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Do Democrats Only Have a Message Problem?

November 26, 2014 at 10:39 am EST By Taegan Goddard 51 Comments

Molly Ball: “There’s a predictable debate after every election, as the losing partisans cycle through rationalizations for why they lost. This time, it’s the Democrats, who were slaughtered at an unexpected scale on November 4 and now must reckon with what went wrong and how to move forward.”

“When Republicans went through this two years ago, they were heckled constantly—by both the media and many of their own — about the need to moderate their positions if they ever wanted to win another election. But Democrats today are convinced there’s nothing wrong with what they stand for — if anything, they just need to stand for it louder and more aggressively.”

Fiorina Sees Opening in GOP Presidential Field

November 26, 2014 at 10:24 am EST By Taegan Goddard 62 Comments

“Sensing an opportunity in a crowded field that lacks a front-runner,” former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R) “is actively exploring a 2016 presidential run. Fiorina has been talking privately with potential donors, recruiting campaign staffers, courting grass-roots activists in early caucus and primary states and planning trips to Iowa and New Hampshire starting next week,” the Washington Post reports.

“Fiorina, whose rise from secretary to Silicon Valley corporate chief during the dot-com boom brought her national attention, has refashioned herself as a hard-charging partisan hoping to strike a sharp contrast with the sea of suited men seeking the GOP nomination.”

[speech_bubble type=”std” subtype=”a” icon=”pwdome.jpg” name=””]I’m not sure how losing a U.S. Senate race badly would convince Fiorina to think she should run for president. [/speech_bubble]

Quote of the Day

November 26, 2014 at 10:15 am EST By Taegan Goddard 41 Comments

“I don’t think I’m all that conservative.”

— Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), quoted by the New York Observer.

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Obama Upends GOP Political Strategy

November 26, 2014 at 9:26 am EST By Taegan Goddard 27 Comments

Jonathan Chait: “The GOP has withheld cooperation from every major element of President Obama’s agenda, beginning with the stimulus, through health-care reform, financial regulation, the environment, long-term debt reduction, and so on. That stance has worked extremely well as a political strategy. Most people pay little attention to politics and tend to hold the president responsible for outcomes. If Republicans turn every issue into an intractable partisan scrum, people get frustrated with the status quo and take out their frustration on the president’s party. It’s a formula, but it works.”

“The formula only fails to work if the president happens to have an easy and legal way to act on the issue in question without Congress. Obama can’t do that on infrastructure, or the grand bargain, and he couldn’t do it on health care. But he could do it on immigration. So Republicans were stuck carrying out a strategy whose endgame would normally be ‘bill fails, public blames Obama’ that instead wound up ‘Obama acts unilaterally, claims credit, forces Republicans to take poisonous stance in opposition.’ They had grown so accustomed to holding all the legislative leverage, they couldn’t adapt to a circumstance where they had none.”

Obama to Unveil Sweeping Controls on Ozone Emissions

November 26, 2014 at 9:03 am EST By Taegan Goddard 17 Comments

“The Obama administration is expected to release on Wednesday a contentious and long-delayed environmental regulation to curb emissions of ozone, a smog-causing pollutant linked to asthma, heart disease and premature death,” the New York Times reports.

“The sweeping regulation, which would aim at smog from power plants and factories across the country, particularly in the Midwest, would be the latest in a series of Environmental Protection Agency controls on air pollution that wafts from smokestacks and tailpipes. Such regulations, released under the authority of the Clean Air Act, have become a hallmark of President Obama’s administration.”

Wonk Wire: Some climate change impacts are unavoidable.

[speech_bubble type=”std” subtype=”a” icon=”pwdome.jpg” name=””]Obama doesn’t seem to realize he’s a lame duck.[/speech_bubble]

President Obama, Then and Now

November 26, 2014 at 8:56 am EST By Taegan Goddard 10 Comments

“I just have to continue to say this notion that somehow I can just change the laws unilaterally is just not true.”

— President Obama, quoted by the Chicago Sun Times in 2011.

