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Archives for October 2014

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Investigator in Secret Service Scandal Has Own Sex Scandal

October 29, 2014 at 10:36 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The investigator who led the Department of Homeland Security’s internal review of the Secret Service’s 2012 prostitution scandal quietly resigned in August after he was implicated in his own incident involving a prostitute,” the New York Times reports.

Filed Under: Scandal

Young Voters Abandoning Democrats

October 29, 2014 at 10:27 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Harvard IOP poll finds that 51% of young Americans who say they will “definitely be voting” in November prefer a Republican-run Congress with 47% favoring Democrat control – a significant departure from IOP polling findings before the last midterm elections.

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Quote of the Day

October 29, 2014 at 9:48 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I’m not like really freaking out about this decision, to be honest with you.”

— Jeb Bush, quoted by the Tennessean, on running for president in 2016.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign


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Does Edwin Edwards Have a Chance to Win?

October 29, 2014 at 9:45 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New Orleans Times-Picayune: “Political observers say even if he never bothered to leave his house in Gonzales, the inclusion of ‘Edwin Edwards’ on the ballot in such a crowded field of Republicans with low-to-moderate name recognition would propel the ex-governor and former federal inmate into the runoff for Senate candidate Rep. Bill Cassidy’s seat.”

“But Edwards hasn’t stayed home. He’s been on the road at voter doorways, shaking hands with restaurant patrons on the way to his table, dropping one-liners and platform ideas at candidate debates and popping by council chambers and church fairs with regularity.”

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Will Cutler Drop Out In Maine?

October 29, 2014 at 9:38 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Maine candidate for governor Eliot Cutler (I) will hold a press conference this morning to address his chances in the race, the Portland Press Herald reports.

“The independent, who narrowly lost to Gov. Paul LePage four years ago, has been unable to make any gains in public polls to date and also has scaled back on advertising in recent weeks. Supporters of Democrat Mike Michaud have been calling on Cutler to drop out of the race for weeks over fear that he will only help re-elect LePage if he stays in.”

Public Policy Polling: “The biggest factor in this race remaining so close is that Cutler, consistently in a distant third place, is continuing to siphon off enough of the anti-LePage vote to keep the contest in toss-up range.”

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Souls to the Polls

October 29, 2014 at 9:31 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Early voting on Sundays has been one of the biggest fronts in the voting wars of recent years. Some of this past Sunday’s early voting numbers make the reason quite clear,” the New York Times reports.

“‘Souls to the Polls’ drives are a big part of the explanation. Black churches often promote voting after services, sometimes even taking church members directly to the polls. Such drives are traditionally most popular on the Sunday before an election, when black turnout might be even higher than it was on Sunday. A good portion of these voters would have probably cast ballots anyway. But given the margins that Democrats run up on Sundays, it is not hard to see why so many Republican election officials have sought to restrict early voting on Sundays.”

Filed Under: Political Strategy

Beauprez Leads in Colorado

October 29, 2014 at 8:22 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Quinnipiac poll in Colordao finds Bob Beauprez (R) leading Gov. John Hickenlooper (D) in the race for governor, 45% to 40%.

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Tight Race in Rhode Island

October 29, 2014 at 8:20 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Brown University poll in Rhode Island finds Gina Raimondo (D) barely ahead of Allan Fung (R) in the race for governor, 38% to 37%, with Bob Healey (I) at 12%.

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Orman Clings to Small Lead in Kansas

October 29, 2014 at 7:49 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Survey USA poll in Kansas finds Greg Orman (I) leading Sen. Pat Roberts (R) in the U.S. Senate race by two points, 44% to 42%.

In the race for governor, Paul Davis (D) leads Gov. Sam Brownback (R) by three points, 46% to 43%.

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Bush Calls Obama ‘Incompetent’ on Ebola

October 29, 2014 at 7:21 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jeb Bush is calling President Obama’s initial response to Ebola “incompetent,” Politico reports.

Said Bush: “It looked very incompetent to begin with, and that fueled fears that may not be justified. And now you have states that are legitimately acting on their concerns, creating a lot more confusion than is necessary.”

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Business Bets Big on GOP in Senate Races

October 29, 2014 at 7:15 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“In a significant shift, business groups gave more money to Republican candidates than to Democrats in seven of the most competitive Senate races in recent months, in some cases taking the unusual step of betting against sitting senators,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Shifts in business donations have foreshadowed the outcome of several recent elections. Business PACs began shifting toward Democrats late in the 2006 midterm cycle, ahead of a political wave in which Democrats regained control of both the House and Senate. Business contributions swung again early in 2010, ahead of a wave that year that gave Republicans a House majority and gains in the Senate.”

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Spending Shows How Few House Races are Competitive

October 29, 2014 at 7:13 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“How small is the field of competitive House races? So narrow that just 25 contests account for 80 percent of all reported outside spending in the general election,” the New York Times reports.

“The bulk of House contests have seen virtually no outside spending this year, with 193 having less than $10,000 spent. You could form a slim majority with the 220 races that have had less than $25,000 in independent spending for the general election.”

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Lobbyists Pursue Attorneys General

October 29, 2014 at 7:12 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Attorneys general are now the object of aggressive pursuit by lobbyists and lawyers who use campaign contributions, personal appeals at lavish corporate-sponsored conferences and other means to push them to drop investigations, change policies, negotiate favorable settlements or pressure federal regulators,” an investigation by the New York Times has found.

“A robust industry of lobbyists and lawyers has blossomed as attorneys general have joined to conduct multistate investigations and pushed into areas as diverse as securities fraud and Internet crimes. But unlike the lobbying rules covering other elected officials, there are few revolving-door restrictions or disclosure requirements governing state attorneys general.”

Filed Under: Lobbyists

Hackers Breach White House Computers

October 29, 2014 at 7:05 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Hackers thought to be working for the Russian government breached the unclassified White House computer networks in recent weeks, sources said, resulting in temporary disruptions to some services while cybersecurity teams worked to contain the intrusion,” the Washington Post reports.

“White House officials, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss an ongoing investigation, said that the intruders did not damage any of the systems and that, to date, there is no evidence the classified network was hacked.”

Filed Under: White House

Ernst Pushes Ahead in Iowa

October 29, 2014 at 7:02 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Quinnipiac poll in Iowa finds Joni Ernst (R) is inching ahead among likely voters in the U.S. Senate race and now has 49% to 45% lead over Bruce Braley (D).

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

GOP Could Control Record Number of Legislatures

October 29, 2014 at 7:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Republicans have the opportunity to take control of a record number of state legislative chambers across the country this year, as Democrats play defense in unfavorable terrain,” the Washington Post reports.

“The Republican landslide in 2010 and the subsequent redistricting process in 2012 gave the GOP control of a nearly unprecedented number of legislative chambers. Today, the party controls 59 of the 98 partisan chambers in 49 states, while Democrats control only 39 chambers (One legislature, Nebraska’s is officially nonpartisan). Once election results are tabulated in the 6,049 legislative races on the ballot in 46 states this year, Republicans could find themselves running even more.”

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Dead Heat for Connecticut Governor

October 29, 2014 at 6:56 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Quinnipiac poll in Connecticut finds Gov. Dannel Malloy (D) and challenger Tom Foley (R) tied 43% to 43% in the race for governor.

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Boehner Tries to Run Up the Score

October 28, 2014 at 7:43 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) “is crisscrossing the country in a bid to run up his House majority and ease his job leading a fractious GOP conference,” The Hill reports.

“The Ohio Republican is spending the final, precious days of the 2014 campaign flying into House races that had been seen as out of reach for the GOP just weeks ago.”

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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