

— Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY), quoted by Politico, when asked how the party of Lincoln could support a nominee that many think is racist.

Trump Donated to Attorneys General Who Dropped Case

June 5, 2016 at 7:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 46 Comments

The AP reports that then-Texas Attorney General Greg Abbott (R) opened a civil investigation of “possibly deceptive trade practices” into Trump University but the probe “was quietly dropped” in 2010 when the school “agreed to end its operations in Texas. Trump subsequently donated $35,000 to Abbott’s successful gubernatorial campaign.”

In addition, Florida Attorney General Pam Bondi (R) briefly considered joining “in a multi-state suit against Trump University. Three days after Bondi’s spokeswoman was quoted in local media reports as saying the office was reviewing the New York lawsuit, the Donald J. Trump Foundation made a $25,000 contribution to a political fundraising committee supporting Bondi’s re-election campaign. Bondi soon dropped her investigation, citing insufficient grounds to proceed.”

Clinton Says Sanders Should End His Campaign

June 5, 2016 at 5:02 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 347 Comments

Hillary Clinton told CNN that Bernie Sanders should end his campaign and begin convincing supporters to line up behind Hillary Clinton as the presumptive Democratic nominee.

“Clinton said that in 2008, some supporters urged her to battle Barack Obama to the convention but noted that she decided to cede to Obama rather than fight because they shared similar policy goals and values. When this year’s primary season largely ends Tuesday, she said, ‘I expect Senator Sanders to do the same.'”

Trump Campaign Pays Women Less Than Men

June 5, 2016 at 4:25 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 21 Comments

“Donald Trump has paid men on his campaign staff one-third more than women, while Hillary Clinton has compensated men and women equally,” according to a Boston Globe analysis of payroll data for both campaigns.

“Trump’s campaign staff is also far less diverse than that of his likely Democratic opponent. Only about 9 percent of his team are minorities, compared with nearly a third of Clinton’s staff.”

Clinton Speech Attacking Trump Breaks Through

June 5, 2016 at 4:24 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 58 Comments

BuzzFeed: “In the days since San Diego, aides and supporters have said they see the speech ‘breaking through the noise,’ as one put it — and resonating on the trail to a degree Clinton hasn’t seen in past efforts to draw sustained attention to Trump’s failed businesses, for instance, or to his comments about profiting from the housing crisis.”

“Clinton and her aides were particularly gratified to see voters respond with recognition to the speech across California, where she and her husband are on a five-day breakneck schedule of roughly 40 combined events and retail stops.”

For members: Clinton Cracked the Code for Taking Down Trump

It May Be the Nastiest Fight in Presidential History

June 5, 2016 at 1:36 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 142 Comments

Edward Luce: “In a season of discredited predictions, here is a safe one. The presidential debates between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump will shatter all audience records. Their draw will bear no relation to the substance of the issues. Tens of millions will tune in to watch our age’s most trigger-happy insulter denigrate one of the world’s most famous women.”

“In ancient Rome gladiators slaughtered barbarians to keep the people entertained. In this case however, the barbarian has a shot at becoming emperor. Whether or not he succeeds, US democracy will never be the same.”

Clinton Just Ahead in California

June 5, 2016 at 10:55 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 90 Comments

A new CBS News poll in California shows Hillary Clinton up two points on Bernie Sanders, 49% to 47%.

Sanders Insists He’ll Fight to the Convention

June 5, 2016 at 10:43 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 295 Comments

Sen. Bernie Sanders declared that the Democratic convention “will be a contested convention,” the Washington Post reports.

Said Sanders: “I have heard reports that Secretary Clinton has said it’s all going to be over on Tuesday night. I have heard reports that the media, after the New Jersey results come in, are going to declare that it is all over. That simply is not accurate.”

Trump Has No Idea What He’s Doing

June 5, 2016 at 10:40 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 83 Comments

Jonathan Chait: “Donald Trump’s election as president of the United States would pose an unprecedented threat to the health of American democracy and possibly world stability. There is, however, an upside: Trump’s campaign is an absolute garbage fire. By all accounts it is the most organizationally and strategically inept campaign for a successful major-party nominee in recorded history.”

“To the extent that running a competent campaign matters, it will hurt Trump very badly. Yes, he won the Republican primary by relying on a massive imbalance of media coverage and exploiting a divided, extremely large field that failed to coalesce against him. Yes, he tapped into deep strains of anger in the conservative base that fellow Republicans ignored. But he’s not a political savant, and he hasn’t abolished the rules of politics.”

New York Times: Trump’s Campaign Stumbles As It Tries to Go Big

Clinton Will Deliver Muhammad Ali’s Eulogy

June 5, 2016 at 10:36 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 32 Comments

Former President Bill Clinton will give the eulogy at Muhammad Ali’s funeral, which will take place next Friday in the boxing champion’s hometown of Louisville, KY, Time reports.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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