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Senate Remains Stuck on Trump’s Tax Cuts Bill

July 1, 2025 at 7:58 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Senate Republicans are struggling to pass President Donald Trump’s massive tax and immigration bill, with GOP leaders still scrambling to secure 50 votes after a marathon overnight voting session that by Tuesday morning appeared to bring the bill no closer to final passage,” the Washington Post reports.

“Trump has demanded that Congress send the bill — Trump’s top legislative priority — to his desk by July 4, but that deadline seemed to be slipping from reach Tuesday. Even if the Senate passes the $3.3 trillion bill, House Republicans would still need to overcome their own divisions and pass it again before Trump can sign it.”

Filed Under: Senate

New Vote-a-Rama Record

July 1, 2025 at 7:56 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Senate has started voting on their 45th amendment or procedural motion to the GOP megabill. That breaks the record for the most votes during a ‘vote-a-rama‘ — a marathon session provided for under the law governing the budget process in the Senate,” Politico reports.

“The previous record was 44 amendments offered during a budget resolution in 2008.”

Filed Under: Senate

J.D. Vance Arrives to Possibly Cast Tie-Breaking Vote

July 1, 2025 at 7:11 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Vice President JD Vance has arrived at the Capitol prepared to cast a tiebreaking vote on the sweeping policy bill, after Republican leaders worked through the night to secure the votes to pass the bill carrying President Trump’s agenda,” the New York Times reports.

“A final vote on the measure has not begun, and it remains unclear if Republicans have locked in the necessary support.”

Filed Under: Senate


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Trump’s Agenda Teeters After All-Nighter in Senate

July 1, 2025 at 5:59 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump’s domestic agenda is in a state of flux on Capitol Hill,” Punchbowl News reports.

“As of press time — roughly 19 hours into a vote-a-rama — Senate Majority Leader John Thune was struggling to round up enough GOP votes to pass the One Big Beautiful Bill. Sens. Rand Paul (R-KY) and Thom Tillis (R-NC) are opposed to the package, while Sens. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) and Susan Collins (R-ME) haven’t yet been convinced to vote for the sprawling legislation. Republicans can’t afford to lose more than three votes.”

“Senate GOP leaders were dealt a major blow by the parliamentarian in the early morning hours that moved Murkowski into the ‘no’ column, causing a mad scramble on the Senate floor overnight.”

Filed Under: Senate

Murkowski Slams Brakes on Megabill

July 1, 2025 at 5:20 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Senate Majority Leader John Thune’s ability to pass the ‘big, beautiful bill’ is hinging on Sen. Lisa Murkowski,” Politico reports.

“The Alaska senator has been the subject of an intense whip effort by GOP leaders over the past couple of hours as they try to offer her reassurances on Medicaid and food assistance. Thune, Finance Chair Mike Crapo and Senate Majority Whip John Barrasso talked to Murkowski on the floor for roughly an hour overnight. Thune and Murkowski huddled briefly in his office, and they were mum on details when they emerged shortly before 4 a.m.”

Wall Street Journal: “If Murkowski can’t be moved and she’s joined by two other GOP opponents, one option for Republicans would be to shrink or eliminate the debt-limit increase in the bill.”

Filed Under: Senate

Senate Republicans Still Don’t Have the Votes

June 30, 2025 at 10:08 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “The Senate is moving very slowly in its vote marathon, and senators say some proposed changes to the bill are still being reviewed by the parliamentarian for compliance with budget rules. In a typical vote-a-rama, the votes are much more rapid-fire.”

“The pace suggests that Republican leaders don’t have all their votes lined up and that the process could go into Tuesday.”

Filed Under: Senate

Senate Slogs Through Vote-a-Rama

June 30, 2025 at 2:41 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Senate is just about four hours into a vote-a-rama for the Republicans’ massive reconciliation bill that senators predict won’t come to a close until late tonight or early Tuesday morning,” Punchbowl News reports.

“Senators have only voted on a handful of amendments so far. There have also been some procedural votes allowing Republicans to use an accounting tactic to zero out the cost of making the 2017 Trump tax cuts permanent.”

“The vote-a-rama is moving somewhat slowly for now. We’re still waiting for votes on key amendments, including on Medicaid and artificial intelligence regulation.”

Filed Under: Budget & Taxes, Senate

Bonus Quote of the Day

June 30, 2025 at 2:01 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I would retire, too, if I voted against this bill.”

— Sen. Jim Banks (R-IN), quoted by Fox News, on Sen. Thom Tillis’ (R-NC) decision to forgo reelection next year.

Filed Under: Senate

Quote of the Day

June 30, 2025 at 1:37 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Oh my God, I just want to go home! I’ve already missed our entire trip to the beach… There’s no drama that we know the votes are going to go.”

— Sen. John Fetterman (D-PA), quoted by Mediaite, wishing he didn’t have to be at work.

Filed Under: Senate

Tillis Gave Trump the Heads Up About Not Running Again

June 30, 2025 at 11:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC) told President Trump to start looking for his replacement in the upper chamber prior to the president’s missive saying that he would start interviewing candidates to primary him,” The Hill reports.

“According to a text shared with The Hill between Trump and Tillis, the North Carolina lawmaker told the president as much at 9:54 p.m. EDT on Saturday — seven minutes before Trump’s Truth Social post.” 

Filed Under: Senate, White House

What It Took to Get Lisa Murkowski’s Vote

June 30, 2025 at 11:11 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

American Prospect: “The federal share of payment for Medicaid would be increased for ‘the state with the highest separate poverty guideline.’ That happens to be Alaska. Their share would increase 25 percent above that of a typical state.”

