FiveThirtyEight: “If there’s a race that keeps us awake at night, it’s Alaska. The state is home to one of the most important Senate races in the country, but it also has a history of quirky and often inaccurate polling.”
“Has Begich made a comeback? Perhaps… But there are many reasons to be skeptical. Public sentiment almost never shifts so much so quickly in a general election, especially this late in the race, without major precipitating news events. A candidate might gain a couple of points over a month on the basis of a superior campaign — but usually not more than that.”
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