Pew Research: “Republican voters are 15 points more likely than Democrats to say they’ve given a lot of thought to the election, and 12 points more likely to say they definitely will vote. GOP voters also express more enthusiasm about voting in the upcoming midterm.”
“As a result, while the so-called generic ballot among registered voters slightly favors the Democrats (47% plan to vote for the Democratic candidate, while 42% plan to vote Republican), the likely electorate is more favorable to the GOP than the overall electorate. When the generic ballot is narrowed to a subset of voters most likely to cast votes in November, the result is more divided: 47% support the Republican candidate, while 44% favor the Democrat.”

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