A new Gallup survey finds that U.S. veterans, about 13% of the adult population and consisting mostly of older men, support Mitt Romney over President Obama for president by a whopping 58% to 34%, while nonveterans give Obama a four point edge, 48% to 44%.
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Quote of the Day
“This is going to be a very close race, but I’d rather be us than them.”
— Obama strategist David Plouffe, quoted by New York magazine.
Campaigns Mine Data to Target Voters
Associated Press: “Online searches offer campaigns the simplest form of targeted advertising. When a voter searches on a candidate’s name or a keyword that indicates interest in that candidate, campaigns will place ads next to the search. The ads offer a great return on investment because the campaign only has to pay for the ad if the voter actually clicks on it. By layering additional data about the person who clicked on the ad, such as their gender or geographic location, the campaign can tailor a very specific message to get that person’s attention.”
“People who have visited a candidate’s website but left the site without signing up or making a contribution might start seeing display ads from the campaign urging them to do so. Campaigns will also place display ads on websites targeting a voter’s interests unrelated to politics, such as nature or sports or cooking… A voter who has indicated an interest in a candidate and then views a video on YouTube is likely to see a 15- or 30-second ad, called a pre-roll… A box will appear after 5 seconds asking if the person wants to continue viewing the ad. Campaigns only pay for ads the viewer watches through to completion.”
The Sequel to Hope and Change
John Heilemann: “Thus, to a very real degree, 2008’s candidate of hope stands poised to become 2012’s candidate of fear. For many Democrats, this is just fine and dandy, for they believe that in the Romney-Republican agenda there is plenty to be scared of. For others in the party in both politics and business, however, the new Obama posture is cause for concern. From the gay-marriage decision to the onslaught on Bain, they see the president and his team as coming across as too divisive, too conventional, and too nakedly political, putting at risk Obama’s greatest asset — his likability — with the voters in the middle of the electorate who will ultimately decide his fate.”
“Whichever side is right, one thing is undeniable. For anyone still starry-eyed about Obama, the months ahead will provide a bracing revelation about what he truly is: not a savior, not a saint, not a man above the fray, but a brass-knuckled, pipe-hitting, red-in-tooth-and-claw brawler determined to do what is necessary to stay in power — in other words, a politician.”
Lawmakers Work with Simpson-Bowles on Tax Deal
Former White House chief of staff Erskine Bowles and former Sen. Alan Simpson “are working with a bipartisan group of 47 Senators and as many House members to frame a compromise on $7 trillion in looming fiscal decisions,” Reuters reports.
“Without a deal, the end of the year brings higher taxes for most Americans with the expiration of historically low income tax rates enjoyed by nearly every American and expiry of a payroll tax break, along with broad automatic spending cuts that most lawmakers in both parties want to avoid.”
Said Bowles: “I believe this group will come together during the lame duck.”
Biden Gets Personal with Military Families
Vice President Joe Biden went off-script with a deeply personal moment with family members of fallen service members. It’s definitely worth watching.
Seven States Viewed as Toss Ups
An Associated Press analysis concludes that if the presidential election were today, President Obama would likely win 247 electoral votes to Romney’s 206 — both short of the 270 electoral votes needed to win.
Seven states, offering a combined 85 electoral votes, are viewed as too close to give either candidate a meaningful advantage: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio and Virginia.
Coburn Reprimanded by Ethics Committee
The Senate Ethics Committee publicly admonished Sen. Tom Coburn (R-OK) “for an aspect of his role in the scandal that led to the resignation last year of Sen. John Ensign (R-NV),” the Oklahoman reports.
Coburn did not violate the law or Senate rules but the committee said a meeting with Ensign’s former top aide was “improper conduct” that did not meet the “higher standards expected of a U.S. senator.”
Weiner Truthers
Former Rep. Anthony Weiner (D-NY) resigned a year ago after admitting to having sent lewd photos to female followers on Twitter.
But BuzzFeed notes “for one corner of the Internet, Weinergate is very much not over. A group of liberal bloggers believe that Anthony Weiner was blackmailed by Andrew Breitbart into a false confession, and are carrying out a lonely Twitter crusade to spread their theory — in spite of the fact that Weiner himself has never claimed this to be the case.”
