“The investigator who led the Department of Homeland Security’s internal review of the Secret Service’s 2012 prostitution scandal quietly resigned in August after he was implicated in his own incident involving a prostitute,” the New York Times reports.
Archives for October 2014
Young Voters Abandoning Democrats
A new Harvard IOP poll finds that 51% of young Americans who say they will “definitely be voting” in November prefer a Republican-run Congress with 47% favoring Democrat control – a significant departure from IOP polling findings before the last midterm elections.
Quote of the Day
“I’m not like really freaking out about this decision, to be honest with you.”
— Jeb Bush, quoted by the Tennessean, on running for president in 2016.
Does Edwin Edwards Have a Chance to Win?
New Orleans Times-Picayune: “Political observers say even if he never bothered to leave his house in Gonzales, the inclusion of ‘Edwin Edwards’ on the ballot in such a crowded field of Republicans with low-to-moderate name recognition would propel the ex-governor and former federal inmate into the runoff for Senate candidate Rep. Bill Cassidy’s seat.”
“But Edwards hasn’t stayed home. He’s been on the road at voter doorways, shaking hands with restaurant patrons on the way to his table, dropping one-liners and platform ideas at candidate debates and popping by council chambers and church fairs with regularity.”
Will Cutler Drop Out In Maine?
Maine candidate for governor Eliot Cutler (I) will hold a press conference this morning to address his chances in the race, the Portland Press Herald reports.
“The independent, who narrowly lost to Gov. Paul LePage four years ago, has been unable to make any gains in public polls to date and also has scaled back on advertising in recent weeks. Supporters of Democrat Mike Michaud have been calling on Cutler to drop out of the race for weeks over fear that he will only help re-elect LePage if he stays in.”
Public Policy Polling: “The biggest factor in this race remaining so close is that Cutler, consistently in a distant third place, is continuing to siphon off enough of the anti-LePage vote to keep the contest in toss-up range.”
Souls to the Polls
“Early voting on Sundays has been one of the biggest fronts in the voting wars of recent years. Some of this past Sunday’s early voting numbers make the reason quite clear,” the New York Times reports.
“‘Souls to the Polls’ drives are a big part of the explanation. Black churches often promote voting after services, sometimes even taking church members directly to the polls. Such drives are traditionally most popular on the Sunday before an election, when black turnout might be even higher than it was on Sunday. A good portion of these voters would have probably cast ballots anyway. But given the margins that Democrats run up on Sundays, it is not hard to see why so many Republican election officials have sought to restrict early voting on Sundays.”
Beauprez Leads in Colorado
A new Quinnipiac poll in Colordao finds Bob Beauprez (R) leading Gov. John Hickenlooper (D) in the race for governor, 45% to 40%.
Tight Race in Rhode Island
A new Brown University poll in Rhode Island finds Gina Raimondo (D) barely ahead of Allan Fung (R) in the race for governor, 38% to 37%, with Bob Healey (I) at 12%.
Orman Clings to Small Lead in Kansas
A new Survey USA poll in Kansas finds Greg Orman (I) leading Sen. Pat Roberts (R) in the U.S. Senate race by two points, 44% to 42%.
In the race for governor, Paul Davis (D) leads Gov. Sam Brownback (R) by three points, 46% to 43%.
Bush Calls Obama ‘Incompetent’ on Ebola
Jeb Bush is calling President Obama’s initial response to Ebola “incompetent,” Politico reports.
Said Bush: “It looked very incompetent to begin with, and that fueled fears that may not be justified. And now you have states that are legitimately acting on their concerns, creating a lot more confusion than is necessary.”
Business Bets Big on GOP in Senate Races
“In a significant shift, business groups gave more money to Republican candidates than to Democrats in seven of the most competitive Senate races in recent months, in some cases taking the unusual step of betting against sitting senators,” the Wall Street Journal reports.
“Shifts in business donations have foreshadowed the outcome of several recent elections. Business PACs began shifting toward Democrats late in the 2006 midterm cycle, ahead of a political wave in which Democrats regained control of both the House and Senate. Business contributions swung again early in 2010, ahead of a wave that year that gave Republicans a House majority and gains in the Senate.”
Spending Shows How Few House Races are Competitive
“How small is the field of competitive House races? So narrow that just 25 contests account for 80 percent of all reported outside spending in the general election,” the New York Times reports.
“The bulk of House contests have seen virtually no outside spending this year, with 193 having less than $10,000 spent. You could form a slim majority with the 220 races that have had less than $25,000 in independent spending for the general election.”
Lobbyists Pursue Attorneys General
“Attorneys general are now the object of aggressive pursuit by lobbyists and lawyers who use campaign contributions, personal appeals at lavish corporate-sponsored conferences and other means to push them to drop investigations, change policies, negotiate favorable settlements or pressure federal regulators,” an investigation by the New York Times has found.
“A robust industry of lobbyists and lawyers has blossomed as attorneys general have joined to conduct multistate investigations and pushed into areas as diverse as securities fraud and Internet crimes. But unlike the lobbying rules covering other elected officials, there are few revolving-door restrictions or disclosure requirements governing state attorneys general.”
Hackers Breach White House Computers
“Hackers thought to be working for the Russian government breached the unclassified White House computer networks in recent weeks, sources said, resulting in temporary disruptions to some services while cybersecurity teams worked to contain the intrusion,” the Washington Post reports.
“White House officials, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss an ongoing investigation, said that the intruders did not damage any of the systems and that, to date, there is no evidence the classified network was hacked.”
Ernst Pushes Ahead in Iowa
A new Quinnipiac poll in Iowa finds Joni Ernst (R) is inching ahead among likely voters in the U.S. Senate race and now has 49% to 45% lead over Bruce Braley (D).
GOP Could Control Record Number of Legislatures
“Republicans have the opportunity to take control of a record number of state legislative chambers across the country this year, as Democrats play defense in unfavorable terrain,” the Washington Post reports.
“The Republican landslide in 2010 and the subsequent redistricting process in 2012 gave the GOP control of a nearly unprecedented number of legislative chambers. Today, the party controls 59 of the 98 partisan chambers in 49 states, while Democrats control only 39 chambers (One legislature, Nebraska’s is officially nonpartisan). Once election results are tabulated in the 6,049 legislative races on the ballot in 46 states this year, Republicans could find themselves running even more.”
Dead Heat for Connecticut Governor
A new Quinnipiac poll in Connecticut finds Gov. Dannel Malloy (D) and challenger Tom Foley (R) tied 43% to 43% in the race for governor.
Boehner Tries to Run Up the Score
Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) “is crisscrossing the country in a bid to run up his House majority and ease his job leading a fractious GOP conference,” The Hill reports.
“The Ohio Republican is spending the final, precious days of the 2014 campaign flying into House races that had been seen as out of reach for the GOP just weeks ago.”
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