“There have been significant numbers of deportations. That’s true. But what you’re not paying attention to is the fact that I just took action to change the law.”

— Obama, quoted by the Washington Examiner, earlier this week.

Republican Voters Still Like Romney

November 26, 2014 at 8:52 am EST By Taegan Goddard 34 Comments

A new Quinnipiac poll finds Republican voters nationwide prefer Mitt Romney as their presidential nominee again. Romney leads with 19%, followed by Jeb Bush at 11% and Chris Christie and Ben Carson at 8% each. No other Republican tops 6%.

With Romney out of the race, Jeb Bush leads with 14%, followed by Christie at 11%, Carson at 9% and Sen. Rand Paul at 8%.

[speech_bubble type=”std” subtype=”a” icon=”pwdome.jpg” name=””]This is just another indication of a wide open GOP presidential race. [/speech_bubble]

Threat of White House Veto Stalls Tax Cut Talks

November 26, 2014 at 8:37 am EST By Taegan Goddard 11 Comments

“Congressional negotiations to extend a slate of temporary tax breaks stalled Tuesday when the White House pushed back on a deal under discussion on Capitol Hill,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Lawmakers had neared an agreement to make permanent a handful of temporary tax breaks in a deal expected to add $450 billion to the federal budget deficit over the next decade, according to people familiar with the discussions. But the threat of a White House veto quickly halted its momentum.”

[speech_bubble type=”std” subtype=”a” icon=”pwdome.jpg” name=””]The veto pen is still a very powerful tool at the president’s disposal. [/speech_bubble]

Dysfunction Washington Can Agree On

November 26, 2014 at 8:34 am EST By Taegan Goddard 6 Comments

Michael Crowley: “It isn’t often that left, right and center agree about the Obama White House. But the firing of Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel this week produced a near-unanimous reaction: President Obama’s foreign policy team is dysfunctional and in need of a stronger tonic than the exit of a low-profile cabinet member with a light policy footprint.”

Gay Marriage Bans Overturned in Mississippi, Arkansas

November 26, 2014 at 8:29 am EST By Taegan Goddard 10 Comments

“Arkansas and Mississippi became the latest two states Tuesday to have their gay marriage bans overturned by federal judges, but there are no rushes to the altar as both orders are on hold so the states can considers appeals,” the AP reports.

“Likes several states, Arkansas and Mississippi had voter-approved constitutional amendments pass in 2004 that defined marriage between one man and one woman.”

[speech_bubble type=”std” subtype=”a” icon=”pwdome.jpg” name=””]Which state will be last? [/speech_bubble]

Flournoy Not Interested in Being Defense Secretary

November 25, 2014 at 4:53 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 22 Comments

“Michèle Flournoy, the most widely rumored candidate to replace Chuck Hagel as the next secretary of defense, has taken herself out of the running for the job, according to sources familiar with the situation. The decision complicates what will be one of the most important personnel decisions of President Barack Obama’s second term,” Foreign Policy reports.

They Met Covering Marion Barry’s Trial

November 25, 2014 at 4:45 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 1 Comment

Jon Hilsenrath writes in the Wall Street Journal how he met his wife Cristina covering Washington, DC Mayor Marion Barry’s crack possession trial 24 years ago.

Barry signed a picture of himself for their wedding with the following inscription:

For Jon and Cristina,
The bitch set us all up!
Congratulations.
Mayor for Life,
Marion Barry

Congress Nears Deal on Business Tax Breaks

November 25, 2014 at 4:20 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 42 Comments

“House and Senate negotiators neared a deal to make permanent a list of major tax breaks for business, infuriating White House officials and some liberal Democrats who say the package will blow a hole in the budget deficit over the longer term while providing little for the working class,” the New York Times reports.

“The package shows how sharply power has shifted after the Democrats’ electoral defeat. Republicans are effectively steamrolling the Obama administration and the Democrats who still control the Senate Finance Committee by cutting the deal with the departing Senate Democratic leadership.”