Billionaire Plans Another Effort to Defeat Obama
Billionaire investor Joe Ricketts, who dropped plans for a $10 million advertising blitz linking President Obama with the fiery race-based rhetoric of the Rev. Jeremia Wright, “is involved in another effort slated for this summer, a documentary film based on a widely criticized book, The Roots of Obama’s Rage by Dinesh D’Souza, which asserts that Mr. Obama is carrying out the ‘anticolonial’ agenda of his Kenyan father,” the New York Times reports.
“Mr. Ricketts’s aides said he was one of roughly two dozen investors, providing only 5 percent of the film’s budget. But his involvement shows how the more strident attacks against Mr. Obama, which Mr. Romney’s aides view as counterproductive, continue to find backing even as the Republican Party and the Romney campaign seek to keep the focus on the economy.”
Alternate Jurors in Edwards Trial Raise Questions
Washington Post: “Something exceedingly strange is happening at the John Edwards trial: all four alternate jurors dressed in red shirts Friday. They each wore bright yellow the day before. Coincidence? Few here think so.”
“The demeanor of the alternate jurors and their behavior has become the talk of the courthouse. The alternates enter the courtroom each day giggling among themselves. One of the alternates, an attractive young woman, has been spotted smiling at Edwards and flipping her hair in what seems to some to be a flirtatious manner. On Friday, she wore a revealing red top with a single strap and an exposed right shoulder.”
ABC News: “The juror clearly instigated the exchanges. She smiles at him. He smiles politely back at her. She giggles. He blushes.”
The jurors are in their 6th day of deliberations and will resume next week.
Indiana Senate Race Very Close
A new Rasmussen survey in Indiana shows Joe Donnelly (D) and Richard Mourdock (R) locked in a dead heat in their U.S. Senate race, 42% to 42%.
McCotter May Not Qualify for Primary Ballot
Rep. Thaddeus McCotter (R-MI) said that he “may not have turned in enough valid signatures to qualify for the Aug. 7 Republican primary in his suburban Detroit district,” the Detroit News reports.
Said McCotter: “Fully respecting the accuracy and integrity of the Secretary of State’s Office, we will thoroughly review our petition signatures for their sufficiency or insufficiency. Out of respect for Memorial Day, an announcement of our findings will be made public on Tuesday.”
“If his signatures are ruled insufficient, McCotter would still have options. He could run as a write-in Republican candidate or as an independent.”
Most Say They’re Conservative on Economic Issues
A new Gallup poll finds Americans are more than twice as likely to identify themselves as conservative rather than liberal on economic issues, 46% to 20%.
The gap is narrower on social issues, but conservatives still outnumber liberals, 38% to 28%.
Democratic Poll Also Shows Walker Ahead
A new Wisconsin poll commissioned by the Democratic Governors Association finds Gov. Scott Walker (R) with a narrow lead over challenger Tom Barrett (D) in the recall election, 49% to 46%.
Clinton Took Photo After Agents Rebuffed Porn Stars
After porn stars Brooklyn Lee and Tasha Reign were shooed away from Bill Clinton by a Secret Service agent, the former president called them back over for a photo, ABC News reports.
However, the two were uncertain, but hopeful, that Clinton knew who they were.
Said Lee: “I kind of feel like he knows. We hope he likes us and we hope he likes to watch our movies.”
Reign concurred: “I have a feeling that everyone watches adult entertainment.”
Obama Inhaled
BuzzFeed compiles excerpts from Barack Obama: The Story by David Maraniss that deal with the “elaborate drug culture” surrounding Barack Obama when he attended Punahou School in Honolulu and Occidental College in Los Angeles.
The bottom line: “He inhaled. A lot.”
Trump Insists Again Obama Wasn’t Born in the U.S.
Donald Trump told Lloyd Grove that President Obama was born in Kenya, not the United States.
Said Trump: “That’s the way life works… He didn’t know he was running for president, so he told the truth. The literary agent wrote down what he said… He said he was born in Kenya and raised in Indonesia… Now they’re saying it was a mistake. Just like his Kenyan grandmother said he was born in Kenya, and she pointed down the road to the hospital, and after people started screaming at her she said, ‘Oh, I mean Hawaii.’ Give me a break.”