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A Trump Comeback Would Be Unprecedented

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Harry Enten: “Donald Trump now trails Hillary Clinton by 6.6 percentage points, according to our polls-only model. And the clock is ticking. We’re 26 days from the election, and by this point in past campaigns, the concrete had basically dried.”

“Trump could stage a comeback. It’s possible. But it would be basically unprecedented… That’s not to say Trump is dead in the water — polls are not perfectly predictive — but history doesn’t offer much hope for candidates in Trump’s position.”

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It was another dizzying week in politics, with President Trump escalating and then hinting at an exit from the Iran war even as thousands more U.S. troops head to the region and global energy markets reel. 

Back home, a prolonged Department of Homeland Security shutdown disrupted airports, while the political fallout is dragging down Trump’s approval ratings to new lows. 

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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