Politico: “The agreement is not final, and its total cost is not immediately available, though aides said it will likely be at least $400 billion. The entire tally will be added to the budget deficit.”

[speech_bubble type=”std” subtype=”a” icon=”pwdome.jpg” name=””]Where’s the Tea Party? [/speech_bubble]

Tea Party Turns Focus to Immigration

November 25, 2014 at 4:12 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 27 Comments

“In all its fury and unanimity, the response from the right over President Obama’s decision to change immigration policy without the consent of Congress was the manifestation of a major transformation inside the Tea Party,” the New York Times reports.

“What started five years ago as a groundswell of conservatives committed to curtailing the reach of the federal government, cutting the deficit and countering the Wall Street wing of the Republican Party has become largely an anti-immigration overhaul movement. The politicians, intellectual leaders and activists who consider themselves part of the Tea Party have redirected their energy from fiscal austerity and small government to stopping any changes that would legitimize people who are here illegally, either through granting them citizenship or legal status.”

Stockman Seeks to Brand Climate Change Denial

November 25, 2014 at 2:08 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 28 Comments

In his last days in office, Rep. Steve Stockman (R-TX) “appears to be trying to cement his legacy by naming a scientific theory charging climate change is natural after himself,” National Journal reports.

“Stockman, who did not seek re-election this year, introduced a bill last week to ‘study the effect of the Earth’s magnetic field on the weather.’ The bill doesn’t explicitly mention global warming, but would put Congress on record as saying that a ‘decrease in magnetic fields could impact global temperatures’ and instructs the director of the National Science Foundation to commission a study on the impact a shift in the Earth’s magnetic field could have on the weather. That bill’s name? The ‘Stockman Effect Act.'”

“Here’s the thing: the ‘Stockman Effect’ isn’t the name of the theory the Congressman is proposing to study. Scientists contacted by National Journal said they weren’t aware of a ‘Stockman Effect’ related to geophysics or climate change.”

[speech_bubble type=”std” subtype=”a” icon=”pwdome.jpg” name=””]I’ll bet readers can come up with alternative definitions of the “Stockman Effect” [/speech_bubble]

Bonus Quote of the Day

November 25, 2014 at 1:40 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 17 Comments

“Republicans will continue to paint government as the enemy and the media will continue to highlight government failures, because they make for better copy than government success. That leaves the job to we Democrats.”

— Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY), quoted by Politico.

Obama Isn’t ‘Poisoning the Well’ on Immigration

November 25, 2014 at 12:31 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 12 Comments

David Leonhart exposes the “poison the well” myth over immigration reform — “the notion that Mr. Obama’s executive action to shield as many as five million people from deportation will prevent a bigger immigration bill from passing Congress and maybe prevent a whole bunch of other legislation, too.”

“Obviously, we can’t run the final two years of the Obama presidency multiple times under different circumstances and see what happens in each. So it’s impossible to know for certain how any one action affects the course of events. But there are all kinds of reasons to believe that the poison-the-well theory is based on a naïve view of politics. And understanding why it’s wrong helps illuminate how politics really does work.”

“Whatever you may think of today’s politicians, they are highly successful people who have climbed to the top of a competitive profession. Most of the time, they make decisions that are in their interests — whether political interests or policy interests. A few notable exceptions aside (like Newt Gingrich’s infamous pique in 1995 over getting a bad seat on Air Force One), they do not make major decisions the way a small child would, based mostly on whether someone else is being nice or mean to them.”

Democrats Mistakenly Focused on Health Care

November 25, 2014 at 12:18 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 94 Comments

Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY) said that Democrats made a mistake by passing President Obama’s health-care law in 2010 instead of focusing more directly on helping the middle class, Bloomberg reports.

Said Schumer: “Unfortunately, Democrats blew the opportunity the American people gave them… We took their mandate and put all our focus on the wrong problem — health care reform.”

“Schumer’s comments represent an unusual public intra-party critique of the way Obama’s signature legislative achievement was enacted.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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