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Facebook Suspends Cambridge Analytica

March 16, 2018 at 9:56 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Facebook issued a statement saying they have suspended Strategic Communication Laboratories, including their political data analytics firm, Cambridge Analytica, from Facebook.

Axios: “Cambridge Analytica, a data analytics firm that worked with the Trump campaign leading up to the 2016 election, claimed to have developed personality profiles on every American — but it’s unclear where that data came from. It has become a focus of both the House Intelligence Committee’s investigation into Russian election meddling and Robert Mueller’s probe.”

Filed Under: Political Consultants

Manafort Now Wears Two Monitoring Bracelets

March 9, 2018 at 7:12 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Paul Manafort will stay under home confinement after pleading not guilty Thursday to the latest set of charges filed by special counsel Robert Mueller’s office, but now he’ll wear two GPS monitoring bracelets, instead of just one,” BuzzFeed News reports.

“He made his first appearance in the Alexandria courthouse on Thursday afternoon. US District Judge T.S. Ellis III ruled Manafort could be released pending trial, subject to home confinement and electronic monitoring, the same conditions he’s under in DC. A Virginia probation officer explained to the judge that because of limits to the technology, she couldn’t access the data from the DC bracelet, hence the need for two.”

Filed Under: Political Consultants Tagged With: Paul Manafort

Manafort Left a Digital Trail of His Crimes

February 25, 2018 at 11:54 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Ars Technica explains how evidence of Paul Manafort’s fraud was exposed because he didn’t know how to edit a PDF file — so he emailed Rick Gates to do it.

“By sending these documents back and forth by email, Manafort and Gates made it easy for prosecutors to pinpoint exactly who changed the documents and when.”

Filed Under: Political Consultants Tagged With: Paul Manafort


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Mueller Investigating Manafort’s Home Loans

February 21, 2018 at 12:33 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Federal investigators are probing whether former Trump campaign chair Paul Manafort promised a Chicago banker a job in the Trump White House in return for $16 million in home loans,” two people with direct knowledge of the matter told NBC News.

“Manafort received three separate loans in December 2016 and January 2017 from Federal Savings Bank for homes in New York City and the Hamptons… The sources say the three loans were questioned by other officials at the bank.”

Filed Under: Political Consultants Tagged With: Paul Manafort

Manafort Under Scrutiny for $40 Million in Transactions

February 20, 2018 at 7:29 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Federal law enforcement officials have identified more than $40 million in ‘suspicious’ financial transactions to and from companies controlled by President Donald Trump’s former campaign manager Paul Manafort — a much larger sum than was cited in his October indictment on money laundering charges,” BuzzFeed News reports.

“The vast web of transactions was unraveled mainly in 2014 and 2015 during an FBI operation to fight international kleptocracy that ultimately fizzled. The story of that failed effort — and its resurrection by special counsel Robert Mueller as he investigated whether the Trump campaign colluded with Russia to interfere with the 2016 election — has never been fully told.”

Filed Under: Political Consultants Tagged With: Paul Manafort

The Plot Against America

January 28, 2018 at 8:20 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Atlantic has a must-read profile of former Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort:

When Paul Manafort officially joined the Trump campaign, on March 28, 2016, he represented a danger not only to himself but to the political organization he would ultimately run. A lifetime of foreign adventures didn’t just contain scandalous stories, it evinced the character of a man who would very likely commandeer the campaign to serve his own interests, with little concern for the collective consequences.

Filed Under: Political Consultants Tagged With: Paul Manafort

Manafort’s Trial Not Likely Until September

January 16, 2018 at 2:02 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The criminal trial of President Trump’s former campaign manager Paul Manafort appears likely to start in September at the earliest after a federal judge on Tuesday rejected a bid by special counsel Robert Mueller’s office to kick off the trial in May,” Politico reports.

Filed Under: Political Consultants Tagged With: Paul Manafort

Fusion GPS Still Digging Into Trump’s Russia Ties

January 8, 2018 at 7:49 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “But the work has not stopped. Fusion continues to look into ties between Mr. Trump and Russia, according to several people briefed on the research. Mr. Simpson’s specific areas of focus, and information about any current benefactors, are closely guarded.”

Filed Under: Political Consultants, White House

Mueller Could Indict Paul Manafort Again

December 27, 2017 at 5:20 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Daily Beast: “A superseding indictment would essentially replace the current indictment of Manafort. And in that current indictment, Mueller’s team hinted there was more to come. In particular, they hinted at potential tax charges for Manafort’s foreign financial transactions. Federal prosecutors can bring charges against any American who has money in a foreign bank account and doesn’t check a box on their tax forms disclosing it. The Manafort/Gates indictment describes financial behavior that may be liable for that kind of prosecution. And that’s an indicator that Mueller’s team may be preparing to formally charge both men with violating tax laws.”

Filed Under: Political Consultants Tagged With: Paul Manafort

Bonus Quote of the Day

December 13, 2017 at 10:03 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“He looks like some disheveled drunk who wandered on to the political stage. He does not represent anything that I stand for.”

— Rep. Peter King (R-NY), quoted by the Washington Examiner, on former Trump adviser Stephen Bannon.

