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Jackson Likely to be Re-Elected Despite Troubles

October 13, 2012 at 2:20 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Chicago Sun Times reports Rep. Jesse Jackson (D-IL) is being treated for bipolar disorder,
had a highly publicized extramarital relationship, has been repeatedly linked to disgraced former Gov. Rod Blagojevich, and is now the target of a federal investigation into “suspicious activity” into his congressional finances.

Yet most think he’s going to be easily re-elected on November 6.

Bachmann Raises Huge Sum

October 13, 2012 at 1:18 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-MN) “has raised a whopping $4.5 million in the last three months,” The Hill reports.

“The three-month total could prove to be the largest of any House member this cycle, topping that of fellow conservative Rep. Allen West (R-FL), who exceeded $4 million in his own quarter. Bachmann’s campaign did not say how much she has left in the bank, but it’s likely to be substantial.”

Absentee Governor

October 13, 2012 at 1:08 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “During Mr. Romney’s four-year term as governor of Massachusetts, he cumulatively spent more than a year — part or all of 417 days — out of the state, according to a review of his schedule and other records. More than 70 percent of that time was spent on personal or political trips unrelated to his job.”

“Mr. Romney, now the Republican presidential nominee, took lengthy vacations and weekend getaways. But much of his travel was to lay the groundwork for the presidential ambitions he would pursue in the 2008 election, two years after leaving office.”


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Why Biden Was Right to Laugh

October 13, 2012 at 11:54 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Matt Taibbi: “I’ve never thought much of Joe Biden. But man, did he get it right in last night’s debate, and not just because he walloped sniveling little Paul Ryan on the facts. What he got absolutely right, despite what you might read this morning (many outlets are criticizing Biden’s dramatic excesses), was his tone. Biden did absolutely roll his eyes, snort, laugh derisively and throw his hands up in the air whenever Ryan trotted out his little beady-eyed BS-isms.”

“But he should have! He was absolutely right to be doing it. We all should be doing it. That includes all of us in the media, and not just paid obnoxious-opinion-merchants like me, but so-called ‘objective’ news reporters as well. We should all be rolling our eyes, and scoffing and saying, ‘Come back when you’re serious.'”

Santorum Says Gay Marriage Fight is Most Important

October 13, 2012 at 11:08 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rick Santorum entered the campaign against same-sex marriage in Washington state “with an apocalyptic warning about its potential consequences on America’s families and churches,” the Seattle Post-Intelligencer reports.

Said Santorum: “This is a turning point in American history… The movement you are fighting is the most important movement to win.”

He added that it is even more important that the movement to block abortion in America because marriage will “disintegrate” along with the American family if same-sex marriage becomes legal.

Another Poll Shows Biden Won Debate

October 13, 2012 at 10:58 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Reuters/Ipsos poll finds respondents think Joe Biden performed better than Paul Ryan in Thursday night’s vice presidential debate, 42% to 35%.

Joe Biden and Paul Ryan’s Biggest Tactical Flubs

October 13, 2012 at 10:42 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Week: “There were no devastating gaffes in Thursday’s vice presidential debate. Still, both Biden and Ryan made potentially costly unforced errors.”

Romney Continues to Close the Gap

October 13, 2012 at 10:33 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Mitt Romney continues to surge in both national and swing state polls and Nate Silver now gives him a 38.9% chance of winning the presidential election.

“The only really good news for Democrats is that Mr. Obama had built up a large enough cushion that he could withstand a lot of damage without becoming the underdog. The forecast model still has him clinging to narrow leads in Ohio, Iowa, Wisconsin and Nevada, states that in some combination would give him 270 electoral votes.”

The Week: Is Romney taking over in the swing states?

Romney Tries to Bury Obama with Ads

October 13, 2012 at 10:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Mitt Romney and his allies “are banking heavily on a high-risk, high-reward media strategy in the final weeks of the campaign, hoping that burying President Obama in ads will give them a crucial edge on Election Day,” the Washington Post reports.

“Ad purchases in the presidential race doubled or in some cases tripled last week in swing states such as Colorado, Florida, Iowa and Virginia, tracking data show. The surge is being driven by Romney and well-funded allies, who decided against running more ads earlier in the campaign in favor of a big bang at the end.”

Romney and Obama Focus on Debate Preparations

October 13, 2012 at 10:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Mitt Romney is preparing for his second debate with President Obama “but taking time to tell voters in Ohio that enthusiasm for him is surging both in this critical state and across the country,” the AP reports.

“Obama was hunkering down Saturday in Virginia to go over the game plan for the town-hall debate with Romney. But his weekly radio and Internet address on Saturday spoke of an industry that’s critical to Ohio, another battleground state and perhaps the most important to his Republican opponent’s White House hopes.”

They face off on Tuesday night.