“Other programs bundle together benefits for ‘noncontiguous states,’ referring to Alaska and Hawaii. That includes an exemption from work requirements for SNAP, an increase in Medicare reimbursement rates to select health care providers, and a waiver from the cost-sharing provisions, whereby a state must contribute to SNAP funding… The reason Hawaii is getting this bounty is to get around the rules of budget reconciliation, where everything must have primarily a budgetary purpose. If Alaska were singled out by itself, then Democrats could charge that the riders were simply policy meant to benefit Alaska…”

“However, other benefits truly only benefit Alaska-based interests. For example, western Alaskan fishing villages get a special tax exemption. And Alaskan whaling captains will be able to deduct $50,000 of their business expenses as a charitable contribution, up from $10,000 under current law.”

Filed Under: Senate

Senate Republicans Rush to Overcome Internal Clashes

June 30, 2025 at 10:18 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Republican party leaders are rushing to overcome lingering internal fights over President Donald Trump’s massive tax and spending package as Democrats launch attacks to exploit the divisions,” Bloomberg reports.

“Senate Republicans were still at odds Monday over how much to cut Medicaid and other social safety-net programs and how rapidly to end Biden-era clean energy tax breaks as Democrats gained the chance Monday to force votes on amendments to the package.”

“Democrats, locked out of power in Washington, are aiming to offer amendments during a marathon voting session to exploit the infighting and make the GOP goal of getting holdouts to back the bill as soon as tonight more difficult.”

Politico: Vote-a-rama, last hurdle before megabill’s Senate approval, is underway.

Filed Under: Senate

What’s in the Bill?

June 30, 2025 at 9:31 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Washington Post’s most-read article this morning details what’s in the Senate version of President Trump’s “big, beautiful bill.”

David Axelrod notes that Republicans are “racing to ram this bill through” because “the longer it goes… the closer you look… the uglier it gets.”

Filed Under: Senate

Mike Collins Weighs Georgia Senate Bid

June 30, 2025 at 9:21 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Mike Collins (R-GA) is inching closer to launching a Senate campaign as Republicans scramble to find a consensus candidate who can defeat Sen. Jon Ossoff (D-GA), Punchbowl News reports.

Filed Under: Senate

Senate Republicans May Still Not Have the Votes

June 30, 2025 at 7:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Senate Republicans said they expected to begin voting on amendments to the domestic policy bill at 9 a.m. Monday, after taking a break likely sometime after midnight, rather than working all night,” the New York Times reports.

“The decision not to move from debate straight into the so-called vote-a-rama, an hours-long series of votes on amendments, could indicate that Republican leaders are still struggling to lock in support.”

Washington Post: “The GOP is racing to push the mammoth budget proposal across Trump’s desk by a self-imposed July 4 deadline, but fissures remain within the party over the cuts to social benefit and anti-poverty programs and the bill’s growing price tag.”

Wall Street Journal: “If the Senate manages to pass the bill, getting the measure to Trump by Republicans’ self-imposed July 4 deadline would require another vote from the House. That might be challenging in that chamber as well, where Republicans have a narrow 220-212 majority and their initial version of the bill passed by just one vote last month.”

For members: A Few Thoughts on the “Big, Beautiful Bill”

Filed Under: Senate

Accounting Gimmicks Could End Up Biting Republicans

June 30, 2025 at 6:42 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Playbook: “There’s a dawning realization on the Hill that the procedural tricks being deployed by GOP leaders to get this thing done may someday come back to bite them. The Republicans’ use of the so-called current policy baseline — an accounting trick by which temporary tax cuts are made permanent without any apparent cost in the budget — could in theory be used in equally imaginative ways by a future Dem trifecta to enact high-cost policies like Medicare For All via reconciliation.”

Sahil Kapur: “If ‘current policy’ becomes the norm in reconciliation, one (very) hypothetical example of how Democrats could wield it: Pass a $10 trillion Medicare For All bill for 1 yr at a $1T sticker price and extend it permanently the next year at a $0 cost. All without nuking the filibuster.”

Filed Under: Budget & Taxes, Senate

Thom Tillis Unleashed

June 30, 2025 at 6:35 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Playbook: “Tillis’ looming departure has instantly injected some fresh buzz into the political conversation in D.C; not least because we now have a second GOP senator (alongside Mitch McConnell) who clearly now gives — to be crude — no shits at all what Trump thinks.”

“Witness Tillis’ performance on the Senate floor last night, shredding Trump’s flagship legislation before the eyes of the world and even suggesting the president has been duped. The next 18 months in Tillis world may be quite a lot of fun.”

Filed Under: Senate

A Daytime Vote-a-Rama

June 30, 2025 at 6:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Punchbowl News: “Senate GOP leaders made the unusual — and unpopular among the rank-and-file — decision Sunday night to take a break before starting the high-stakes vote-a-rama that comes at the end of every budget reconciliation push in the Senate.”

“Senate Majority Leader John Thune’s move to bring senators back in at 9 a.m. for the amendment marathon is a departure from the norm. The process, during which senators can offer an unlimited number of amendments, usually occurs in the overnight hours with the goal of exacting as much pain as possible and wearing senators down.”

“A daytime vote-a-rama likely means the process could drag out much longer — possibly until early Tuesday morning, some GOP senators predict.”

Filed Under: Senate

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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