Filed Under: Political Consultants Tagged With: Stephen Bannon

Manafort Wire Transfers Draw Scrutiny

November 17, 2017 at 7:22 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Bloomberg: “The federal indictment of Paul Manafort, President Trump’s former campaign chairman, accuses him of laundering millions in foreign payments to pursue a ‘lavish lifestyle’ in the U.S., especially in the Hamptons, where he has a house. What it doesn’t explain — or highlight — are the stratospheric payments he made to home improvement companies when his renovation work was estimated at far less.

“Special Counsel Robert Mueller, in his indictment, says that a Hamptons firm got $5.4 million in wire transfers from Cyprus over 71 payments. But building permits over the same period examined by Bloomberg show that renovations by Manafort’s Hamptons’ contractor were estimated to cost $1.2 million. That’s less than a quarter of what was ultimately sent — an apparent discrepancy that could draw scrutiny from investigators.”

Filed Under: Political Consultants Tagged With: Paul Manafort

Roger Stone Suspended from Twitter

October 29, 2017 at 8:03 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Roger Stone, a longtime associate of President Trump and self-described political provocateur, was suspended from Twitter on Saturday,” Politico reports.

“Stone lashed out at CNN anchor Don Lemon and others on Friday night, seemingly responding to reports that an indictment from special prosecutor Robert Mueller was imminent in the ongoing probe into the Trump election campaign’s alleged ties to Russia.”

Filed Under: Political Consultants

Lewandowski Accused of Threatening His Neighbors

August 15, 2017 at 11:45 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Neighbors of President Trump’s former campaign manager Corey Lewandowski say he harassed them in a land dispute and threatened to use his ‘’political clout’’ to make their lives ‘’a nightmare,'” the Boston Globe reports.

Filed Under: Political Consultants Tagged With: Corey Lewandowski

Why Post-Election Messaging Documents Rarely Work

July 26, 2017 at 5:54 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Amy Walter: “After every election, the losing party spends a good chunk of the off-year analyzing why they lost and developing solutions on how not to lose in the future… These documents are meant to unite the party around common themes and ideas and show that they have a path out of the political wilderness.”

“But, more often than not, these documents are an exercise in fighting the last war instead of an appreciation of the fact that no one really knows what the next war is going to look like. Republicans who were worried about their demographic troubles in 2013 could not possibly imagine that the person who would win the GOP nomination and the White House in 2016 would do so while actively flaunting their advice.”

“These documents also tend to miss the most important factor in any messaging: the messenger. A party or a campaign can have a cogent message, but if the messenger isn’t believable, the message itself is worthless.”

Filed Under: Political Consultants

Rove Says He Would Have Called FBI

July 19, 2017 at 7:32 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Playbook: “Karl Rove told an off-the-record McDonald’s corporate conference Monday in D.C. that he would not have taken a meeting with Russian operatives, like Donald Trump Jr., Paul Manafort and Jared Kushner did. Rove told the crowd at the J.W. Marriott that if a campaign gets an email saying an agent of a foreign adversarial government wants to meet and pass on damaging information about an opponent, they shouldn’t take the meeting, and they should call the FBI.”

“In a presidential campaign, Rove said, aides get lots of phone calls and emails offering tips on the opponent. Most should be routed through opposition researchers, and many are not worth the time.”

Meanwhile, a new Politico/Morning Consult poll finds that 52% of voters say the meeting was inappropriate. Only 23% say meeting was appropriate and the remaining 25% have no opinion.

Filed Under: Political Consultants Tagged With: Karl Rove

FBI Searches GOP Fundraising Firm

May 11, 2017 at 3:08 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The FBI confirms agents are executing a search warrant at an office of a GOP fundraiser/consulting firm in Annapolis,” WBAL-TV reports.

“The investigation is being run out of Washington, not locally… The firm is touted for pioneering the use of technology in political campaigns, and it represents GOP candidates nationwide.”

Filed Under: Political Consultants

Manafort Ukraine Payments Confirmed

April 12, 2017 at 6:28 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Last August, a handwritten ledger surfaced in Ukraine with dollar amounts and dates next to the name of Paul Manafort, who was then Donald Trump’s campaign chairman.”

“Now, financial records newly obtained by the Associated Press confirm that at least $1.2 million in payments listed in the ledger next to Manafort’s name were actually received by his consulting firm in the United States. They include payments in 2007 and 2009, providing the first evidence that Manafort’s firm received at least some money listed in the so-called Black Ledger.”

Mike Allen: “Manafort and his spokesman, Jason Maloni, have maintained the ledger was fabricated and said no public evidence existed that Manafort or others received payments recorded in it.”

Filed Under: Political Consultants Tagged With: Paul Manafort

Manafort’s Real Estate Transactions Raise Questions

March 28, 2017 at 9:48 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Paul Manafort, the former Trump campaign manager facing multiple investigations for his political and financial ties to Russia, has engaged in a series of puzzling real estate deals in New York City over the past 11 years,” WNYC reports.

“Real estate and law enforcement experts say some of these transactions fit a pattern used in money laundering; together, they raise questions about Manafort’s activities in the New York City property market while he also was consulting for business and political leaders in the former Soviet Union.”

Filed Under: Lobbyists, Political Consultants Tagged With: Paul Manafort

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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