No Swing State Firewall for Obama

October 12, 2012 at 4:56 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Even though recent swing state polling shows President Obama maintaining a lead over Mitt Romney, Nate Silver says the president’s Electoral College advantage is build on a shaky foundation.

“Even if one grants Ohio to Mr. Obama, however, that would not seal victory for him. He would still need to win some other combination of states; his path of least resistance probably flows through Wisconsin, and then either Iowa or Nevada.”

“Iowa, in particular, is a crucial state that has been thinly polled all year. (The FiveThirtyEight model, in fact, calculates that Iowa is slightly more essential to the Electoral College than Florida, despite having many fewer electoral votes.) There has been just one poll of Iowa since the debates, and while it gave Mr. Obama the lead, it was an automated poll that probably does not merit too much weight.”

Lawmaker Now Claims Mistress Wasn’t Actually Pregnant

October 12, 2012 at 4:35 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Scott DesJarlais (R-TN), the pro-life lawmaker who recorded a phone conversation urging his mistress to get an abortion, now says in his first public comments that the woman turned out not to be pregnant, the Memphis Commercial Appeal reports.

A transcript of the phone call shows DesJarlais saying, “You told me you’d have an abortion, and now we’re getting too far along without one.”

He then appeared to blame the woman for becoming pregnant: “You lied to me about something that caused us to be in this situation, and that’s not my fault, that’s yours.

The woman responded: “Well, it’s your fault for sleeping with your patient.”

DesJarlais blamed “a disgruntled, defeated ex-congressman, a vindictive ex-wife, and a desperate Democratic candidate” for dredging up details from his past.

Latest Swing State Polls

October 12, 2012 at 4:07 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Here are the latest polls from the battleground states:

Colorado: Romney 48%, Obama 47% (Denver Post)

Florida: Romney 49%, Obama 46% (American Research Group)

Florida: Romney 51%, Obama 47% (Rasmussen)

Michigan: Obama 52%, Romney 45% (Rasmussen)

New Hampshire: Romney 50%, Obama 46% (American Research Group)

North Carolina: Obama 46%, Romney 45% (High Point University)

Virginia: Romney 49%, Obama 47% (Rasmussen)

Deficit Tops $1 Trillion Again

October 12, 2012 at 3:21 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The federal budget deficit has topped $1
trillion for a fourth straight year. But the deficit for the just-ended
2012 budget year is $207 billion less than last year,” the AP reports.

“Friday Night Lights” Creator Accuses Romney of Plagiarism

October 12, 2012 at 2:41 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Peter Berg, the writer-director of the Friday Night Lights movie and television series, is not pleased that Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney has co-opted a phrase from the show for his campaign appearances.

In a letter to the Romney campaign obtained by the Hollywood Reporter, Berg calls the use of “Clear Eyes, Full Hearts, Can’t Lose” an act of stealing.

Writes Berg: “Your politics and campaign are clearly not aligned with the themes we portrayed in our series. The only relevant comparison that I see between your campaign and Friday Night Lights is in the character of Buddy Garrity — who turned his back on American car manufacturers selling imported cars from Japan.”

Bonus Quote of the Day

October 12, 2012 at 1:23 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Well, I’ve taken a look at both sides of the thing. And it seems to me that evolution takes a tremendous amount of faith. To have all of a sudden all of the different things that have to be lined up, to create something as sophisticated as life, it takes a lot of faith. I don’t see it as even as a matter of science, because I don’t know if you can prove one or the other.”

— Rep. Todd Akin (R-MO), from a recording obtained by Think Progress at a Tea Party meeting this week.

Biden Shows Obama a Different Debating Style

October 12, 2012 at 1:08 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Chait: “The contrast with Obama lies not merely in their very — very, very — different energy levels. Obama approaches debates with the same intellectual method he uses in his books, his speeches, and his policy discussions. He instinctively tries to find common ground first, trying to work within the framework his opponent has established and acknowledge what he agrees with before delineating his disagreements.”

“Biden does not bother. He simply casts aside his opponent’s frame and works within his own. He did not ignore Ryan’s arguments, but he barreled over them like an enraged truck driver plowing over orange cones, before moving on to his own intellectual turf. Sometimes he barreled so fast his points were wrong or incomprehensible… But it was a highly effective way to handle the smarmy evasions that Ryan predictably served up.”

Associated Press: Love him or hate him, it was all Joe.

Book Says French First Lady Had Affairs with Two Politicians

October 12, 2012 at 12:24 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

French First Lady Valerie Trierweiler “says she plans to sue over the claim that emerged yesterday that in the early 2000s she had simultaneous affairs with both socialist Francois Hollande and right-wing politician Patrick Devedjian, while still married to her husband, Denis,” The Week reports.

The allegation is contained in an unauthorized biography of Trierweiler called La Frondeuse — The Troublemaker — by Christophe Jakubyszyn and Alix Bouilhaguet.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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